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Match Prediction

Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Prediction

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Hungary flag Hungary

Kisvarda

€7.24m

24 Jan09:00
2 : 3

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Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Prediction NB I

Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Prediction: Odds, Stats, and AI Insights

The NB I season is heating up, and the Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest prediction is on every sports betting fan’s mind ahead of their January 24, 2026, meeting at Várkert Sportpálya. With both teams eager to climb the table and recent head to head results promising plenty of goals, this match is shaping up to be a must-watch for anyone interested in betting odds and Hungarian football drama.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Players

Kisvarda and MTK Budapest arrive at Round 19 with contrasting fortunes but equal determination. Kisvarda, currently 6th in the NB I standings with 27 points, have shown a balanced blend of resilience and attacking flair. Their last five matches have been a mixed bag: a hard-fought 0-1 loss to Debreceni, a thrilling 3-3 draw with Zalaegerszeg, a tough 3.55 defeat at Ferencvarosi Budapest, another narrow 0-1 loss to Ferencvarosi, and a convincing 3.55 win over Ujpest FC. Averaging 1.40 goals scored and conceded per game, Kisvarda often come alive in the 60-75 minute range—so keep an eye on those late surges.

MTK Budapest, meanwhile, are struggling to find their rhythm. Sitting 9th with 21 points, they haven’t tasted victory in their last five outings. Their defensive woes are clear, having conceded 15 goals in that stretch while scoring just 5. Recent results include a 1-1 draw with Zalaegerszeg, a 3.6 loss to Ujpest, and heavy defeats to Paksi SE, Györi ETO, and Diosgyori VTK. MTK’s vulnerability tends to peak between the 15-30 and 75-90 minute marks, which could spell trouble against Kisvarda’s late-game push.

When it comes to head to head meetings, Kisvarda have enjoyed the upper hand, winning 6 of the last 10 encounters and outscoring MTK 19:11. Notably, their most recent meeting saw MTK Budapest pull off a 4-0 victory, reminding us that form can flip in an instant in this league.

Squads, Injuries, and Market Value

Kisvarda’s squad depth is being tested, with midfielder István Soltész sidelined due to a foot injury. Right-back Branimir Cipetic is walking a suspension tightrope with five yellow cards in 17 appearances. The home side boasts a market value of €7.24m, featuring 13 foreign players in their 27-man squad. MTK Budapest, valued at €9.82m, also field a 27-man squad but with a more domestic flavor—only 5 foreign players. Á. Molnár is their standout performer, having netted 6 goals this season.

There’s also off-pitch intrigue: Kisvarda’s Ridwan Popoola is attracting interest from across Europe, with the club reportedly rejecting a hefty bid. His presence—or absence—could tip the scales in the midfield battle.

AI Predictions, Betting Odds, and What to Expect

Let’s turn to the Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest prediction from the NerdyTips AI, which takes into account team form, head to head stats, and the latest betting odds. The home win is priced at 2.0, a draw at 3.6, and an away win at 3.55. The AI’s 1x2 prediction leans toward Kisvarda, rating the home win with a trust score of 5.0 and odds of 2.02. While not a runaway favorite, Kisvarda’s recent performances and historical edge give them the nod.

The real value, though, may lie in the over/under market. With both teams averaging over 10 shots per game and MTK’s leaky defense, the over 2.5 goals bet stands out. The AI rates this wager at 7.5/10 confidence, with odds of 1.7—suggesting at least three goals are likely. The predicted final score? A lively 3:1 in favor of Kisvarda, with a 1:0 lead expected at halftime.

Key Match Stats and Betting Insights

  • Possession: Kisvarda 52%, MTK Budapest 48%
  • Shots: Both teams are projected to have 11 shots, with 4 on target each
  • Corners: 3 for each side, totaling 6
  • Yellow Cards: Expect 2 per team

With both sides evenly matched in terms of shots and possession, but Kisvarda holding the edge in historical head to head and home advantage, the Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest prediction leans toward a high-scoring affair. The odds and stats suggest goals will be on the menu, making the over 2.5 goals market a smart play for sports betting enthusiasts.

Final Thoughts: Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest Prediction and Best Bets

In summary, this NB I clash at Várkert Sportpálya has all the ingredients for an entertaining contest. Kisvarda’s attacking momentum and MTK’s defensive frailties point toward a home win and plenty of action in front of goal. For those looking to place a bet, the over 2.5 goals market offers the best mix of value and probability, backed by both stats and AI analysis. As always, keep an eye on team news and any late changes, but for now, the smart money is on Kisvarda to deliver a statement win—and keep the scoreboard ticking.

For more head to head analysis, betting odds, and expert sports betting tips, stay tuned to NerdyTips. The Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest prediction is in: expect goals, drama, and a home side eager to make their mark.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Kisvarda vs MTK Budapest

O2.5 -143

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -143
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 100

Kisvarda is expected to win with odds of 100
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -143

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -167

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -169

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

0.76
xG
1.02
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.54
Expected Goals
0.79
2.7
Total Goals
4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.7
1.6
Goals Against
2.3
44%
Possession
45%
8.2
Total Shots
9.1
3
Shots on Goal
3.7
3.3
Shots off Goal
2.6
13.5
Fouls
13.1
2.7
Corners
2.9
1.7
Offsides
2
2.33
Yellow Cards
2.43
361
Total Passes
380

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
2
Over 3.5 Goals
6
3
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Kisvarda
11 - 3 - 3
MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 28-Sep-25
4:0
Kisvarda Kisvarda
Kisvarda Kisvarda 02-Apr-24
3:2
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 17-Mar-24
2:1
Kisvarda Kisvarda
Kisvarda Kisvarda 25-Nov-23
3:1
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 11-Aug-23
0:0
Kisvarda Kisvarda
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 19-Mar-22
0:0
Kisvarda Kisvarda
Kisvarda Kisvarda 27-Nov-21
5:0
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
Kisvarda Kisvarda 27-Oct-21
4:1
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 13-Aug-21
1:2
Kisvarda Kisvarda

Profile time Recent Matches of Kisvarda

01 Feb Diosgyori Diosgyori.
-
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
24 JanL Kisvarda Kisvarda.
2:3
MTK Budapest. MTK Budapest
17 JanW Kisvarda Kisvarda.
3:1
Michalovce. Michalovce
12 JanL Radnicki 1923 Radnicki 192.
3:0
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
10 JanL Rizespor Rizespor.
2:1
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
08 JanL Dukla Prague Dukla Prague.
1:0
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
21 DecW Debrecen Debrecen.
0:1
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
14 DecD Kisvarda Kisvarda.
3:3
Zalaegerszeg. Zalaegerszegi
07 DecL Ferencvaros Ferencvaros.
3:0
Kisvarda. Kisvarda
04 DecL Kisvarda Kisvarda.
0:1
Ferencvaros. Ferencvaros

Profile time Recent Matches of MTK Budapest

31 JanMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
-
Kazincbar.Kazincbar
24 JanWKisvarda Kisvarda.
2:3
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
17 JanDMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
2:2
Videoton.Videoton
10 JanWMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
5:2
Kozarmisl.Kozarmisl
20 DecDZalaegerszegi Zalaegerszeg.
1:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
13 DecLMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
3:4
Ujpest.Ujpest
06 DecLPaks Paks.
3:1
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
29 NovLGyor Gyor.
3:0
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
23 NovLDiosgyori Diosgyori.
4:0
MTK Budapest.MTK Budapest
09 NovWMTK Budapest MTK Budapest.
3:0
Debrecen.Debrecen

Hungary - NB I Hungary - NB I

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC19
39-18
38
2 Paks Paks19
41-27
36
3 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi19
36-21
34
4 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC19
29-23
34
5 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy19
25-25
28
6 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC19
24-32
27
7 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi19
30-26
27
8 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest19
36-39
24
9 Ujpest Ujpest19
28-33
23
10 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK19
26-33
18
11 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza19
20-35
15
12 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai19
17-39
11
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