Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Turkey
Preview
The Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa prediction for December 7, 2025, at 14:00 GMT is shaping up to be a fascinating Süper Lig encounter. With both teams eager to climb the table, fans and punters alike have their eyes set on Yildiz Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu for what could be a pivotal afternoon in the Turkish top flight.
Let’s start by taking a closer look at both sides. Kocaelispor, currently hovering between 8th and 11th in the Süper Lig depending on your source, have been solid at home—winning two-thirds of their last six matches in front of their supporters. That home comfort could be crucial, especially considering their recent 0:0 away draw against Goztepe, a result that showed defensive resilience even as underdogs.
Kasimpasa, meanwhile, find themselves in 14th place with 13 points, struggling to find consistency. They’ve lost four of their last six league matches and are winless in five, though they have managed two away wins this season—a glimmer of hope for their traveling fans. Their 1:1 draw against Fenerbahce earlier this campaign, where few gave them a chance, proves they can rise to the occasion.
Looking at the head to head stats, Kasimpasa have historically had the upper hand. In four previous meetings, Kocaelispor have yet to taste victory, with Kasimpasa winning three and the other two ending in draws. The average number of total goals in these fixtures is a remarkable 5.5, suggesting fireworks when these teams meet—though more recent stats hint at a possible change in trend.
Both managers—S. İnan for Kocaelispor and Shota Arveladze for Kasimpasa—will have to contend with key absences. Kocaelispor are missing Bruno Petkovic and Mateusz Wieteska (out with a long-term cruciate ligament injury), while R. Rivas Vindel is also sidelined. Kasimpasa’s injury list is even longer: Haris Hajradinovic is out with a similar ligament issue, and suspensions to A. Yanar and E. Albayrak thin their options further.
Tactically, Kocaelispor excel at set pieces and protecting a lead, while Kasimpasa have shown grit when coming from behind. Expect the hosts to try to dictate the tempo, likely enjoying around 59% possession and aiming to capitalize on their 14 expected shots—compared to Kasimpasa’s predicted 11.
Now, let’s get down to what matters for punters. The betting odds currently stand at 1.85 for a home win, 3.6 for a draw, and 4.7 for an away win. Our AI-powered Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa prediction leans towards a home victory, with a trust rating of 5.1/10 and odds of 1.85—suggesting a cautious but clear nod to Kocaelispor’s form and squad strength.
For those looking at total goals, the AI is tipping under 3.6 goals (odds: 1.28, trust: 5.2/10) as the most profitable bet. While history between these sides has been goal-laden, recent attacking stats and key absences point towards a more measured affair. The expected final score? A controlled 2:0 win for Kocaelispor, with a 1:0 lead at halftime.
Taking everything into account, the Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa prediction for this Süper Lig fixture points to a home win in a low-scoring match. The under 3.6 goals market looks like a sensible play, especially given the current odds and both teams’ recent attacking struggles. With Kocaelispor’s home advantage and Kasimpasa’s depleted squad, the value is firmly with the hosts.
As always, football has a way of surprising us, but the stats, trends, and AI insights all align for a straightforward afternoon in Kocaeli. For more Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa predictions, betting odds, and head to head analysis, keep NerdyTips bookmarked—your home for data-driven football previews.
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U3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3571 -118
Kocaelispor is expected to win with odds of -118Under 3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -116
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -263
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
|
|
0
-
0
-
2
|
|
 Kasimpasa |
28-Dec-21
5:3
| Kocaelispor  |
| Kasimpasa |
01-Nov-12
5:0
| Kocaelispor |
Recent Matches of Kocaelispor| 24 Jan | D |
Samsunspor.
|
0:0
| Kocaelispor.
|
| 18 Jan | L |
Kocaelispor.
|
1:2
| Trabzonspor.
|
| 13 Jan | L |
Gaziantep.
|
1:0
| Kocaelispor.
|
| 07 Jan | L |
Kasimpasa.
|
2:0
| Kocaelispor.
|
| 23 Dec | W |
Kocaelispor.
|
3:1
| Erzurumspor.
|
| 19 Dec | W |
Kocaelispor.
|
2:1
| Antalyaspor.
|
| 14 Dec | D |
Karagumruk.
|
1:1
| Kocaelispor.
|
| 07 Dec | D |
Kocaelispor.
|
0:0
| Kasimpasa.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Karacabey.
|
1:2
| Kocaelispor.
|
| 28 Nov | W |
Kocaelispor.
|
1:0
| Genclerbi.
|
Recent Matches of Kasimpasa
| 30 Jan | Kasimpasa. |
- |
Samsunspor. | |
| 23 Jan | L |  Trabzonspor. |
2:1 |
Kasimpasa. |
| 18 Jan | D | Kasimpasa. |
0:0 |
Antalyaspor. |
| 09 Jan | W | Kasimpasa. |
2:0 |
Westerlo. |
| 07 Jan | W | Kasimpasa. |
2:0 |
Kocaelispor. |
| 21 Dec | L |  Galatasaray. |
3:0 |
Kasimpasa. |
| 12 Dec | D | Kasimpasa. |
0:0 |
Genclerbi. |
| 07 Dec | D | Kocaelispor. |
0:0 |
Kasimpasa. |
| 29 Nov | L | Kasimpasa. |
1:3 |
Basaksehir. |
| 23 Nov | W |  Alanyaspor. |
1:2 |
Kasimpasa. |
Turkey - Süper Lig| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray | 19 | 43-14 | 46 |
| 2 |
Fenerbahçe | 19 | 43-17 | 43 |
| 3 |
Trabzonspor | 19 | 37-22 | 41 |
| 4 |
Göztepe | 19 | 25-11 | 36 |
| 5 |
Beşiktaş | 19 | 33-24 | 33 |
| 6 |
Başakşehir | 19 | 32-19 | 29 |
| 7 |
Samsunspor | 19 | 23-21 | 27 |
| 8 |
Gazişehir | 19 | 26-32 | 25 |
| 9 |
Kocaelispor | 19 | 16-19 | 24 |
| 10 |
Alanyaspor | 19 | 19-19 | 22 |
| 11 |
Genclerbirligi | 19 | 23-27 | 19 |
| 12 |
Rizespor | 19 | 22-28 | 19 |
| 13 |
Konyaspor | 19 | 23-31 | 19 |
| 14 |
Antalyaspor | 19 | 18-32 | 19 |
| 15 |
Kasımpaşa | 19 | 15-26 | 16 |
| 16 |
Eyüpspor | 19 | 13-27 | 15 |
| 17 |
Kayserispor | 19 | 16-37 | 15 |
| 18 |
Fatih | 19 | 16-37 | 9 |
