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Match Prediction

La Coruna vs Granada CF Prediction

Finished

La Coruna

€53.80m

8 Mar16:00
0 : 2

Granada CF

€21.90m

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La Coruna vs Granada CF Prediction Segunda División

La Coruna vs Granada CF prediction: Riazor’s quiet test

La Coruna vs Granada CF prediction time, and it comes with that familiar Segunda División tension where one calm moment can decide everything. On Sunday, March 8, 2026 (20:00 GMT), Deportivo La Coruña welcome Granada CF to Estadio Abanca-Riazor, with Depor sitting 4th on 43 points and Granada down in 16th on 32. It’s the kind of fixture the promotion chasers are supposed to win… which is exactly why it can feel so tricky.

What the table says, and what the mood says

Depor’s position looks strong, but the chatter around Antonio Hidalgo’s team hasn’t been all applause. The main complaint is pretty specific: against the other big names in the top nine, Depor haven’t cashed in often enough. They’ve taken 12 points from 11 games against top-nine opposition, and they even came away empty against leaders Castellón and second-placed Racing Santander. In other words, they’ve looked a little too polite at the biggest dinner tables.

Still, there’s nothing like a couple of wins to calm the room. Depor arrive after a lively 3-2 win over Real Sociedad B and a grinding 1-0 victory against Eibar. Those are the “grown-up” results you need in a promotion race: one where you outscore trouble, and one where you simply don’t let trouble in.

Granada’s swingy form and how they may set up

Granada’s recent run reads like someone flipping TV channels. They lost 1-0 at home to Málaga, then beat AD Ceuta 2-1, and before that they smashed Real Valladolid 5-1. That range suggests they can hurt you when the game opens up, but they’re not always reliable at controlling the middle phases.

  • Depor’s likely plan: steady possession, patient width, and pressure after losing the ball at Riazor.
  • Granada’s likely plan: stay compact, break quickly, and try to turn Depor’s territory into frustration.
  • Key subplot: Depor need points for automatic promotion hopes; Granada need distance from the wrong kind of spring drama.

Head to head adds a little spice

The last head to head on 2025-05-17 finished La Coruna 2-3 Granada, a reminder that this matchup can punish the team that switches off first. And Granada have shown before they can surprise away from home — that 1-1 at Athletic Club on 2024-04-19 was a real eyebrow-raiser, especially with long odds around 12.0 for an away win. They won’t mind being doubted again.

Betting tips and AI picks for La Coruna vs Granada CF

Now for the numbers that matter to bettors. The 1X2 odds price Depor as the favorite: Home win 1.952, Draw 3.45, Away win 4.5. That lines up with squad value too: La Coruna at €53.80m versus Granada’s €21.9520m. Money doesn’t score goals, but it usually buys depth — and depth wins long seasons.

Main pick: Home win

NerdyTips’ AI goes with 1 (La Coruna win) as the best tip, trust level 7.8/10, at odds 1.952. The La Coruna vs Granada CF prediction for the 1x2 market is also 1 with the same 7.8 trust and 1.952 odds. The logic is consistent with the expected match script: Depor to control the ball (60% vs 40%) and spend more time in Granada’s half.

Game flow expectations (and what they imply)

  • Expected score: 1-0 (half-time 0-0) — a slow burn, not a fireworks show.
  • Shots: 14-10, with 3 on target each — chances, but not a shooting gallery.
  • Corners: 5-3 (8 total) — mild territorial edge for Depor.
  • Cards: 2-2 — competitive, but not a referee’s autobiography.

Goals market: Under 3.45

For totals, the model leans Under 3.45 goals (trust 6.3/10, odds 1.25). That fits the predicted 1-0 and the 0-0 at the break: Depor pressing and probing, Granada resisting, and the game decided by one clean move or one mistake. If you’re building betting tips for this match, the under is the “keep it sensible” option — not glamorous, but neither is most money.

Overall, this reads like a professional home performance: control, patience, and a narrow win. Just don’t expect Granada to bring gifts; they’ve ruined nicer evenings than this.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

La Coruna didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for La Coruna vs Granada CF

1 -105

La Coruna is expected to win with odds of -105
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

La Coruna is expected to win with odds of -105
7/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -417

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -123

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -270

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.47
xG
1.24
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.34
Expected Goals
1.44
2.3
Total Goals
2.6
1.2
Goals Scored
1.3
1.1
Goals Against
1.3
51%
Possession
48%
12.9
Total Shots
12.4
3.2
Shots on Goal
3.9
5.1
Shots off Goal
5.7
10.9
Fouls
13
4.6
Corners
4.4
1.6
Offsides
2
2.89
Yellow Cards
2
442
Total Passes
352

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

La Coruna
3 - 6 - 4
Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 16-Aug-25
1:3
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 17-May-25
2:3
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 07-Sep-24
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
Granada CF Granada CF 10-Feb-19
0:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 24-Sep-18
2:1
Granada CF Granada CF
La Coruna Deportivo 05-Apr-17
0:0
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 05-Nov-16
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 28-Feb-16
0:1
Granada CF Granada CF
Granada CF Granada CF 03-Oct-15
1:1
Deportivo La Coruna
La Coruna Deportivo 25-Jan-15
2:2
Granada CF Granada CF

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

01 MarW Real II Real II 2 Deportivo Deportivo 3
21 FebW Deportivo Deportivo 1 Eibar Eibar 0
15 FebL Castellon Castellon 2 Deportivo Deportivo 0
08 FebW Deportivo Deportivo 2 Albacete Albacete 1
31 JanW Cultural Cultural 0 Deportivo Deportivo 1
25 JanL Deportivo Deportivo 0 Racing S Racing S 1
17 JanW Almeria Almeria 1 Deportivo Deportivo 2
13 JanL Deportivo Deportivo 0 Atl. Madrid Atl. Madrid 1
10 JanD Las Palmas Las Palmas 1 Deportivo Deportivo 1
04 JanD Deportivo Deportivo 2 Cadiz CF Cadiz CF 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Granada CF

28 FebLGranada CF Granada CF 0 Malaga Malaga 1
20 FebLCeuta Ceuta 2 Granada CF Granada CF 1
14 FebWGranada CF Granada CF 5 Valladolid Valladolid 1
06 FebLLeganes Leganes 1 Granada CF Granada CF 0
01 FebWGranada CF Granada CF 1 Racing S Racing S 0
24 JanWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 1 Granada CF Granada CF 2
19 JanDGranada CF Granada CF 0 Eibar Eibar 0
11 JanDGranada CF Granada CF 0 Castellon Castellon 0
06 JanLGranada CF Granada CF 1 Vallecano Vallecano 3
03 JanLAlmeria Almeria 3 Granada CF Granada CF 2

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon28
38-36
42
10 Cordoba Cordoba28
38-37
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra28
35-40
35
13 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
14 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
15 Leganes Leganes28
29-28
34
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
17 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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