Match Prediction
Match Prediction
San-Marino
La Fiorita
€920.00Th.
Tre Fiori
€675.00Th.
Preview
When La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori takes center stage at the Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle this Saturday, fans can expect a tense, tactical duel between two of San Marino’s most competitive sides. The sports betting markets lean slightly toward the hosts, but as any seasoned follower of the Campionato Sammarinese knows, derbies like this rarely follow the script. With betting odds of 1.85 for a home win, 3.3 for a draw, and 3.85 for an away victory, the numbers suggest a narrow edge for La Fiorita—but Tre Fiori’s grit and recent head-to-head resilience could flip the narrative.
Statistically, home teams in the Campionato win 39.4% of matches, and La Fiorita’s squad value (€920,000 vs. Tre Fiori’s €675,000) hints at a deeper roster. Our NerdyTips best bet aligns with this: a home win at 1.83 odds, though with a modest 5.0/10 trust rating. It’s not a runaway endorsement, but it’s telling. Their disciplined 0-1 away win over FC Isloch Minsk R. last July—a shock result at 11.0 odds—proves they can grind out results against stubborn opponents. That said, their last meeting with Tre Fiori (February’s 0-0 stalemate) was a slog, reminding us that derbies often defy logic.
Tre Fiori might be the underdogs on paper, but their 3-1 dismantling of Fola Esch in 2022 (at 5.5 odds) shows they’re capable of surprises. While league trends favor home sides, away teams still snag 36.7% of wins—a gap narrow enough to keep things interesting. Their squad may be less expensive, but their compact defending (evident in February’s goalless draw) could frustrate La Fiorita’s attack. If they capitalize on set-pieces or a counterattack, those 3.85 odds for an away win might suddenly look tempting.
With both teams scoring in just 46.5% of league games and under 3.5 goals at 1.27 odds (albeit with low 2.7 trust), this likely won’t be a goal fest. Our predicted 2-1 win for La Fiorita, with a 1-0 halftime lead, reflects their slight superiority but acknowledges Tre Fiori’s knack for staying in games. Over 2.5 goals lands in 55.5% of Campionato matches, but derbies tend to tighten up—so don’t bank on fireworks.
The La Fiorita vs Tre Fiori prediction leans toward the hosts, but this is San Marino—where derbies chew up stats and spit out chaos. La Fiorita’s deeper squad and home advantage give them the nod, but Tre Fiori’s stubbornness means a single moment could swing it. Whether you’re eyeing the 1x2 market or pondering goal totals, tread carefully. After all, as that 0-0 head-to-head reminded us, local pride often trumps logic.
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1 -120
La Fiorita is expected to win with odds of -1201 -120
La Fiorita is expected to win with odds of -118Under 3.5 -370
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -118
Both teams are expected to score1X&U4.5 -294
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:1
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|
12
-
7
-
3
|
|
 La Fiorita |
17-May-25
1:0
| Tre Fiori  |
| La Fiorita |
02-Feb-25
0:0
| Tre Fiori |
| Tre Fiori |
28-Sep-24
1:2
| La Fiorita |
| Tre Fiori |
10-Mar-24
1:1
| La Fiorita |
| La Fiorita |
25-Nov-23
1:0
| Tre Fiori |
| La Fiorita |
16-Apr-23
1:0
| Tre Fiori |
| Tre Fiori |
07-Jan-23
1:1
| La Fiorita |
| La Fiorita |
30-Aug-22
1:2
| Tre Fiori |
| Tre Fiori |
27-Apr-22
2:3
| La Fiorita |
Recent Matches of La Fiorita| 06 Dec | W |
San Giovanni.
|
0:2
| La Fiorita.
|
Recent Matches of Tre Fiori
| 06 Dec | W | Tre Fiori. |
4:0 |
Murata. |
San-Marino - Campionato| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Virtus | 30 | 66-18 | 77 |
| 2 |
La Fiorita | 30 | 74-19 | 73 |
| 3 |
Tre Fiori | 30 | 61-28 | 56 |
| 4 |
Folgore | 30 | 41-31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Cosmos | 30 | 61-36 | 50 |
| 6 |
Tre Penne | 30 | 48-33 | 49 |
| 7 |
San Giovanni | 30 | 58-37 | 49 |
| 8 |
Fiorentino | 30 | 33-34 | 45 |
| 9 |
Murata | 30 | 33-33 | 39 |
| 10 |
Faetano | 30 | 32-62 | 31 |
| 11 |
Juvenes / Doga | 30 | 24-35 | 30 |
| 12 |
Domagnano | 30 | 29-44 | 29 |
| 13 |
Libertas | 30 | 29-60 | 26 |
| 14 |
Cailungo | 30 | 35-66 | 23 |
| 15 |
Pennarossa | 30 | 26-76 | 17 |
| 16 |
San Marino Aca | 30 | 30-68 | 16 |
