icon back

Match Prediction

Lanus vs Fluminense Prediction

Lanus

€30.12m

16 Sep20:30
1 : 0

Fluminense

€82.05m

Preview

Lanus vs Fluminense Prediction CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Lanus vs Fluminense Prediction: Betting Tips, Odds & Match Analysis

The stage is set for a fascinating quarter-final first leg in the 2025 CONMEBOL Sudamericana, as Lanus welcome Fluminense to the Estadio Ciudad de Lanús on September 17, 2025, at 01:30 GMT. If you’re searching for the most reliable Lanus vs Fluminense prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. Let’s break down the teams, tactics, recent form, and the best sports betting tips for this much-anticipated encounter.

Team News, Tactics & Recent Form: What to Expect on the Pitch

Both Lanus and Fluminense arrive at this stage with their own stories of resilience, tactical evolution, and a few bruises along the way. The head to head history between these two sides is limited, but both are no strangers to high-stakes continental football.

  • Lanus clinched their spot in the quarter-finals after a nerve-wracking penalty shootout win over Central Córdoba, with Dylan Aquino’s late equalizer proving crucial. Their Sudamericana campaign has been a rollercoaster, with a 5-2 win and a 1-0 loss to the same opponent. Domestically, Lanus have struggled for consistency, recently drawing 1-1 with River Plate and losing 2.78 to Vélez Sarsfield. Injuries are a headache for coach Mauricio Pellegrino, with key players like R. De Jesús, R. Carrera, Juan Ramírez, Peña, F. Watson, Lautaro Morales, L. Romero, and R. Loaiza all sidelined. Marcelino Moreno stands out as the team’s most valuable asset, but the squad’s €30.12m value is dwarfed by their Brazilian rivals.
  • Fluminense, on the other hand, have shown their mettle with a 2-0 win over Bahia in the Copa do Brasil and a 2-0 victory against America de Cali in the Sudamericana. They also held Santos to a goalless draw in the league. However, injuries could play a part, with Thiago Silva, Germán Cano, Yeferson Soteldo, and Otávio potentially missing out. Renato Gaúcho’s side will be missing new defensive signing Igor Rabello for this cup tie, but Martinelli is expected to lead by example as their most valuable player. Fluminense’s squad value stands at a hefty €82.05m, underlining their depth and quality.

Tactically, Fluminense have been praised for their Relational Play under Renato Gaúcho. Expect fluid movement, players drifting from their positions, and a focus on creating overloads on one side of the pitch. Lanus, meanwhile, will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, hoping to make the most of home advantage despite their injury list.

Interesting Facts & Match Context

This tie is not just about a place in the semi-finals—it’s about pride, momentum, and perhaps a shot at history. The Sudamericana final, originally set for Bolivia, will now be played in Asunción, Paraguay, for the second year running. Both teams will be dreaming of booking their ticket to that showpiece event, but first, they must navigate a tricky first leg.

  • Lanus recently surprised everyone by holding Vélez Sarsfield to a 0:0 draw away, defying their underdog status.
  • Fluminense pulled off a dramatic 3.46 draw against Bahia away from home, showing their ability to fight back even when the odds are stacked against them.

Lanus vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Now, let’s get down to the numbers and betting odds that matter for your sports betting strategy. Our AI-driven Lanus vs Fluminense prediction highlights several key insights for this quarter-final:

  1. Double Chance (X2): The AI strongly favors Fluminense to avoid defeat, with a 7.3/10 trust level and attractive odds of 1.57. This means betting on Fluminense to either win or draw is a smart move, especially considering their superior squad value and tactical flexibility.
  2. 1x2 Market: The prediction leans toward an away win (Fluminense), with a trust rating of 5.8 and odds of 2.78. While Lanus are tough at home, Fluminense’s recent form and depth give them the edge.
  3. Under 2.4 Goals: Expect a cagey affair, with both teams likely to prioritize defensive solidity in this first leg. The AI projects under 2.4 goals with a confidence of 5.7 and odds of 1.48. The predicted final score is a tight 0:1, with a goalless first half on the cards.

Key Match Stats & What They Mean for Bettors

  • Possession: Fluminense are expected to control 54% of the ball, with Lanus at 46%. This fits the narrative of the Brazilian side dictating play and Lanus looking to counter.
  • Shots: Both teams are projected to have 10 shots each, but don’t expect a shooting gallery—only 3 on target per side.
  • Corners: A total of 7 corners is forecast, with Fluminense edging it 4-3. For those who love a good corners market, this could be worth a look.
  • Yellow Cards: Interestingly, the AI expects a clean game with zero yellows for either side—though anyone who’s watched South American football knows that’s a bold call!

In summary, the best Lanus vs Fluminense prediction for your betting slip is to back Fluminense on the double chance (X2), with a cautious eye on the under 2.4 goals market. The away side’s higher squad value, tactical flexibility, and recent form all point to them leaving Argentina with at least a draw—and possibly a narrow win.

Final Thoughts: Who Will Take the Advantage?

While Lanus will hope their home crowd can lift them, the smart money is on Fluminense’s experience and squad depth making the difference. Sports betting fans should keep an eye on the betting odds as kick-off approaches, but our Lanus vs Fluminense prediction is clear: back the Brazilians to avoid defeat and expect a low-scoring, tactical battle. And remember, in football (and betting), sometimes the best prediction is to expect the unexpected—just maybe not too many goals this time!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Lanus is champion!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Lanus vs Fluminense

X2 -175

Fluminense to win or draw with odds of -175
7/10

1x2 Tip

2 246

Fluminense is expected to win with odds of 246
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -294

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -192

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -111

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
4

Average / Match

0.88
Expected Goals
0.75
1.7
Total Goals
2.6
1
Goals Scored
1.4
0.7
Goals Against
1.2
52%
Possession
50%
12.4
Total Shots
12.3
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.9
6
Shots off Goal
4.4
11.1
Fouls
12.3
4.5
Corners
3.4
0.8
Offsides
0.6
1.75
Yellow Cards
1.78
0.13
Red Cards
0
407
Total Passes
430

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
2
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
2
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Lanus
0 - 0 - 0
Fluminense

Profile time Recent Matches of Lanus

29 Jan Lanus Lanus.
-
Union S. Union S
23 JanW San Lorenzo San Lorenzo.
2:3
Lanus. Lanus

Profile time Recent Matches of Fluminense

28 JanFluminense Fluminense.
-
Gremio.Gremio
25 JanWFluminense Fluminense.
2:1
Flamengo RJ.Flamengo RJ
23 JanWNova Iguacu Nova Iguacu.
2:3
Fluminense.Fluminense
Video preview
You might also like:
RB Leipzig vs Mainz Parma vs Juventus Mallorca vs Sevilla
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches