icon back

Match Prediction

Latvia vs England Prediction

Latvia

€8.75m

14 Oct14:45
0 : 5

England

€1.01bn

Preview

Latvia vs England Prediction World Cup - Qualification Europe

Latvia vs England Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines for October 14

Welcome to our Latvia vs England prediction, where we break down everything fans and punters need to know ahead of this World Cup qualification encounter. With England on the brink of securing a ticket to the 2026 tournament and Latvia eager to restore pride at home, this match at Daugava Stadium promises talking points, if not a level playing field.

Form, Stakes, and Team News

England, led by Thomas Tuchel, arrive in Riga in sensational form. The Three Lions have strung together nine wins from their last ten, remaining unbeaten in their past 36 World Cup qualifying matches—a record that stretches back to 2009. They’ve yet to concede a single goal in this qualifying campaign, underlining their defensive discipline and attacking balance.

Latvia, meanwhile, have had a bumpier ride. Their last six matches have yielded no wins, with recent results including a 2-2 draw at home against a ten-man Andorra that left coach Paolo Nicolato visibly frustrated. Their campaign has featured flashes of promise, such as a narrow victory over Andorra and a hard-fought draw with Albania, but also some tough defeats.

This will be the first time England have played away to Latvia, but they already have a head-to-head advantage after a 3-0 win at Wembley in March 2025.

Key Absentees and Lineups

  • Latvia: Captain Kristers Tobers is sidelined, which weakens their defense. Young talents like Niks Sliede and Dario Šits will look to impress, while Aleksejs Saveljevs is expected to pull the creative strings in midfield.
  • England: The visitors are missing stars Harry Kane, Phil Foden, and Jude Bellingham, along with defender Jarell Quansah. However, the likes of Morgan Rogers and Bukayo Saka bring pace and unpredictability, and Declan Rice will marshal the midfield.

Tactical Approaches

  • Latvia: Expect a defensive 4-2-3-1 or 5-4-1, with the hosts sitting deep, blocking passing lanes, and hoping to spring Gutkovskis or Šits on the counter. Organization and patience will be their best friends.
  • England: Tuchel’s men will likely play a fluid 4-3-3, pressing high and dominating possession. The full-backs will overlap, Saka and Rogers will stretch the field, and set-pieces could be a real weapon given Latvia’s vulnerability.

Latvia vs England Prediction: AI Tips, Odds, and Stats

Now, let’s get into the numbers. The betting odds say it all: England are overwhelming favorites at 1.04 for an away win, while Latvia’s home win sits at a distant 46.0. A draw? A long shot at 15.0. Our AI’s Latvia vs England prediction is clear: back the away win (2), with a trust level of 10/10. It’s as close to a banker as international football gets.

Looking at total goals, our best tip is over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.32 and a moderate trust level of 3/10. England’s firepower, even without some big names, should be enough to break down Latvia’s lines. The expected final score? 0:3 to England, with a predicted 0:1 at half-time. England are expected to hog the ball (74% possession), fire off 16 shots, and win seven corners, while Latvia may struggle to register a shot on target.

  • 1x2 Market: England to win (odds 1.04, trust 10/10)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 (odds 1.32, trust 3/10)
  • Expected Score: Latvia 0-3 England
  • Possession: Latvia 26%, England 74%
  • Corners: Latvia 1, England 7

Final Thoughts and Betting Value

The Latvia vs England prediction is as straightforward as they come. England are expected to dominate possession, rack up the shots, and keep another clean sheet. Latvia will do their best to frustrate, but the gulf in squad value (€8.75m vs €1.01bn) and recent form is hard to ignore. For punters, the value lies in the total goals market or a correct score punt. Just don’t expect miracles—unless you’re Latvian, in which case, hope springs eternal!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

England has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Latvia vs England

O2.5 -313

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -313
3/10

1x2 Tip

2 -2500

England is expected to win with odds of -2500
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -313

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -357

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

2&O2.5 -400

Away win and over 2.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

26%
Ball Possession
74%
4
Total Shots
16
1
Shots Off Goal
4
1
Corners
7
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.8
Total Goals
3.2
0.6
Goals Scored
2.8
1.2
Goals Against
0.4
45%
Possession
71%
7.4
Total Shots
14.8
2.2
Shots on Goal
6.2
3.1
Shots off Goal
4.4
10.4
Fouls
8.8
2.7
Corners
6.4
1.7
Offsides
1.5
1.78
Yellow Cards
1.63
0
Red Cards
0
400
Total Passes
635

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
9
5
Over 1.5 Goals
9
3
Over 2.5 Goals
7
1
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Latvia
0 - 0 - 1
England
England England 24-Mar-25
3:0
Latvia Latvia

World - World Cup - Qualification Europe World - World Cup - Qualification Europe

Team Matches Goals Points
1 England England8
22-0
24
2 Albania Albania8
7-5
14
3 Serbia Serbia8
9-10
13
4 Latvia Latvia8
5-15
5
5 Andorra Andorra8
3-16
1
Video preview
You might also like:
Espanyol vs Alaves Lorient vs Nantes Nice vs Brest
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches