Le Havre
€46.25m
Lille
€215.60m
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X2 -385
Lille to win or draw with odds of -3852 -111
Lille is expected to win with odds of -111Under 3.5 -286
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 100
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -213
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:2
Preview
The Le Havre vs Lille prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two Ligue 1 sides prepare to meet at Stade Oceane on November 30, 2025, at 16:15 GMT. With the home team sitting in 13th place and Lille holding a strong 4th position, this fixture promises both tactical intrigue and betting opportunities. Let’s dive into the key storylines, tactical setups, and what our AI thinks about the likely outcome.
Le Havre and Lille may both call Ligue 1 home, but their journeys this season have been quite different. Le Havre, currently 13th with 14 points from 13 matches, have shown flashes of resilience. Their recent run includes two wins, two draws, and a single defeat—highlighted by a gritty 1-1 draw with Nantes and a narrow 1-0 win over Brest. However, a 6-2 loss to Marseille still lingers in the memory, reminding fans that consistency remains elusive for the hosts.
Lille, meanwhile, have been more convincing, sitting 4th with 23 points. Their last five outings have been a mixed bag: two wins and three losses, including a thumping 6-1 triumph over Metz and a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Strasbourg. Lille’s European adventures have also tested their squad depth, with a 1-0 loss to FK Crvena Zvezda and a surprise 1-0 win away at AS Roma.
Tactically, Lille are expected to stick to their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation under Bruno Genesio, with Ozer between the posts and a backline that will have to cope without the suspended Calvin Verdonk. The midfield engine is likely to be powered by Benjamin Andre and Ayyoub Bouaddi, while the creative spark comes from Felix Correia, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, and Osame Sahraoui. Up front, Olivier Giroud’s experience remains a key asset—though don’t expect him to run the 100 meters anytime soon.
Le Havre’s approach is more pragmatic, relying on defensive organization and the occasional flash of inspiration from players like Gautier Lloris. Injuries have been a concern, with Andy Logbo and Mbwana Samatta both doubtful, but the squad remains largely intact. The home side will hope to frustrate Lille and pounce on set-piece opportunities.
Looking at the head to head record, Lille have dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last nine meetings. Le Havre have managed just one win, with only one draw separating these sides historically. The most recent encounter, however, saw Le Havre spring a surprise with a 2-1 victory—proof that football loves an underdog story, even if the odds rarely do.
Speaking of odds, the current market paints Lille as favorites: a home win is priced at 4.3, a draw at 3.7, and an away win at 1.9. The squad values tell their own story—Le Havre’s €46.25m is dwarfed by Lille’s impressive €215.60m. If football was decided by accountants, Lille would already have three points in the bag.
Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. Our AI analysis for the Le Havre vs Lille prediction suggests the most valuable bet is X2 (Lille win or draw), with a trust score of 5.9/10 and odds at 1.26. For those who like to keep things simple, the 1x2 prediction is a straight Lille win (2), with a trust of 4.7 and odds of 1.9. If you’re expecting fireworks, you might want to look elsewhere—our under/over market prediction is under 3.5 goals, with a confidence of 4.3 and odds at 1.35.
The anticipated final score? Our AI predicts a 0:2 win for Lille, with a goalless first half. Expect Lille to control possession (forecasted at 58%), outshoot Le Havre (16 shots to 10), and force more corners (7 to 3). Both teams are expected to keep their discipline, with just one yellow card apiece.
While Le Havre have shown they can upset the odds—remember their 2-3 away win at Strasbourg with odds of 6.0—Lille’s superior squad depth, recent form, and head to head dominance make them the logical pick. Still, as any seasoned punter knows, football has a way of making fools of us all. That’s why we love it.
To sum up, the Le Havre vs Lille prediction leans heavily towards the visitors, both in terms of stats and squad quality. Lille’s recent European exploits and historical record suggest they should have enough to secure the points, but Le Havre’s fighting spirit at home can’t be discounted entirely. For those looking for betting tips, X2 and under 3.5 goals look like the smartest plays. Just remember—bet responsibly, and don’t let the AI have all the fun!
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4
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Lille |
08-Feb-25
1:2
| Le Havre ![]() |
Le Havre |
28-Sep-24
0:3
| Lille ![]() |
Lille |
17-Feb-24
3:0
| Le Havre ![]() |
Le Havre |
01-Oct-23
0:2
| Lille ![]() |
Lille |
26-Jul-23
3:2
| Le Havre ![]() |
| 22 Nov | L |
PSG.
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3:0
| Le Havre.
|
| 08 Nov | D |
Le Havre.
|
1:1
| Nantes.
|
| 02 Nov | D |
Toulouse.
|
0:0
| Le Havre.
|
| 29 Oct | W |
Le Havre.
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1:0
| Brest.
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| 26 Oct | W |
Auxerre.
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0:1
| Le Havre.
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| 18 Oct | L |
Marseille.
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6:2
| Le Havre.
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| 05 Oct | D |
Le Havre.
|
2:2
| Rennes.
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| 28 Sep | D |
Metz.
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0:0
| Le Havre.
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| 21 Sep | D |
Le Havre.
|
1:1
| Lorient.
|
| 14 Sep | L |
Strasbourg.
|
1:0
| Le Havre.
|
| 27 Nov | W | Lille. |
4:0 |
Din. Zagreb.![]() |
| 23 Nov | W | Lille. |
4:2 |
Paris FC.![]() |
| 09 Nov | L | Strasbourg. |
2:0 |
Lille.![]() |
| 06 Nov | L | Crvena zvezd. |
1:0 |
Lille.![]() |
| 02 Nov | W | Lille. |
1:0 |
Angers.![]() |
| 29 Oct | L | Nice. |
2:0 |
Lille.![]() |
| 26 Oct | W | Lille. |
6:1 |
Metz.![]() |
| 23 Oct | L | Lille. |
3:4 |
PAOK.![]() |
| 19 Oct | W | Nantes. |
0:2 |
Lille.![]() |
| 05 Oct | D | Lille. |
1:1 |
PSG.![]() |
France - Ligue 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Ge | 13 | 27-11 | 30 |
| 2 |
Marseille | 13 | 33-12 | 28 |
| 3 |
Lens | 13 | 22-11 | 28 |
| 4 |
Lille | 13 | 27-17 | 23 |
| 5 |
Strasbourg | 13 | 24-17 | 22 |
| 6 |
Rennes | 13 | 23-18 | 21 |
| 7 |
Lyon | 13 | 18-15 | 21 |
| 8 |
Monaco | 13 | 25-25 | 20 |
| 9 |
Nice | 13 | 18-23 | 17 |
| 10 |
Toulouse | 13 | 18-17 | 16 |
| 11 |
Angers | 13 | 11-15 | 16 |
| 12 |
Paris FC | 13 | 20-25 | 14 |
| 13 |
Le Havre | 13 | 13-20 | 14 |
| 14 |
Stade Brestois | 13 | 17-23 | 13 |
| 15 |
Nantes | 13 | 12-19 | 11 |
| 16 |
Lorient | 13 | 15-27 | 11 |
| 17 |
Metz | 13 | 14-30 | 11 |
| 18 |
Auxerre | 13 | 7-19 | 8 |