Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction

Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction: Betting Tips, Odds & Match Analysis

The Serie A spotlight turns to Stadio Via del Mare as Lecce welcomes AS Roma for a pivotal encounter on January 6, 2026, at 17:00 GMT. This Lecce vs AS Roma prediction dives deep into team tactics, recent form, and the best sports betting tips, blending expert analysis with the latest AI-driven projections. With both sides eager to start the new year on a high, this fixture promises plenty of intrigue for fans and punters alike.

Team News, Tactics & Recent Form

Lecce, currently 16th in the Serie A table with 16 points from 16 matches, have built a reputation as a steady, hard-to-break-down unit under Eusebio Di Francesco. Their recent 1-1 draw away at Juventus—where they even took the lead—showcases their resilience, though inconsistency in attack remains a concern. The Giallorossi have won two of their last six home games, but worryingly, failed to score in the other four. Injuries and international absences continue to test their depth:

• Out: Lassana Coulibaly, Hamza Rafia (AFCON), Mergim Berisha, Riccardo Sottil, Tete Morente, Frederic Guilbert, B. Pierret, F. Marchwiński (injuries)
• Returned: Kialonda Gaspar, Lameck Banda (post-AFCON, Banda a major doubt after Juventus injury)
• Doubtful: Christian Früchtl, Lameck Banda, Danilo Veiga (may start)
• Key Players: Wladimiro Falcone (penalty-saving specialist), Nikola Stulic, Francesco Camarda (both struggling for goals)

AS Roma, sitting 4th with 33 points from 17 matches, have seen their early-season momentum wane. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side, known for their flexible 3-4-2-1 setup and relentless pressing, have lost four of their last five away games—failing to score in three. The squad is stretched by suspensions and injuries:

• Suspended: Gianluca Mancini, Mario Hermoso
• Out: Evan Ndicka, Neil El Aynaoui (AFCON), Lorenzo Pellegrini, Artem Dovbyk, Edoardo Bove, Niccolò Pisilli
• Doubtful: Tommaso Baldanzi, Leon Bailey, Mario Hermoso, Wesley, Matias Soule
• Key Players: Paulo Dybala (looking to end a nine-game drought, but has a strong record against Lecce)

Tactically, Lecce’s compact 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shapes aim to frustrate opponents, while Roma’s transitions and wide overloads could be decisive. Di Francesco’s record against his former club is poor (0 wins in 14), while Gasperini boasts 8 wins in 12 against Lecce.

Head to Head, Market Value & Key Stats

The head to head record is overwhelmingly in Roma’s favor: 27 wins, 2 losses, and 11 draws in all competitions. Lecce have only managed one win in their last 37 meetings. Roma have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four visits to Lecce, and the hosts have only scored more than once in one of their last nine outings.

• Market Value: Lecce €75.68m, Roma €401.00m
• Last H2H: Roma won 1-0 in March 2025
• Betting Odds: Home win 5.6, Draw 3.6, Away win 1.83

Roma’s defensive solidity is notable: only seven of their 18 league matches have featured over 1.5 goals. They have won all ten league games in which they scored first this season.

Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction: AI Betting Tips & Final Score

Our Lecce vs AS Roma prediction leans firmly towards the away side, with our AI assigning a confidence of 5.6/10 for a Roma win (odds 1.83). The 1x2 prediction also favors Roma with a trust score of 5.6. Here’s how the numbers break down for your sports betting strategy:

1. Full-Time Result: Roma to win (Odds: 1.83) – The away team’s superior quality and head to head dominance make them the standout pick, even with recent away struggles.
2. Under/Over 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 (Odds: 1.62, Confidence: 4.5/10) – Both teams have struggled for attacking fluency, and Roma’s matches rarely see many goals.
3. Correct Score: 0:2 to Roma – Expect a professional, if unspectacular, away performance.
4. Half-Time Score: 0:1 Roma – Early pressure from the visitors should pay off.
5. Ball Possession: Roma 60%, Lecce 40% – Expect the Giallorossi to control the tempo.
6. Shots on Target: Roma 4, Lecce 2 – Roma’s efficiency should tell.

In summary, all signs point to a low-scoring affair dominated by Roma’s organization and experience. Lecce’s injuries and lack of firepower, combined with Roma’s historical edge and tactical discipline, make the away win the best bet. For those looking for value in sports betting, the under 2.5 goals market is also appealing given both teams’ recent scoring records.

Whether you’re a stats enthusiast or just looking for the smartest Lecce vs AS Roma prediction, our analysis suggests sticking with the favorites—Roma to win, and don’t expect a goal fest. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the football!