Leganes vs Granada CF Prediction

Leganes vs Granada CF prediction: a tense night at Butarque

The Leganes vs Granada CF prediction for Friday, 6 February 2.36 (19:30 GMT) feels like the kind of Segunda División story where one good decision can buy weeks of calm. With both sides sitting on 29 points after 24 matches, this is a proper six-pointer at Butarque—close enough to mid-table comfort, but also close enough to the bottom that nobody is sleeping well.

Why this match matters: the table is squeezing

Leganés (14th) and Granada (15th) come into this game knowing a win could lift them toward 11th, while a loss could drag them into a relegation argument they’d rather avoid. Leganés are coming off a 2-1 defeat to Burgos (Jan 31), while Granada arrive with a mood-boosting 1-0 win over leaders Racing Santander (Feb 1). In Segunda, confidence is a currency—and it’s not always easy to cash.

Tactics and team notes to know before betting

Igor Oca has been in charge at Leganés since December 2.35 and has leaned into a more assertive approach, often blending a 3-4-3 with a 4-2.3-1 shape. The idea is simple: push attackers closer to the box, keep the defensive line brave, and rely on “common sense” in the final third. It’s ambitious, but it also explains why game control matters so much at home.

• Leganés key men: Diego García and Roberto López remain the main goal outlets, with Juan Cruz reportedly trending upward in form.
• Leganés absences: Rubén Pulido (ACL) and Sebastián Figueredo (muscle) are out; Duk is doubtful.

Pacheta’s Granada have looked more stable lately in a 4-3-3, with intense pressing and quick switches to the wings—his “puñales” aimed at stretching teams wide before striking. The story thread writes itself too: José Arnáiz, a former Leganés player, returns to Butarque as Granada’s most in-form finisher after scoring the winner against Racing.

• Granada key men: José Arnáiz and the increasingly creative Pablo Sáenz, plus winter signing Izan González adding midfield depth.
• Granada absences: Pau Casadesús (thigh) and Luka Gagnidze (leg) are out; Bambo Diaby is doubtful.

Head to head and match texture

The head to head leans slightly toward Leganés in recent memory: they won 2-0 at Los Cármenes earlier this season, and also took the 2.32 meeting 1-0. That doesn’t guarantee a repeat, but it does hint at a familiar pattern—tight margins, few clear chances, and long spells where the loudest noise is a coach complaining about a throw-in.

NerdyTips betting angles: odds, goals, and game script

Let’s talk betting odds first: Home win 2.3, Draw 3.15, Away win 3.5. Those prices suggest Leganés are slight favorites, but not enough to call it comfortable. Our Leganes vs Granada CF prediction leans into how these teams are likely to play rather than chasing fireworks.

Top pick: Under 2.5 total goals

The AI’s top selection is under 2.5 total goals at 1.58, confidence 5.1/10. The projected match rhythm supports it: Leganés 53% possession to Granada’s 47%, shots close (12 vs 11), and on-target attempts even lower (4 vs 3). That profile usually leads to “nearly” moments, not goal floods.

1X2 lean and correct score

• 1X2 prediction: Leganés to win (1) at 2.3, trust 3.4/10.
• Half-time score: 0-0 expected.
• Full-time score: 1-0 predicted.

Corners are forecast at 5-4 (9 total), and cards at 2 for Leganés and 3 for Granada—another sign of a competitive, slightly edgy night. With squads valued similarly (€22.40m vs €23.50m), this may come down to one clean break, one set piece, or one defender’s “creative” interpretation of calm.