Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The Leganes vs Granada CF prediction for Friday, 6 February 2.46 (19:30 GMT) feels like the kind of Segunda División story where one good decision can buy weeks of calm. With both sides sitting on 29 points after 24 matches, this is a proper six-pointer at Butarque—close enough to mid-table comfort, but also close enough to the bottom that nobody is sleeping well.
Leganés (14th) and Granada (15th) come into this game knowing a win could lift them toward 11th, while a loss could drag them into a relegation argument they’d rather avoid. Leganés are coming off a 2-1 defeat to Burgos (Jan 31), while Granada arrive with a mood-boosting 1-0 win over leaders Racing Santander (Feb 1). In Segunda, confidence is a currency—and it’s not always easy to cash.
Igor Oca has been in charge at Leganés since December 2.3.5 and has leaned into a more assertive approach, often blending a 3.5-3 with a 4-2.4-1 shape. The idea is simple: push attackers closer to the box, keep the defensive line brave, and rely on “common sense” in the final third. It’s ambitious, but it also explains why game control matters so much at home.
Pacheta’s Granada have looked more stable lately in a 4-3-3, with intense pressing and quick switches to the wings—his “puñales” aimed at stretching teams wide before striking. The story thread writes itself too: José Arnáiz, a former Leganés player, returns to Butarque as Granada’s most in-form finisher after scoring the winner against Racing.
The head to head leans slightly toward Leganés in recent memory: they won 2-0 at Los Cármenes earlier this season, and also took the 2.42 meeting 1-0. That doesn’t guarantee a repeat, but it does hint at a familiar pattern—tight margins, few clear chances, and long spells where the loudest noise is a coach complaining about a throw-in.
Let’s talk betting odds first: Home win 2.4, Draw 3.1, Away win 3.5. Those prices suggest Leganés are slight favorites, but not enough to call it comfortable. Our Leganes vs Granada CF prediction leans into how these teams are likely to play rather than chasing fireworks.
The AI’s top selection is under 2.5 total goals at 1.56, confidence 5.1/10. The projected match rhythm supports it: Leganés 53% possession to Granada’s 47%, shots close (12 vs 11), and on-target attempts even lower (4 vs 3). That profile usually leads to “nearly” moments, not goal floods.
Corners are forecast at 5-4 (9 total), and cards at 2 for Leganés and 3 for Granada—another sign of a competitive, slightly edgy night. With squads valued similarly (€22.40m vs €23.50m), this may come down to one clean break, one set piece, or one defender’s “creative” interpretation of calm.
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Leganes didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1791 140
Leganes is expected to win with odds of 140Under 2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -127
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -208
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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4
-
1
-
2
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|
 Granada CF |
14-Sep-25
0:2
| Leganes  |
| Granada CF |
27-May-23
2:0
| Leganes |
| Leganes |
27-Nov-22
1:0
| Granada CF |
| Leganes |
22-Jun-20
0:0
| Granada CF |
| Granada CF |
28-Sep-19
1:0
| Leganes |
| Leganes |
04-Mar-17
1:0
| Granada CF |
| Granada CF |
01-Oct-16
0:1
| Leganes |
Recent Matches of Leganes| 21 Mar | W |
Leganes
| 5 |
Ceuta
| 2 |
| 14 Mar | L |
Valladolid
| 3 |
Leganes
| 2 |
| 08 Mar | L |
Leganes
| 0 |
Eibar
| 1 |
| 01 Mar | D |
Gijon
| 0 |
Leganes
| 0 |
| 21 Feb | D |
Leganes
| 1 |
Cultural
| 1 |
| 14 Feb | L |
Cordoba
| 2 |
Leganes
| 1 |
| 06 Feb | W |
Leganes
| 1 |
Granada CF
| 0 |
| 31 Jan | L |
Burgos CF
| 2 |
Leganes
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Leganes
| 2 |
Real II
| 0 |
| 16 Jan | L |
Castellon
| 2 |
Leganes
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Granada CF
| 22 Mar |  Real II |
- | Granada CF |
- | |
| 15 Mar | D | Granada CF |
1 |  Andorra |
1 |
| 08 Mar | W |  Deportivo |
0 | Granada CF |
2 |
| 28 Feb | L | Granada CF |
0 |  Malaga |
1 |
| 20 Feb | L |  Ceuta |
2 | Granada CF |
1 |
| 14 Feb | W | Granada CF |
5 |  Valladolid |
1 |
| 06 Feb | L | Leganes |
1 | Granada CF |
0 |
| 01 Feb | W | Granada CF |
1 |  Racing S |
0 |
| 24 Jan | W |  Cadiz CF |
1 | Granada CF |
2 |
| 19 Jan | D | Granada CF |
0 |  Eibar |
0 |
Spain - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing | 30 | 62-40 | 59 |
| 2 |
Almeria | 30 | 56-42 | 52 |
| 3 |
Deportivo La | 30 | 46-34 | 52 |
| 4 |
Malaga | 30 | 49-37 | 51 |
| 5 |
Castellón | 30 | 49-37 | 49 |
| 6 |
Las Palmas | 30 | 39-24 | 48 |
| 7 |
Burgos | 30 | 32-26 | 47 |
| 8 |
Sporting Gijon | 30 | 42-38 | 45 |
| 9 |
AD Ceuta FC | 30 | 37-45 | 44 |
| 10 |
Eibar | 30 | 32-30 | 42 |
| 11 |
Cordoba | 30 | 41-43 | 41 |
| 12 |
Real Sociedad | 30 | 44-41 | 40 |
| 13 |
FC Andorra | 30 | 37-41 | 39 |
| 14 |
Albacete | 30 | 35-40 | 39 |
| 15 |
Cadiz | 30 | 31-36 | 38 |
| 16 |
Granada CF | 30 | 35-34 | 36 |
| 17 |
Valladolid | 30 | 35-43 | 36 |
| 18 |
Leganes | 30 | 31-32 | 34 |
| 19 |
Huesca | 30 | 29-42 | 31 |
| 20 |
Zaragoza | 30 | 26-41 | 30 |
| 21 |
Cultural | 30 | 28-49 | 27 |
| 22 |
Mirandes | 30 | 28-49 | 24 |
