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Match Prediction

Leganes vs Real Sociedad II Prediction

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Leganes

€22.40m

24 Jan11:15
2 : 0

Real II

-

Preview

Leganes vs Real II Prediction Segunda División

Leganes vs Real Sociedad II Prediction: Betting Tips, Stats & Story

Welcome to our Leganes vs Real Sociedad II prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this intriguing Segunda División encounter. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting started, we’ve got the stats, betting tips, and inside info to help you make the most of this match.

Team News, Tactics, and the Battle for Points

On January 24, 2026, at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes and Real Sociedad II meet with both sides eager to climb out of the lower half of the table. Leganes sit 15th with 26 points, while Real Sociedad II are just behind in 17th with 23 points. Every point matters as the season heats up, and these two will be fighting for every inch.

  • Recent Form: Leganes have been unpredictable lately—wins over Valladolid and Albacete, but losses to Castellon and Sporting Gijon, plus a gritty draw at Racing Santander. Real Sociedad II, meanwhile, have mixed results: a win at Ceuta, a tough loss to Cultural Leonesa, a goalless draw with Albacete, and a surprise 3-0 win away at Deportivo La Coruna.
  • Head to Head: Real Sociedad II have dominated recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five. Leganes haven’t managed a single win in these direct encounters, with the last meeting in November 2025 ending 2-1 to the visitors.
  • Injuries & Key Players:
    • Leganes are missing Duk, Rubén Pulido, and Sebastian Figueredo, while Lalo Aguilar’s fitness is a question mark. Pulido is out until early February with a ligament injury.
    • For Real Sociedad II, Iker Calderon and Iñaki Rupérez are on the sidelines.
    • Leganes will look to Rubén Peña (7 big chances created) and Duk (most shots on target), with Luis Lopes as their top scorer. Real Sociedad II have Gorka Carrera Zarranz as their main threat, both scoring and creating chances, and Dani Diaz firing the most on target per game.
  • Tactics: Leganes like to attack in a 4-3-3, pushing forward at home. Real Sociedad II are flexible, often sitting deep and breaking quickly, especially away from San Sebastian.
  • Coaching News: Paco López is at the helm for Leganes, aiming to steady the ship, while Aitor Fraga leads Real Sociedad II. Staff changes at the main Real Sociedad club don’t affect the B team here.

Both teams need points, and with Leganes at home, expect them to push for the win. But with Real Sociedad II’s recent away heroics (remember that 3-0 at La Coruna?), nothing is guaranteed.

Leganes vs Real Sociedad II Prediction and Betting Tips

Now, let’s dive into the Leganes vs Real Sociedad II prediction and what our data says about the best betting tips for this match.

  1. 1x2 Market: The odds favor Leganes at 1.93 for a home win, with the draw at 3.5 and Real Sociedad II at a tempting 4.75. Our AI recommends a home win (1) as the best value, though with a low trust level of 1.4. Leganes are expected to have 62% possession and more shots on target, which supports the tip, but their lack of head-to-head success adds a twist. Still, home advantage could finally tip the scales.
  2. Under/Over Goals: The AI’s top tip is under 3.5 goals (odds 1.29, trust level 4.6). Both teams have struggled to score freely, and with Leganes’ coach recently lamenting missed chances, a goal fest seems unlikely. The expected final score is 2-1, so under 3.5 looks safe for most bettors.
  3. Other Stats: Expect around 25 total shots (12 for Leganes, 13 for Real Sociedad II), but with only 8 shots on target combined, defenses could have the upper hand. Corners should be close (5-3 to Leganes), and watch out for cards—Real Sociedad II could rack up as many as four yellows.

In summary, our Leganes vs Real Sociedad II prediction leans toward a narrow home win, but with Real Sociedad II’s recent away form and their strong head to head record, don’t rule out a surprise. The safest play is under 3.5 goals, but if you’re feeling bold, a small punt on the draw or even the away win could pay big.

Final Thoughts: What to Watch For

This match is more than just another fixture—it’s a test of nerve for two sides who need points. Leganes have the home crowd and a point to prove, while Real Sociedad II have recent history on their side. Our Leganes vs Real Sociedad II prediction: expect a tense, tactical battle, likely decided by a moment of magic or a defensive slip.

  • Best Betting Tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.29)
  • Value Bet: Leganes to win (odds 1.93)
  • Expected Score: Leganes 2-1 Real Sociedad II

No matter how you play it, this Segunda División meeting promises drama, a few twists, and maybe, just maybe, a break in the head to head curse for Leganes. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as a Luis Lopes finish!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Leganes didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Leganes vs Real II

U3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -345
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -108

Leganes is expected to win with odds of -108
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -345

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -109

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -244

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.59
xG
0.83
62%
Ball Possession
38%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

1.53
Expected Goals
0.91
2.6
Total Goals
2.2
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Goals Against
1
50%
Possession
44%
11.1
Total Shots
13.4
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.1
4.2
Shots off Goal
5.9
12.7
Fouls
15.6
5
Corners
4
2.1
Offsides
2.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
3.5
384
Total Passes
347

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Leganes
0 - 1 - 2
Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II Real II 08-Nov-25
2:1
 Leganes Leganes
Leganes Leganes 08-Jan-22
1:1
 Real II Real Sociedad II
Real Sociedad II Real II 14-Aug-21
1:0
 Leganes Leganes

Profile time Recent Matches of Leganes

14 Mar Valladolid Valladolid - Leganes Leganes -
08 MarL Leganes Leganes 0 Eibar Eibar 1
01 MarD Gijon Gijon 0 Leganes Leganes 0
21 FebD Leganes Leganes 1 Cultural Cultural 1
14 FebL Cordoba Cordoba 2 Leganes Leganes 1
06 FebW Leganes Leganes 1 Granada CF Granada CF 0
31 JanL Burgos CF Burgos CF 2 Leganes Leganes 1
24 JanW Leganes Leganes 2 Real II Real II 0
16 JanL Castellon Castellon 2 Leganes Leganes 0
11 JanW Leganes Leganes 3 Valladolid Valladolid 0

Profile time Recent Matches of Real II

15 MarCordoba Cordoba - Real II Real II -
07 MarWReal II Real II 4 Castellon Castellon 2
01 MarLReal II Real II 2 Deportivo Deportivo 3
23 FebWCadiz CF Cadiz CF 0 Real II Real II 2
16 FebWReal II Real II 2 Malaga Malaga 1
07 FebWAndorra Andorra 1 Real II Real II 2
03 FebWNottingha Nottingha 0 Real II Real II 1
30 JanDReal II Real II 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
24 JanLLeganes Leganes 2 Real II Real II 0
21 JanWChelsea U21 Chelsea U21 2 Real II Real II 3

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing29
60-39
56
2 Almeria Almeria29
56-40
52
3 Castellón Castellón29
48-33
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La29
44-33
49
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas29
38-22
48
6 Malaga Malaga29
44-34
48
7 Burgos Burgos29
32-26
46
8 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC29
36-43
44
9 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon29
38-37
42
10 Eibar Eibar29
32-30
41
11 Cordoba Cordoba29
41-41
41
12 FC Andorra FC Andorra29
36-40
38
13 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad29
42-41
37
14 Albacete Albacete29
33-39
36
15 Granada CF Granada CF29
34-33
35
16 Cadiz Cadiz29
29-36
35
17 Leganes Leganes29
29-29
34
18 Valladolid Valladolid29
32-41
33
19 Huesca Huesca29
26-37
31
20 Zaragoza Zaragoza29
24-41
27
21 Cultural Leonesa Cultural29
27-47
27
22 Mirandes Mirandes29
28-47
24
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