Leicester
€273.30m
Liverpool
€993.50m
The King Power Stadium braces for a classic David vs Goliath battle this Sunday as 19th-place Leicester host league-leading Liverpool. With a staggering 58-point gap separating the sides after 32 rounds, this Premier League fixture pits a €273m squad against a €993m juggernaut—like a reliable bicycle trying to outpace a sports car. But as Leicester's recent 2-2 shock at Brighton (at 10.0 odds) proved, football loves nothing more than laughing at the script.
Bookmakers aren't exactly hiding their feelings. Liverpool stroll in at 1.24 odds—a payout so meager it's like finding forgotten coins in last winter's jacket. Leicester? A whopping 11.0 underdog, with odds longer than a Monday morning. The draw sits at 6.2, for those who enjoy romantic chaos. NerdyTips' AI gives Liverpool's victory a perfect 10/10 trust score at those skinny odds, though it's less convinced about goals galore (just 3.9/10 confidence in Over 2.5 at 1.44 odds).
Expect Liverpool to hog 63% possession while Leicester scrap for 37%—a disparity that usually ends with one team's defenders begging for oxygen tanks. The numbers forecast 16 Liverpool shots (4 on target) to Leicester's 6 (2 on target), with corners mirroring the imbalance: 7 for the Reds, 4 for the Foxes. Even the disciplinary projections smirk at Liverpool's dominance: 3 expected yellows for Leicester versus just 1 for the visitors. Referee S. Attwell might need his notebook, but probably not his red card.
Last season's meeting saw Liverpool cruise 3-0 as 1.62 favorites, and Premier League trends suggest away wins (32.1% this season) aren't rare. Over 2.5 goals? Happens 54.9% of the time league-wide. But here's the twist: Leicester's historical 44.7% home-win average feels like ancient history now. Their current form makes those stats look like wishful thinking.
The NerdyTips algorithm whispers a 0-1 halftime lead blooming into a 1-2 final score, with Liverpool's quality eventually overwhelming Leicester's grit. Will the Foxes' backline survive the Reds' relentless attacks without needing a mid-game nap? Probably not. But remember—football adores underdog tales, even when the data screams otherwise.
While the 10/10 trust score for Liverpool at 1.24 is as close to a sure thing as algorithms give, value hunters might eye Leicester +2 handicap or that Over 2.5 goals market. Just don't bet your house on a Foxes miracle—their squad costs €720m less for a reason. Sometimes, the sports car just wins.
2 -417
Liverpool is expected to win with odds of -4172 -417
Liverpool is expected to win with odds of -417Over 2.5 -227
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -110
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -208
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals1:2
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5
-
3
-
16
|
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20-Apr-25
0:1
|
Liverpool ![]() |
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26-Dec-24
3:1
|
Leicester ![]() |
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27-Sep-23
3:1
|
Leicester ![]() |
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30-Jul-23
4:0
|
Leicester ![]() |
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15-May-23
0:3
|
Liverpool ![]() |
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30-Dec-22
2:1
|
Leicester ![]() |
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10-Feb-22
2:0
|
Leicester ![]() |
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28-Dec-21
1:0
|
Liverpool ![]() |
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22-Dec-21
3:3
|
Leicester ![]() |
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13-Feb-21
3:1
|
Liverpool ![]() |
26 Apr | L |
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3:0
| Leicester.
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26 Apr |
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1 1.51
X 4.4
2 6.2
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12 Apr | D |
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2:2
| Leicester.
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12 Apr |
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1 1.3
X 5.5
2 10
|
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07 Apr | L |
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0:3
| Newcastle.
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07 Apr |
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1 6.2
X 4.4
2 1.5
|
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02 Apr | L |
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2:0
| Leicester.
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02 Apr |
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1 1.17
X 8
2 15.5
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16 Mar | L |
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0:3
| Man. Utd.
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16 Mar |
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1 4.4
X 3.9
2 1.77
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09 Mar | L |
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1:0
| Leicester.
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09 Mar |
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1 1.24
X 6.65
2 11
|
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27 Feb | L |
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2:0
| Leicester.
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27 Feb |
![]()
1 1.71
X 3.9
2 4.75
|
||||
21 Feb | L |
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0:4
| Brentford.
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21 Feb |
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1 3.3
X 3.75
2 2.05
|
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15 Feb | L |
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0:2
| Arsenal.
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15 Feb |
![]()
1 11
X 6
2 1.26
|
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07 Feb | L |
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2:1
| Leicester.
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07 Feb |
![]()
1 1.35
X 5.5
2 7.93
|
27 Apr | W | ![]() |
5:1
|
Tottenham.![]() |
|
27 Apr |
![]()
1 1.3
X 6.1
2 8.5
|
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13 Apr | W | ![]() |
2:1
|
West Ham.![]() |
|
13 Apr |
![]()
1 1.31
X 5.5
2 9
|
||||
06 Apr | L | ![]() |
3:2
|
Liverpool.![]() |
|
06 Apr |
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1 4.27
X 3.7
2 1.84
|
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02 Apr | W | ![]() |
1:0
|
Everton.![]() |
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02 Apr |
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1 1.5
X 4.33
2 6.5
|
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16 Mar | L | ![]() |
1:2
|
Newcastle.![]() |
|
16 Mar |
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1 1.78
X 3.8
2 4.4
|
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11 Mar | L | ![]() |
0:1
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PSG.![]() |
|
11 Mar |
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1 2.3
X 3.85
2 2.8
|
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08 Mar | W | ![]() |
3:1
|
Southampt.![]() |
|
08 Mar |
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1 1.11
X 10
2 21
|
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05 Mar | W | ![]() |
0:1
|
Liverpool.![]() |
|
05 Mar |
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1 2.4
X 3.76
2 2.69
|
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26 Feb | W | ![]() |
2:0
|
Newcastle.![]() |
|
26 Feb |
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1 1.42
X 5
2 6.6
|
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23 Feb | W | ![]() |
0:2
|
Liverpool.![]() |
|
23 Feb |
![]()
1 3
X 3.85
2 2.2
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
34 |
80-32 |
82 |
2 |
![]() |
34 |
63-29 |
67 |
3 |
![]() |
34 |
65-44 |
62 |
4 |
![]() |
34 |
66-43 |
61 |
5 |
![]() |
34 |
59-40 |
60 |
6 |
![]() |
33 |
53-39 |
60 |
7 |
![]() |
34 |
54-49 |
57 |
8 |
![]() |
34 |
50-46 |
51 |
9 |
![]() |
34 |
56-55 |
51 |
10 |
![]() |
34 |
53-41 |
50 |
11 |
![]() |
33 |
56-50 |
46 |
12 |
![]() |
34 |
43-47 |
45 |
13 |
![]() |
34 |
51-61 |
41 |
14 |
![]() |
34 |
39-47 |
39 |
15 |
![]() |
34 |
34-41 |
38 |
16 |
![]() |
34 |
62-56 |
37 |
17 |
![]() |
34 |
39-58 |
36 |
18 |
![]() |
34 |
33-74 |
21 |
19 |
![]() |
34 |
27-76 |
18 |
20 |
![]() |
34 |
25-80 |
11 |