Preview
If you’re searching for a reliable Leuven vs KV Mechelen prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. The Dijle Derby returns to the King Power at Den Dreef Stadion on Sunday, February 1, 2026, with kickoff set for 18:15 GMT. This isn’t just another Jupiler Pro League fixture—it’s a meeting of two sides with plenty of history, recent form to dissect, and more than a few betting angles to consider. Let’s break down what to expect, from tactics to team news, before we dive into our best betting tips and predictions for this match.
The storylines are clear: KV Mechelen are holding on to a precious top-six spot, sitting in 6th place, while Leuven are battling at the other end of the table in 14th. Mechelen’s recent run—two wins, two draws, and two losses from their last six matches—tells us they’re steady but not spectacular. They average a goal scored and a goal conceded per game, making them the definition of “hard to beat, but not always winning.”
Leuven, meanwhile, are having a rougher time. Just one win in their last six, three draws, and two losses. Their attack has been especially blunt, averaging only 0.33 goals per match over this stretch. Home comforts haven’t helped either: they haven’t managed a win in their last three at Den Dreef.
Let’s not forget the head to head record. In October, these two shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw—Mechelen had more of the ball (56% possession) and more shots, but Leuven snatched a point in stoppage time. Historically, Mechelen have a slight edge, with 14 wins to Leuven’s 11 in 34 meetings, and the draw is not uncommon.
On the tactical front, Leuven under Felice Mazzù have tried to keep things compact, while Mechelen look to control the ball and create from wide areas. Expect Leuven to edge possession (53% predicted), but Mechelen’s counter-attacking threat is real.
Now for the part you came for: the best Leuven vs KV Mechelen prediction and betting tips. Our AI sees this as a tight, low-scoring affair—no surprise given both teams’ recent output and the stakes involved.
Let’s look at the numbers:
From a value perspective, Mechelen’s squad is worth €39.60m, while Leuven’s comes in at €32.10m. But as we’ve seen, value doesn’t always equal results—Leuven’s 1-0 win away at Gent last season as 6.2 underdogs is proof enough.
To wrap up this Leuven vs KV Mechelen prediction: back under 3.5 goals for a safe bet, and consider a small stake on a home win if you fancy a bit more risk. The Dijle Derby rarely disappoints for drama, but don’t expect a goalfest this time around. Keep an eye on the team news before kickoff, and may your bets be as sharp as Nacho Miras’ reflexes.
For more Leuven vs KV Mechelen prediction updates and betting tips, stay tuned to NerdyTips—where we turn stats into stories and predictions into profits.
Read More
Read Less
Want to see how AI predicts football matches? → Check the latest results !
Leuven didn't play better in the last H2H match!
|
11
-
7
-
14
|
|
KV Mechelen |
25-Oct-25
1:1
| Leuven ![]() |
Leuven |
03-May-25
1:2
| KV Mechelen ![]() |
KV Mechelen |
13-Apr-25
1:1
| Leuven ![]() |
Leuven |
31-Jan-25
1:0
| KV Mechelen ![]() |
KV Mechelen |
05-Oct-24
5:0
| Leuven ![]() |
KV Mechelen |
27-Apr-24
3:0
| Leuven ![]() |
Leuven |
30-Mar-24
2:3
| KV Mechelen ![]() |
Leuven |
17-Mar-24
1:0
| KV Mechelen ![]() |
KV Mechelen |
23-Sep-23
1:2
| Leuven ![]() |
Leuven |
08-Apr-23
4:1
| KV Mechelen ![]() |
| 24 Jan | D |
Leuven.
|
0:0
| Union S.
|
| 18 Jan | L |
St. Truiden.
|
1:0
| Leuven.
|
| 08 Jan | L |
Preussen M.
|
2:1
| Leuven.
|
| 27 Dec | D |
RAAL L.
|
0:0
| Leuven.
|
| 21 Dec | L |
Leuven.
|
0:2
| Cercle B.
|
| 12 Dec | W |
St. Liege.
|
0:1
| Leuven.
|
| 07 Dec | D |
Leuven.
|
1:1
| Waregem.
|
| 03 Dec | L |
Leuven.
|
1:2
| Club B.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Genk.
|
2:1
| Leuven.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Leuven.
|
1:2
| St. Truiden.
|
| 25 Jan | D | KV Mechelen. |
1:1 |
Westerlo.![]() |
| 17 Jan | L | Union S. |
1:0 |
KV Mechelen.![]() |
| 10 Jan | W | KV Mechelen. |
2:1 |
Servette.![]() |
| 27 Dec | D | KV Mechelen. |
1:1 |
Dender.![]() |
| 21 Dec | L | St. Truiden. |
1:0 |
KV Mechelen.![]() |
| 13 Dec | W | Cercle B. |
2:3 |
KV Mechelen.![]() |
| 07 Dec | W | KV Mechelen. |
1:0 |
Charleroi.![]() |
| 04 Dec | L | Charleroi. |
2:0 |
KV Mechelen.![]() |
| 28 Nov | L | KV Mechelen. |
0:1 |
St. Liege.![]() |
| 23 Nov | W | Genk. |
0:1 |
KV Mechelen.![]() |
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. | 22 | 37-12 | 46 |
| 2 |
St. Truiden | 22 | 33-24 | 45 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge KV | 22 | 42-28 | 44 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht | 22 | 30-26 | 36 |
| 5 |
Gent | 22 | 36-31 | 32 |
| 6 |
KV Mechelen | 22 | 26-24 | 32 |
| 7 |
Charleroi | 22 | 27-26 | 30 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege | 22 | 18-29 | 27 |
| 9 |
Antwerp | 22 | 24-24 | 27 |
| 10 |
Zulte Waregem | 22 | 31-34 | 26 |
| 11 |
Genk | 22 | 29-34 | 26 |
| 12 |
KVC Westerlo | 22 | 29-33 | 25 |
| 13 |
RAAL La | 22 | 19-25 | 23 |
| 14 |
OH Leuven | 22 | 19-30 | 21 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge | 22 | 28-31 | 21 |
| 16 |
Dender | 22 | 17-34 | 17 |