Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Belgium
Preview
Welcome to our Leuven vs Union St Gilloise prediction, where we break down the upcoming Jupiler Pro League fixture with a blend of expert analysis and a fan’s friendly perspective. With the match set for January 24, 2026, at 19:45 GMT, both teams arrive with contrasting fortunes—Union St Gilloise at the summit and OH Leuven battling near the bottom. Let’s dive into the key stats, tactical nuances, and betting odds to help you make informed sports betting decisions.
Union St Gilloise (often called Union SG) are enjoying life at the top of the Jupiler Pro League. After 21 matches, they have 13 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats, scoring 37 and conceding only 12—a defensive record that would make any coach smile. In their last six games, Union SG have not tasted defeat, with three wins and two draws in the most recent five. Their defense is the best in the league, letting in just 0.57 goals per match.
OH Leuven, meanwhile, are stuck in a rough patch. With only 5 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses from 21 league games, they’ve managed a mere 19 goals while conceding 30. Their recent form is worrying: one win, two draws, and three defeats in their last six matches. Home fans haven’t had much to cheer about either, as Leuven have gone winless in 83% of their last 18 home matches across all competitions.
Leuven’s boss Felice Mazzù is expected to set up in a 3-4-1-2, hoping to absorb pressure and hit on the break. Their average of 16 total shots per game sounds impressive, but with only 0.9 goals per match, the finishing boots are still missing. Injuries to Bryang Kayo, Siebe Schrijvers, and Thibault Vlietinck further limit their options, especially in midfield.
Union SG, under David Hubert, are likely to stick with their reliable defensive framework. Even with Rob Schoofs and Ousseynou Niang out, their squad depth—valued at over €2.1 million compared to Leuven’s €32 million—means they can rotate without losing much quality. Expect them to control possession (AI predicts 61%) and keep things tight at the back.
Let’s talk numbers. The betting odds paint a clear picture: Union St Gilloise are strong favorites at 2.1 for the away win, with a home win for Leuven at a distant 4.2 and a draw at 3.5. For those who love head to head stats, Union SG’s dominance in recent meetings only strengthens their case.
Here’s what the stats suggest:
The under 3.5 goals tip looks especially solid given Union SG’s defensive record and Leuven’s lack of firepower. If you’re looking for value in sports betting, this market is worth a second glance.
To wrap up our Leuven vs Union St Gilloise prediction: all signs point to a controlled, low-scoring affair. Union SG’s form, head to head superiority, and squad depth should see them edge this one—especially with Leuven’s injuries and struggles in front of goal. The best tips from our AI suggest backing the away win and under 3.5 goals, both with strong confidence levels.
If you’re after a bit of betting odds fun, the 0:1 correct score prediction is a cheeky shout—just don’t expect a goal fest! Whether you’re a stats nerd or just love a good football story, this fixture promises tactical intrigue and, most likely, a businesslike performance from the league leaders.
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Union St Gilloise has upcoming match in Europe
U3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3572 110
Union S is expected to win with odds of 110Under 3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -115
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -213
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:1
|
|
6
-
5
-
14
|
|
 Union S |
03-Aug-25
5:0
| Leuven  |
| Union S |
19-Jan-25
1:0
| Leuven |
| Leuven |
24-Nov-24
1:1
| Union S |
| Leuven |
02-Mar-24
0:2
| Union S |
| Union S |
12-Aug-23
5:1
| Leuven |
| Union S |
21-Jan-23
1:0
| Leuven |
| Leuven |
01-Oct-22
0:3
| Union S |
| Leuven |
11-Mar-22
1:4
| Union S |
| Union S |
26-Nov-21
1:3
| Leuven |
Recent Matches of Leuven| 24 Jan | D |
Leuven.
|
0:0
| Union S.
|
| 18 Jan | L |
St. Truiden.
|
1:0
| Leuven.
|
| 08 Jan | L |
Preussen M.
|
2:1
| Leuven.
|
| 27 Dec | D |
RAAL L.
|
0:0
| Leuven.
|
| 21 Dec | L |
Leuven.
|
0:2
| Cercle B.
|
| 12 Dec | W |
St. Liege.
|
0:1
| Leuven.
|
| 07 Dec | D |
Leuven.
|
1:1
| Waregem.
|
| 03 Dec | L |
Leuven.
|
1:2
| Club B.
|
| 30 Nov | L |
Genk.
|
2:1
| Leuven.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Leuven.
|
1:2
| St. Truiden.
|
Recent Matches of Union S
| 28 Jan | Union S. |
- |
Atalanta. | |
| 24 Jan | D | Leuven. |
0:0 |
Union S. |
| 21 Jan | L |  Bayern Munic. |
2:0 |
Union S. |
| 17 Jan | W | Union S. |
1:0 |
KV Mechelen. |
| 14 Jan | W |  Dender. |
0:2 |
Union S. |
| 26 Dec | D |  Cercle B. |
1:1 |
Union S. |
| 20 Dec | W | Union S. |
2:0 |
Waregem. |
| 14 Dec | D |  Charleroi. |
1:1 |
Union S. |
| 09 Dec | L | Union S. |
2:3 |
Marseille. |
| 06 Dec | D | Union S. |
1:1 |
Gent. |
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Union St. | 22 | 37-12 | 46 |
| 2 |
St. Truiden | 22 | 33-24 | 45 |
| 3 |
Club Brugge KV | 22 | 42-28 | 44 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht | 22 | 30-26 | 36 |
| 5 |
Gent | 22 | 36-31 | 32 |
| 6 |
KV Mechelen | 22 | 26-24 | 32 |
| 7 |
Charleroi | 22 | 27-26 | 30 |
| 8 |
Standard Liege | 22 | 18-29 | 27 |
| 9 |
Antwerp | 22 | 24-24 | 27 |
| 10 |
Zulte Waregem | 22 | 31-34 | 26 |
| 11 |
Genk | 22 | 29-34 | 26 |
| 12 |
KVC Westerlo | 22 | 29-33 | 25 |
| 13 |
RAAL La | 22 | 19-25 | 23 |
| 14 |
OH Leuven | 22 | 19-30 | 21 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge | 22 | 28-31 | 21 |
| 16 |
Dender | 22 | 17-34 | 17 |
