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Match Prediction

Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction

Finished

Levadiakos

€11.45m

1 Feb10:00
3 : 1

Asteras T

€11.12m

Preview

Levadiakos vs Asteras T Prediction Super League 1

Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction: can form beat fear?

Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction talk usually starts with the table, and this one tells a clear story. Mark your calendars for 2.26-02-01 at 13.650 GMT (16:00 local time) when 4th-placed Levadiakos (35 points) host 13th-placed Asteras Tripolis (13 points) at Stadio Levadias. One side is chasing Europe with a smile; the other is chasing a goal like it’s hiding behind the stands.

Where the match could be won before the first tackle

Levadiakos arrive with a run that feels like it should come with a warning label: five straight wins and unbeaten in eight. They have also been the division’s most productive attack with 44 goals, and at home they’ve turned Stadio Levadias into a busy workplace—six wins from nine, with a high scoring rate that has made visitors sweat early.

Asteras Tripolis (often listed as Asteras Aktor) travel with the opposite mood. They are winless in six and, more brutally, have not scored in their last five matches. Their away scoring record is the thinnest in the league, with just three away goals. If you’re looking for a “simple fix,” it’s this: they need someone—anyone—to remember where the goal is.

Tactical notes: pressure vs pragmatism

Levadiakos under Nikolaos Papadopoulos have typically lined up in a 4-4-1-1, leaning into aggressive forward play and set-piece pressure. They also win penalties at a league-leading rate (seven so far), which is rarely an accident. They move the ball into the box often, and creative players like Triantafyllos Tsapras help turn territory into real chances.

Asteras come with a major subplot: Milan Rastavac returned on January 15, 2.26, for his third spell. Expect less romance and more survival. His immediate mission is to stop the bleeding, tighten distances, and hope a disciplined plan can restart an attack that has gone silent since mid-December.

Team news, absences, and January movement

  • Levadiakos injuries: Benjamin Verbic is out; Joel Abu Hanna has a calf issue.
  • Suspension watch: Giannis Kosti is one booking away (4 yellows).
  • New faces: 21-year-old Christos Papadopoulos joined from Genoa on Jan 28, plus Georgios Kornezos and goalkeeper Ramiro Macagno.
  • Asteras absences: Spyros Angelidis is reportedly unavailable.
  • Suspension watch: Dani Fernández, Pepe Castaño, Konstantinos Pomonis, and Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos are all one card from trouble.
  • Defensive additions: Daniel “Dani” Fernández (Jan 23) and Panagiotis Deligiannidis (Jan 21) were brought in to add structure.

And the head to head history adds a twist: in 33 meetings, both clubs have 11 wins each with 11 draws—football’s version of “we can’t agree on anything.” Levadiakos did win the last direct meeting we have on record, 1-0 on 2.25-10-29, and they also pulled off a headline surprise earlier in the season by beating PAOK 4-1 on 2.25-09-17 as big outsiders (5.3 odds). Asteras, meanwhile, showed their “dig in” identity with a 0-0 away draw at Aris on 2.25-11-09 at 5.5 odds.

Betting angles and NerdyTips stats for the prediction

Now to the numbers that shape our Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis prediction from a betting view. Current 1X2 odds: Home 1.76, Draw 3.65, Away 5.5. The market sees Levadiakos as rightful favorites—but our models still sniff some risk in paying that price.

What the AI expects the match to look like

  • Possession: Levadiakos 68% vs Asteras 32%
  • Shots: 14 vs 8 (on target: 5 vs 2)
  • Corners: 7 vs 3 (10 total)
  • Yellow cards: 1 vs 3
  • Squad value: €11.45m vs €11.12m (very close on paper)

Those stats point to a familiar script: Levadiakos bossing territory, Asteras defending deep, and the visitors likely racking up cards while trying to disrupt rhythm. But “more shots” doesn’t always mean “more goals,” especially if Asteras arrive with a damage-control plan under a returning coach.

NerdyTips betting tips: totals and 1X2

  • Best tip: Under 3.5 goals at 1.34 (trust level 3.65/10)
  • AI-backed under/over: Under 3.5 goals at 1.34 (confidence 3.65/10)
  • 1X2 lean: X2 at 2.55 (trust level 1.4/10)

The under 3.5 angle fits the story: Asteras have struggled to score, and the AI expects a tight first half (0:0 at the break). Even with Levadiakos controlling the ball, the projected final score is 0:1, which explains why the model is cautious about a straight home win and instead flirts with X2—though that low trust level (1.4/10) is basically the model whispering, not shouting.

So, if you want the more stable lane, the data-driven pick is under 3.5 goals. If you want to gamble on the plot twist—Rastavac’s first big away moment—X2 is the spicy side dish, but not the main course. Either way, keep an eye on that first goal: it may decide whether this becomes a calm afternoon in Levadia, or one of those days where the away end suddenly remembers how to sing.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Levadiakos vs Asteras T

U3.5 -294

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -294
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 115

Asteras T to win or draw
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -294

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -111

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 150

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

2.33
xG
0.89
68%
Ball Possession
32%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
4
7
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

2.07
Expected Goals
1
3.3
Total Goals
1.8
2.3
Goals Scored
0.8
1
Goals Against
1
61%
Possession
42%
12.9
Total Shots
9.6
5
Shots on Goal
3.4
4
Shots off Goal
4.8
12.2
Fouls
14
5.8
Corners
4.7
2.2
Offsides
1.7
1.33
Yellow Cards
2.57
458
Total Passes
333

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
2
10
Over 1.5 Goals
5
7
Over 2.5 Goals
2
5
Over 3.5 Goals
2
7
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Levadiakos
8 - 7 - 9
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 07-Dec-25
1:1
Levadiakos Levadiakos
Levadiakos Levadiakos 29-Oct-25
1:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos Levadiakos 19-Jan-25
1:2
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 28-Sep-24
1:1
Levadiakos Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 08-Apr-23
0:1
Levadiakos Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 15-Jan-23
0:0
Levadiakos Levadiakos
Levadiakos Levadiakos 18-Sep-22
1:1
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos Levadiakos 26-Oct-21
1:0
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis Asteras T 07-Apr-19
0:0
Levadiakos Levadiakos
Levadiakos Levadiakos 02-Dec-18
0:2
Asteras T Asteras Tripolis

Profile time Recent Matches of Levadiakos

15 Mar PAOK PAOK - Levadiakos Levadiakos -
08 MarL Levadiakos Levadiakos 1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 4
28 FebL Kifisia Kifisia 1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0
22 FebL AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0
14 FebD Levadiakos Levadiakos 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 0
11 FebL Levadiakos Levadiakos 0 OFI Crete OFI Crete 1
08 FebL OFI Crete OFI Crete 3 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2
04 FebD OFI Crete OFI Crete 1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1
01 FebW Levadiakos Levadiakos 3 Asteras T Asteras T 1
25 JanD Aris Aris 2 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Asteras T

14 MarAEL Larissa AEL Larissa - Asteras T Asteras T -
08 MarLAsteras T Asteras T 0 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1
01 MarLPAOK PAOK 2 Asteras T Asteras T 0
21 FebLAsteras T Asteras T 1 Atromitos Atromitos 2
14 FebLPanetolikos Panetolikos 3 Asteras T Asteras T 1
07 FebWAsteras T Asteras T 2 Volos Volos 0
04 FebLAsteras T Asteras T 0 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3
01 FebLLevadiakos Levadiakos 3 Asteras T Asteras T 1
24 JanLAsteras T Asteras T 0 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1
11 JanLOFI Crete OFI Crete 4 Asteras T Asteras T 0

Greece - Super League 1 Greece - Super League 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC24
44-15
56
2 PAOK PAOK24
48-15
54
3 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos24
42-11
54
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos24
42-25
45
5 Levadiakos Levadiakos24
50-34
39
6 OFI OFI24
32-42
29
7 Aris Thessalonikis Aris24
20-25
29
8 Atromitos Atromitos24
24-27
28
9 Volos NFC Volos NFC24
24-35
28
10 Panetolikos Panetolikos24
24-38
24
11 Kifisia Kifisia24
30-39
24
12 Larisa Larisa24
21-38
21
13 Asteras Tripolis Asteras24
20-38
16
14 Panserraikos Panserraikos24
16-55
15
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