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Levante

€86.70m

21 Mar12:30
4 : 2

R. Oviedo

€62.53m

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Levante vs R. Oviedo Prediction La Liga

Levante vs R. Oviedo prediction for March 21: tense points

The Levante vs R. Oviedo prediction basically writes itself: two teams living in the relegation zone, one afternoon, and 90 minutes that will feel like a whole season. This La Liga Matchday 29 game is set for Saturday, 2026-03-21, kickoff 17:30 GMT, at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante arrive 19th with 22 points, and Real Oviedo sit 20th with 21 — so yes, it’s a proper bottom-of-the-table scrap where every throw-in gets treated like a corner.

Match context, form, and the human side of the tactics

Luis Castro has Levante trying to play with patience, while Guillermo Almada’s Oviedo are often happier to stay compact and make the game ugly (the kind of ugly that still gets you points). Both sides have had a rough season, and the numbers back up the eye test: goals have been hard to find, and confidence even harder.

  • Levante form: D-W-L-L-L lately, though they did grab a big 2-0 win over Alavés and drew 1-1 with Girona. Even more encouraging, they held Rayo Vallecano to a 1-1 away draw on 2026-03-16 despite massive betting odds (5.5) against them.
  • Real Oviedo form: W-D-L-L-D, including a handy 1-0 win over Valencia and 1-1 with Espanyol. And if you like chaos, they drew 3-3 away at Real Sociedad on 2026-02-21 at odds of 7.25.

Injuries matter in matches like this because they reduce options and force simpler plans. Levante are expected to miss Pablo Martínez and Roger Brugué, with Carlos Álvarez and Unai Elgezabal also struggling to be ready. Oviedo have issues too: Jaime Vázquez and Leander Dendoncker are sidelined, while Lucas Ahijado and Thiago Borbas are doubtful.

Players who can swing it

For Levante, Mathew Ryan has been a lifesaver, sitting near the top of the league for saves per match (3.9). Up front, Carlos Espí is the main shooter, leading the team for shots on target per game. Oviedo will look to Federico Viñas to give them an outlet when they finally escape their own half.

Levante vs R. Oviedo prediction: NerdyTips angles & bets

Now to the Levante vs R. Oviedo prediction from our side, using our match model plus the market picture. The 1X2 betting odds are tight: home win 2.4, draw 3.3, away win 3.3. That’s the book saying “Levante edge it,” but not by much.

  • Best tip: 1X (Levante win or draw) at 1.39, trust 6.8/10. In a relegation battle, protecting yourself against the draw is just sensible sports betting.
  • 1X2 market call: 1 (Levante win) with confidence 5.3, odds 2.4. Slight lean to the home side, helped by squad value (€86.70m vs €62.53m) and home control.
  • Goals bet: Under 3.3 goals at 1.29, trust 6.3. This fits two struggling attacks and the “don’t lose” mindset.

The stats paint a careful Levante win: 53% possession to 47%, shots 17–11, shots on goal 4–4 (so… plenty of effort, same finishing), and about 8 corners (5–3). With just 1 yellow card expected per team, it may be tense without turning into a wrestling match.

Our correct score lean is 1-0, with 0-0 at half-time. That also fits their last head to head on 2.4-10-06 ending 0-0 — a reminder that when these two meet, goalkeepers usually get the better sleep.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Levante vs R. Oviedo

1X -256

Levante to win or draw with odds of -256
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 140

Levante is expected to win with odds of 140
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -385

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -112

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -179

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

1.49
xG
1.08
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.11
Expected Goals
1.03
2.5
Total Goals
2.7
0.9
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Against
1.7
42%
Possession
41%
13.8
Total Shots
10.8
3.2
Shots on Goal
3.9
5.8
Shots off Goal
4.3
12.3
Fouls
13.4
4.6
Corners
3.8
1.6
Offsides
2
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
357
Total Passes
348

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Levante
4 - 3 - 3
R. Oviedo
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 04-Oct-25
0:2
Levante Levante
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 26-Apr-25
1:0
Levante Levante
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 02-Mar-24
3:2
Levante Levante
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 05-Sep-22
1:1
Levante Levante
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 19-Nov-16
2:0
Levante Levante
Levante Levante 21-Mar-26
4:2
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo
Levante Levante 06-Oct-24
0:0
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo
Levante Levante 02-Sep-23
1:1
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo
Levante Levante 27-May-23
2:1
R. Oviedo R. Oviedo

Profile time Recent Matches of Levante

27 AprD Espanyol Espanyol 0 Levante Levante 0
23 AprW Levante Levante 2 Sevilla Sevilla 0
13 AprW Levante Levante 1 Getafe Getafe 0
04 AprL Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2 Levante Levante 0
21 MarW Levante Levante 4 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 2
16 MarD Vallecano Vallecano 1 Levante Levante 1
07 MarD Levante Levante 1 Girona Girona 1
27 FebW Levante Levante 2 Alaves Alaves 0
22 FebL Barcelona Barcelona 3 Levante Levante 0
18 FebL Levante Levante 0 Villarreal Villarreal 1

Profile time Recent Matches Of R. Oviedo

26 AprLR. Oviedo R. Oviedo 1 Elche Elche 2
23 AprDR. Oviedo R. Oviedo 1 Villarreal Villarreal 1
12 AprWCelta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 3
05 AprWR. Oviedo R. Oviedo 1 Sevilla Sevilla 0
21 MarLLevante Levante 4 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 2
14 MarWR. Oviedo R. Oviedo 1 Valencia Valencia 0
09 MarDEspanyol Espanyol 1 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 1
04 MarLVallecano Vallecano 3 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 0
28 FebLR. Oviedo R. Oviedo 0 Atl. Madrid Atl. Madrid 1
21 FebDReal Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 R. Oviedo R. Oviedo 3

Spain - La Liga Spain - La Liga

Team M G P
1 BarcelonaBarcelona3387-3085
2 Real MadridReal Madrid3368-3174
3 VillarrealVillarreal3359-3865
4 Atletico MadridAtletico3356-3760
5 Real BetisReal Betis3349-4150
6 GetafeGetafe3328-3444
7 Celta VigoCelta Vigo3345-4344
8 Real SociedadReal Sociedad3352-5243
9 OsasunaOsasuna3339-4042
10 Athletic ClubAthletic Club3336-4841
11 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3333-4139
12 ValenciaValencia3337-4839
13 EspanyolEspanyol3337-4939
14 ElcheElche3344-5038
15 GironaGirona3336-5038
16 AlavesAlaves3338-4936
17 MallorcaMallorca3341-5135
18 SevillaSevilla3340-5534
19 LevanteLevante3337-5033
20 OviedoOviedo3326-5128
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