Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa Prediction

Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction: odds, form, and tips

Our Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction for the Bulgarian First League (Round 20) points strongly toward the home side on 2026-02-07 at 15.50 GMT, at the Georgi Asparuhov Stadium in Sofia. Levski come in as leaders, Botev Vratsa as mid-table visitors, and the betting odds reflect that gap clearly.

Match context: table, form, and the winter story

Levski Sofia start the spring stretch in 1st place with 44 points from 19 matches and a powerful +31 goal difference. The numbers also match the eye test: they have looked like the most complete team in the league, with the best defense and a sharp attack. At the Gerena, they have been especially reliable, winning around two-thirds of their recent home games.

Botev Vratsa arrive in 9th with 25 points, competitive but not quite in the title race conversation. Their away form is not terrible, though: three wins in their last six road matches shows they can punish mistakes. They also stayed active during the break with friendlies, including a 0-0 against Ararat-Armenia and a 1-1 draw versus Vejle BK.

Tactics and team news to know before betting

Under Spanish coach Julio Velázquez, Levski play with high intensity and a proactive plan: keep the ball, move it quickly, and attack in waves. It has been called a “miracle” turnaround in local media, and the key detail is this: it’s their first winter-break lead in 16 years, so confidence is high.

• Levski approach: possession-first, fast transitions, pressure high up the pitch.
• Botev approach: more defensive stability under Todor Simov (appointed September 2025), with counter-attacks and a deeper block.

Transfers and absences also shape this Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa prediction. Levski added winger Armstrong Oko-Flex for about €300k and are rumored to be close to striker Bertrand Fourrier, but they lost left-back Tsunami to Iğdır FK. Injury-wise, winger Karl Fabien is expected out, defender Olivier Kamdem has a thigh strain, and goalkeeper Martin Lukov remains a long-term absentee.

Botev Vratsa have been busy too, bringing in goalkeeper Dimitar Evtimov, defender Bozhidar Chorbadzhiyski, winger Romeesh Ivey, and loan striker Joan Bornosuzov from CSKA Sofia. Left-back Martin Achkov is out, while Daniel Genov and Martin Smolenski sit one card away from suspension—something that can reduce aggression in duels.

Head to head and extra angles

The head to head trends favor Levski: unbeaten in the last 8 meetings (6 wins, 2 draws). Levski have also kept clean sheets in 73% of historical home meetings with Botev Vratsa. Still, the most recent H2H on 2024-09-07 ended 3-2, reminding us that Botev can land punches if the game opens up.

One more factor: Levski played Ludogorets in the Bulgarian Super Cup on February 3, 2026, so rotation and recovery could matter early on.

NerdyTips odds, predictions, and best bets

The betting odds are clear: Home win 1.26, Draw 5.5, Away win 13.0. That matches the squad value gap too—Levski at €31.20m versus Botev Vratsa at €6.82m.

• Best tip (NerdyTips): 1 (Levski to win) with trust 10.0/10 at odds 1.26
• AI 1x2 prediction: 1 with trust 10.0 at odds 1.26
• Total goals pick: Under 3.5 goals with trust 2.0 at odds 1.37
• Predicted final score: 3:0 (half-time 1:0)

How the numbers connect (simple bettor view)

Levski’s league-leading defense plus their strong head to head clean-sheet history explains why the model leans to a comfortable home win, even with possible Super Cup fatigue. The 3:0 correct score sits a bit in tension with “under 3.5” only having low trust (2.0), which is a polite way of saying: Levski might score plenty, but totals can swing if Botev grab one like they did in the 3-2.

Final takeaway: the safest path is backing the home win at 1.26, while total goals is more of a “nice if it lands” side option rather than the main play.