Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction: Can Lightning Strike Twice in the First League?

If you’re searching for the most insightful Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction, you’ve landed in the right place. This First League betting preview dives deep into the numbers, recent head to head results, and the latest football predictions to help you make sense of this intriguing sports betting opportunity. With Levski Sofia hosting Cherno More Varna at Vivacom Arena – Georgi Asparuhov on 2025.05-10 at 18:00 GMT, all eyes will be on whether the visitors can repeat their recent heroics—or if the home favorites will restore order.

Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: The Tale of Two Sides

On paper, Levski Sofia look like the clear favorites. They sit second in the First League with 64 points after 32 matches, boast a squad valued at €20.40 million, and are backed by home advantage. The betting odds reflect this, with a Levski Sofia win priced at 1.7, a draw at 3.45, and a Cherno More Varna win at a juicy 5.0. But if Bulgarian football history has taught us anything, it’s to expect the unexpected.

• Levski Sofia: 2nd place, 64 points, €20.40m squad value


• Cherno More Varna: 4th place, 54 points, €7.03m squad value


• Levski Sofia win odds: 1.7


• Draw odds: 3.45


• Cherno More Varna win odds: 5.0

Let’s not forget the recent shocker: on 2025.04-13, Cherno More Varna stunned Levski Sofia with a 2-1 away win, defying the odds of 5.05. That result wasn’t just a blip—it was a statement. For punters, it’s a reminder that in football predictions, past results matter.

Possession, Shots, and the Numbers Game

Every seasoned sports betting fan knows that stats don’t always tell the full story—but they sure help. Levski Sofia are expected to dominate the ball, with a projected 63% possession. That should translate into more chances: 12 shots (4 on target) compared to Cherno More Varna’s 9 shots (2 on target). The home side should also rack up 8 corners to the visitors’ 3.

• Possession: Levski Sofia 63%, Cherno More Varna 37%


• Expected shots: 12 (Levski Sofia), 9 (Cherno More Varna)


• Total corners: 11 (8 for Levski)

But here’s the twist: despite Levski’s statistical dominance, Cherno More Varna’s recent head to head win suggests they know how to play the underdog card to perfection. And with both teams predicted to pick up a few bookings (2 yellows for Levski, 3 for Cherno More), expect a tense, hard-fought battle.

Low-Scoring Trends and AI Wisdom: Betting Preview and Predictions

Here’s where the story gets interesting for First League betting preview readers. Bulgarian First League stats show home teams win 45.9% of matches, away teams 30.1%, and draws 24%. Both teams score in just 42.5% of games, and only 42.1% go over 2.5 goals.

• Over 2.5 goals: 42.1% of matches


• Under 2.5 goals: 57.9% of matches


• Both teams score: 42.5%

NerdyTips’ AI is siding with the under, recommending under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65 (confidence rating: 5.0/10). The AI’s bolder 1x2 prediction? A Cherno More Varna win (odds 5.0, trust level 1.7), with a predicted final score of 0:1—after a goalless first half. It’s a football prediction that might raise eyebrows, but given the visitors’ recent upset and the league’s low-scoring trend, it’s far from outlandish.

What Does It All Mean for Your Bets?

In summary, this Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction suggests the bookies may have underestimated Cherno More Varna—again. While Levski Sofia’s home record, squad value, and expected possession make them favorites, recent head to head history and First League trends point to a tight, low-scoring affair. If you’re feeling bold, the Cherno More win offers big value at 5.0. For the more cautious punter, under 2.5 goals at 1.65 is a well-supported angle.

1. Expect Levski Sofia to control the game, but don’t rule out a Cherno More Varna counterpunch.


2. Low-scoring trends and recent upsets make under 2.5 goals a smart play.


3. If history repeats, Cherno More Varna could shock the odds once more.

For the best Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction, consider the stats, respect the head to head history, and don’t be afraid to back the underdog—or the under goals line. After all, in sports betting, fortune favors the well-informed.