icon back

Match Prediction

Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction

Finished
Uruguay flag Uruguay
Primera División

Liverpool

€12.62m

19 Jun14:00
3 : 2

Penarol

€26.58m

Preview

Liverpool vs Penarol Prediction Primera División - Apertura

Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol Prediction: A Uruguayan Football Battle

When Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol takes center stage on June 19, 2025, at Estadio Belvedere, expect fireworks. This isn’t just another game—it’s a clash of contrasting fortunes. Peñarol, with a squad valued at €26.58m, are the heavy favorites, but Liverpool Montevideo (€12.62m) have already proven they can topple giants with a stunning 0-3 win earlier this season. Our Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol prediction dives into the stats, odds, and trends to help you make smarter betting decisions.

The Stakes: Pride, Points, and Past Surprises

Peñarol might have the financial muscle, but Liverpool Montevideo play with heart. Their 3-0 victory earlier this season, priced at 5.4 odds, was a reminder that Uruguayan football thrives on unpredictability. Yet, Peñarol’s recent 0-1 away win against Flamengo (at 7.4 odds) shows they’re no pushovers either. Here’s what makes this match fascinating:

  • Historical Trends: 36.5% of Primera División matches end in draws (current draw odds: 3.15).
  • Peñarol’s Away Form: They win 27.4% of their away games, but Liverpool’s home win rate is just 36.1%.
  • Head-to-Head: Their last meeting ended 2-2, with Liverpool defying odds of 3.83.

Betting Tips: Where the Value Lies

For bettors, this game is a puzzle. Peñarol’s outright win is priced at 2.08 odds, but Liverpool’s knack for upsets makes the X2 (1.29 odds) a safer choice. NerdyTips’ AI leans toward Peñarol winning (3.6/10 confidence), but with caution. Here’s how to approach it:

  1. Match Winner: Peñarol’s pedigree suggests they’ll edge it, but Liverpool’s defiance can’t be ignored.
  2. Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals (1.62 odds) looks likely—only 40.3% of league games surpass this.
  3. Both Teams to Score (BTTS): With a 44.7% BTTS rate, this could go either way.

The Tactical Lens: A Cagey Affair?

Expect a tight first half. Peñarol’s recent away performances have been gritty, and Liverpool’s home record is far from dominant. The AI predicts a 0-0 halftime score, with Peñarol eventually breaking through for a 0-2 win. If you’re hedging, consider:

  • Peñarol to Win & Under 2.5 Goals (combining their defensive solidity with attacking quality).
  • Correct Score 0-2 (aligns with Peñarol’s away trends and Liverpool’s struggles).

Final Verdict: Trust the Data or the Underdog?

While Peñarol’s financial edge and away form make them the logical pick, Liverpool’s habit of punching above their weight adds intrigue. For bettors, the smart play is Peñarol outright (2.08 odds) or the safer X2 (1.29 odds). If you believe in patterns, the 0-2 scoreline prediction offers solid value. One thing’s certain: this Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol clash will be anything but predictable.

Whether you’re here for the betting tips or the sheer drama of Uruguayan football, this match promises tension, surprises, and maybe even another giant-killing moment. Place your bets wisely!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Liverpool vs Penarol

X2 -345

Penarol to win or draw with odds of -345
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 108

Penarol is expected to win with odds of 108
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -147

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -120

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -238

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:2

Average / Match

1.8
Total Goals
2.7
1
Goals Scored
2.1
0.8
Goals Against
0.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
8
5
Over 1.5 Goals
8
2
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
3
4
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Liverpool Montevideo
9 - 7 - 17
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 13-Sep-25
2:2
Penarol Penarol
Penarol Penarol 11-Sep-25
2:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 19-Jun-25
3:2
Penarol Penarol
Penarol Penarol 20-Mar-25
0:3
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol Penarol 09-Nov-24
2:0
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 03-May-24
2:2
Penarol Penarol
Penarol Penarol 12-Feb-24
3:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol Penarol 16-Dec-23
0:1
Liverpool Liverpool Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 13-Dec-23
2:0
Penarol Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool 09-Dec-23
0:1
Penarol Penarol

Profile time Recent Matches of Liverpool

13 Jan Liverpool M. Liverpool M..
-
Albion. Albion

Profile time Recent Matches of Penarol

13 JanDPenarol Penarol.
0:0
Central Esp..Central Esp.

Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Penarol Penarol7
15-5
16
2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sport7
12-10
14
3 Wanderers Wanderers7
6-5
12
4 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia7
6-7
8
5 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Mont7
10-12
8
6 Cerro Cerro7
7-9
8
7 CA River Plate CA River Plate6
4-8
4
8 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo6
5-9
2
Video preview
You might also like:
Predictions - Osasuna vs R. Oviedo Predictions - Betis vs Villarreal Predictions - Strasbourg vs Metz Predictions - Atl. Madrid vs Alaves Predictions - Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches