Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
The UEFA Champions League brings an intriguing Liverpool vs Qarabag prediction to the forefront on January 28, 2026, as the English giants host the Azerbaijani champions at Anfield. With kick-off at 20:00 GMT, this match presents a classic tale of continental pedigree meeting ambitious underdogs. Let's look at what both teams bring to the pitch.
Liverpool, under Arne Slot, have found a rhythm built on control and possession. Their recent 3-0 win over Marseille showcased their ability to dominate European fixtures, often utilizing a midfield diamond to dictate play. Key men like the in-form Dominik Szoboszlai and the resurgent Florian Wirtz provide the creative spark, though potential defensive absences, like Ibrahima Konate, could be a factor. The Reds' main challenge will be breaking down a stubborn low block with patience and quick ball movement.
Qarabag, managed by the long-serving Gurban Gurbanov, are no strangers to causing surprises, as their recent last-gasp 3-2 win over Eintracht Frankfurt proved. They arrive at Anfield undefeated in four, playing with confidence. Their structured 4-2-3-1 formation is designed for discipline and rapid transitions, with pacy threats like Camilo Durán and Kevin Medina on the wings. Their head to head mentality against giants is proven; remember, they held a fancied Chelsea to a 2-2 draw last November. However, a tendency to drop points from winning positions is a known vulnerability.
Now, let's dive into the numbers that shape our Liverpool vs Qarabag prediction. The sheer disparity in market value—Liverpool at over €1 billion versus Qarabag's €28.65 million—hints at the gulf in resources, but football isn't played on a balance sheet. The betting odds heavily favor a home win at 1.12, reflecting Liverpool's status as overwhelming favorites.
Our AI analysis digs deeper into the likely match flow. It predicts Liverpool will dominate the ball with 73% possession and unleash around 19 shots, testing a Qarabag defense that will be under constant siege. The projected final score of 3-1 aligns with the AI's best tip for the home team to win by at least two goals (H1), which carries a solid confidence level. This suggests that while Qarabag's spirit might earn them a consolation, Liverpool's quality should tell over 90 minutes.
These projections paint a clear picture: Liverpool controlling proceedings, creating numerous chances, and Qarabag looking to hit back on the counter. The total goals market leaning 'over' supports the idea of an open game, especially if Qarabag finds the net as predicted.
While football loves an upset—and Qarabag has the recent results to believe—the data points towards a Liverpool victory. The combination of Anfield's atmosphere, Liverpool's superior depth, and their tactical approach under Slot makes them formidable. Qarabag's bravery and attacking threats mean they are unlikely to be a mere footnote, likely contributing to an entertaining match with goals at both ends.
In summary, our final Liverpool vs Qarabag prediction is a controlled but convincing home win, aligning with the AI's most confident picks. Expect Liverpool's pressure to eventually overwhelm a game but spirited Qarabag side, leading to a scoreline that reflects their dominance in both possession and chances created.
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H1 -227
H11 -833
Liverpool is expected to win with odds of -833Over 2.5 -588
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -110
Both teams are expected to score
1:0
3:1
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Recent Matches of Liverpool| 31 Jan |
Liverpool.
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-
| Newcastle.
| |
| 28 Jan | W |
Liverpool.
|
6:0
| Qarabag.
|
| 24 Jan | L |
Bournemout.
|
3:2
| Liverpool.
|
| 21 Jan | W |
Marseille.
|
0:3
| Liverpool.
|
| 17 Jan | D |
Liverpool.
|
1:1
| Burnley.
|
| 12 Jan | W |
Liverpool.
|
4:1
| Barnsley.
|
| 08 Jan | D |
Arsenal.
|
0:0
| Liverpool.
|
| 04 Jan | D |
Fulham.
|
2:2
| Liverpool.
|
| 01 Jan | D |
Liverpool.
|
0:0
| Leeds.
|
| 27 Dec | W |
Liverpool.
|
2:1
| Wolves.
|
Recent Matches of Qarabag
| 28 Jan | L |  Liverpool. |
6:0 |
Qarabag. |
| 24 Jan | L | Qarabag. |
0:2 |
Kapaz. |
| 21 Jan | W | Qarabag. |
3:2 |
Frankfurt. |
| 16 Jan | W |  Zaglebie. |
1:3 |
Qarabag. |
| 12 Jan | W | Qarabag. |
5:0 |
Neftchi. |
| 21 Dec | W |  Gabala. |
1:2 |
Qarabag. |
| 18 Dec | L |  Sabah Baku. |
2:1 |
Qarabag. |
| 14 Dec | W | Qarabag. |
5:1 |
Araz. |
| 10 Dec | L | Qarabag. |
2:4 |
Ajax. |
| 06 Dec | D |  Zira. |
1:1 |
Qarabag. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 7 | 20-2 | 21 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 7 | 20-7 | 18 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid | 7 | 19-8 | 15 |
| 4 |
Liverpool | 7 | 14-8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tottenham | 7 | 15-7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint | 7 | 20-10 | 13 |
| 7 |
Newcastle | 7 | 16-6 | 13 |
| 8 |
Chelsea | 7 | 14-8 | 13 |
| 9 |
Barcelona | 7 | 18-13 | 13 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP | 7 | 14-9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Manchester | 7 | 13-9 | 13 |
| 12 |
Atletico | 7 | 16-13 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta | 7 | 10-9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Inter | 7 | 13-7 | 12 |
| 15 |
Juventus | 7 | 14-10 | 12 |
| 16 |
Borussia | 7 | 19-15 | 11 |
| 17 |
Galatasaray | 7 | 9-9 | 10 |
| 18 |
Qarabag | 7 | 13-15 | 10 |
| 19 |
Marseille | 7 | 11-11 | 9 |
| 20 |
Bayer | 7 | 10-14 | 9 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 7 | 8-14 | 9 |
| 22 |
PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 15-14 | 8 |
| 23 |
Athletic Club | 7 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 24 |
Olympiakos | 7 | 8-13 | 8 |
| 25 |
Napoli | 7 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 26 |
FC Copenhagen | 7 | 11-17 | 8 |
| 27 |
Club Brugge KV | 7 | 12-17 | 7 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 12-14 | 6 |
| 29 |
Benfica | 7 | 6-10 | 6 |
| 30 |
Pafos | 7 | 4-10 | 6 |
| 31 |
Union St. | 7 | 7-17 | 6 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 7 | 7-19 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 7 | 10-19 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 7 | 4-15 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 7 | 5-15 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 7 | 5-19 | 1 |
