Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Wales
llanelli AFC
€60.00Th.
Trefelin
€85.00Th.
Preview
When Llanelli AFC and Trefelin meet at Stebonheath Park this Saturday, there’s more at stake than just three points. Recent encounters between these two have defied expectations, and this one could follow suit. The last time they faced off in February 2024, Llanelli—heavy favorites at 1.4 odds—were held to a frustrating 2-2 draw by a stubborn Trefelin side. Rewind further to September 2023, and Trefelin pulled off a 2-1 win despite Llanelli’s near-untouchable 1.18 pre-match odds. If history repeats itself, this could be another nail-biter.
Llanelli AFC’s home record this season has been solid but not invincible, which aligns with a broader FAW Championship trend: home teams win just 40.2% of matches, while away sides claim 34.5%. Draws, meanwhile, hover at 25.3%. For a league where over 61% of games feature more than 2.5 goals, the AI’s top tip of over 2.5 goals at 1.38 odds feels like a safe bet. Add in the fact that 79.2% of matches see over 1.5 goals, and the attacking intent of both teams becomes hard to ignore.
On paper, Llanelli AFC are favorites at 1.47, but the AI’s 1x2 prediction throws a curveball: it slightly favors Trefelin at 4.93 odds, albeit with a modest 1.8 trust score. This isn’t entirely shocking when you consider Trefelin’s squad value (€85k) edges out Llanelli’s (€60k). The predicted 0-3 final score and 0-1 halftime lead for Trefelin might raise eyebrows, but given their recent resilience, it’s not out of the question.
With both teams scoring in 56.8% of league games, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) could be a smart play. Trefelin’s knack for finding the net against Llanelli—scoring in their last two meetings—supports this. Meanwhile, the high-scoring nature of the league (40.4% of games exceed 3.5 goals) suggests that a single goal might not settle this. If you’re leaning toward a specific outcome, the data hints at Trefelin’s underdog potential, but Llanelli’s home turf—however slight its advantage—could tip the scales.
The big question is whether Trefelin’s recent performances against Llanelli AFC are a fluke or a trend. Their ability to grind out results against the odds makes them a live underdog, especially if Llanelli’s defense shows cracks. On the flip side, Llanelli’s home crowd and desperation to avenge past slip-ups could fuel a sharper performance. One thing’s certain: with the league’s penchant for goals and Trefelin’s habit of upsetting the apple cart, this won’t be a dull affair.
For those eyeing the Llanelli AFC vs Trefelin prediction, the stats lean toward goals and potential drama. The over 2.5 goals market is the safest pick, while Trefelin’s odds offer intriguing value for risk-takers. Keep an eye on early momentum—if Trefelin snatches a halftime lead as predicted, the upset narrative gains steam. Either way, this is one to watch.
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Meaningless match!
O2.5 -263
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2632 393
Trefelin is expected to win with odds of 393Over 2.5 -263
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 142
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&O2.5 227
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
0:3
|
|
3
-
3
-
2
|
|
 llanelli AFC |
12-Apr-25
3:0
| Trefelin  |
| Trefelin |
27-Sep-24
1:1
| llanelli AFC |
| Trefelin |
02-Feb-24
2:2
| llanelli AFC |
| llanelli AFC |
29-Sep-23
1:2
| Trefelin |
| Trefelin |
29-Apr-23
0:4
| llanelli AFC |
| llanelli AFC |
06-Dec-22
1:4
| Trefelin |
| Trefelin |
26-Mar-22
0:1
| llanelli AFC |
Recent Matches of llanelli AFC| 05 Dec | L |
Grei.
|
2:1
| Llanelli.
|
Recent Matches of Trefelin
| 05 Dec | D | Trefelin. |
0:0 |
Baglan D. |
Wales - FAW Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
llanelli AFC | 30 | 64-25 | 64 |
| 2 |
Trethomas Blue | 30 | 53-33 | 59 |
| 3 |
Newport City | 30 | 50-32 | 54 |
| 4 |
Trefelin | 30 | 54-41 | 53 |
| 5 |
Pontypridd Tow | 30 | 54-44 | 53 |
| 6 |
Cambrian & Cly | 30 | 50-38 | 47 |
| 7 |
Carmarthen Tow | 30 | 55-44 | 45 |
| 8 |
Baglan Dragons | 30 | 44-34 | 43 |
| 9 |
Llantwit Major | 30 | 37-34 | 43 |
| 10 |
Ammanford AFC | 30 | 47-50 | 36 |
| 11 |
Afan Lido | 30 | 44-51 | 34 |
| 12 |
Caerau (Ely) | 30 | 42-43 | 32 |
| 13 |
Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 39-62 | 30 |
| 14 |
Penrhiwceiber | 30 | 30-57 | 28 |
| 15 |
Goytre United | 30 | 41-72 | 23 |
| 16 |
Taffs Well | 30 | 32-76 | 15 |
