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Match Prediction

Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction

Finished
Croatia flag Croatia
HNL

Lok. Zagreb

€10.73m

30 Nov09:00
1 : 1

Rijeka

€36.88m

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Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction HNL

Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction: Stats, Tips & AI Insights

If you’re searching for a Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka prediction that goes beyond the usual stats and betting tips, you’re in the right place. With both sides eager to climb the HNL table, Sunday’s Round 15 fixture at Stadion Maksimir promises more than just another tick in the calendar. Let’s break down the numbers, the tactics, and what our AI sees for this intriguing matchup.

Form, Tactics & Head to Head: Who’s Got the Edge?

Lokomotiva Zagreb and Rijeka might not be topping the HNL charts this season, but both have shown flashes of quality. Lokomotiva (or Lok. Zagreb for short) currently sit 7th, just a step ahead of Rijeka in 8th. Recent form? Neither side is exactly on fire, but there are glimmers of hope:

  • Lok. Zagreb have drawn their last two, but haven’t won in five league matches. Still, they did stun Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 last month, so don’t count them out at home.
  • Rijeka have been a bit more unpredictable—two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five. Their 5-0 demolition of Hajduk Split was a real statement.

Looking at the head to head record, Rijeka have dominated, winning 40 of their 65 meetings. Lok. Zagreb have only managed 15 wins, with 10 draws sprinkled in. The last five encounters? Three Rijeka wins, two draws, and not a single Lok. Zagreb victory. Their most recent meeting in September ended 1-1—so history suggests Rijeka have the upper hand, but draws are never far away.

Key Players & Injuries

  • Lok. Zagreb will miss Fabijan Krivak, but Marko Pajač and Mirko Susak remain threats—Pajač is their creative spark, while Susak keeps goalkeepers busy.
  • Rijeka are without Damir Kreilach and Mile Skoric, but Toni Fruk is the man to watch after his recent hat-trick heroics.

Tactically, Lok. Zagreb tend to control possession (expected 53%) and keep things tight at the back, averaging just one goal scored and one conceded per match. Rijeka are more direct, scoring twice per game on average but also letting in one. Both teams have a habit of scoring—and conceding—in recent games.

Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka Prediction & Betting Tips: What Does Our AI Say?

Now, let’s get to the Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka prediction that everyone’s after. The bookmakers have Rijeka as slight favorites (2.35 for the away win), but the draw (3.35) is tempting, especially considering recent results and the head to head trend.

  • Our AI’s top betting tip: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.28, trust rating 4.8/10). Both teams are solid but rarely explosive, and our projections expect a maximum of three goals in this one.
  • 1x2 prediction: Draw (X) at 3.35. The numbers, the form, and the recent 1-1 suggest another tight contest.
  • Predicted score: 1-1, with a goalless first half and both sides finding the net after the break.

Digging deeper, Lok. Zagreb are expected to have a slight edge in possession and shots, but Rijeka’s higher squad value (€36.88m vs €10.73m) hints at more individual quality. Expect a tactical battle, with nine corners and a few cards—but not much in the way of fireworks.

In summary, our Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka prediction leans towards a draw, with under 3.5 goals as the safest bet. Both teams have enough quality to trouble each other, but history—and our AI—suggests they’ll cancel each other out. If you’re after value, the draw at 3.35 looks like a smart punt. Just don’t expect a goal-fest—unless, of course, football does what it does best and surprises us all.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Lok. Zagreb vs Rijeka

U3.5 -357

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -357
4/10

1x2 Tip

X 235

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -357

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -118

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -179

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

2.21
xG
1.06
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Shots Off Goal
5
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.6
Total Goals
2.4
1.3
Goals Scored
1.5
1.3
Goals Against
0.9
54%
Possession
50%
12.7
Total Shots
13.4
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.8
6.6
Shots off Goal
5.3
16.2
Fouls
12.6
5.2
Corners
3.9
2.6
Offsides
1.1
2.4
Yellow Cards
2.22
0.14
Red Cards
0.17
420
Total Passes
359

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
3
7
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Lok. Zagreb
10 - 5 - 25
Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 13-Sep-25
1:1
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 06-Apr-25
0:1
Rijeka Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 26-Jan-25
4:1
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 18-Oct-24
2:2
Rijeka Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 04-Aug-24
4:0
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 28-Apr-24
3:1
Rijeka Rijeka
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb 03-Apr-24
0:1
Rijeka Rijeka
Rijeka Rijeka 17-Feb-24
4:0
Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb

Profile time Recent Matches of Lok. Zagreb

13 DecL Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:3
Hajduk Split. Hajduk Split
07 DecL NK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
4:2
Lok. Zagreb. Lok. Zagreb
30 NovD Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:1
Rijeka. Rijeka
23 NovD Osijek Osijek.
1:1
Lok. Zagreb. Lok. Zagreb
08 NovD Lok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:1
Slaven Belup. Slaven Belupo
03 NovL Gorica Gorica.
4:1
Lok. Zagreb. Lok. Zagreb
29 OctW Lokomotiv Lokomotiv.
4:0
Varteks V. Varteks V
25 OctL Lokomotiv Lokomotiv.
1:2
Istra 1961. Istra 1961
17 OctD Vukovar 1991 Vukovar 1991.
1:1
Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv
05 OctW Lokomotiv Lokomotiv.
2:1
Dinamo Z. Dinamo Z

Profile time Recent Matches of Rijeka

18 DecShakhtar Shakhtar .
-
Rijeka.Rijeka
11 DecWRijeka Rijeka.
3:0
Celje.Celje
06 DecWRijeka Rijeka.
3:1
Vukovar 1991.Vukovar 1991
03 DecWZdralovi Zdralovi.
1:4
Rijeka.Rijeka
30 NovDLok. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb.
1:1
Rijeka.Rijeka
27 NovDRijeka Rijeka.
0:0
AEK Larnaca.AEK Larnaca
22 NovWRijeka Rijeka.
5:0
Hajduk Split.Hajduk Split
09 NovLNK Varazdin NK Varazdin.
1:0
Rijeka.Rijeka
06 NovDLincoln R Lincoln R.
1:1
Rijeka.Rijeka
01 NovLDinamo Z Dinamo Z.
2:1
Rijeka.Rijeka

Croatia - HNL Croatia - HNL

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb17
36-16
35
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Spl17
27-16
34
3 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belu17
26-28
25
4 Istra 1961 Istra 196116
20-20
23
5 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin17
21-22
23
6 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka16
26-19
21
7 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica17
21-26
19
8 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva 17
20-28
19
9 Vukovar Vukovar17
18-30
15
10 NK Osijek NK Osijek17
16-26
13
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