Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Bulgaria
Preview
The Ludogorets vs Arda prediction for November 9, 2025, is one of the most anticipated fixtures of the 15th round in the Bulgarian First League. With kickoff at 15:30 GMT at the Huvepharma Arena, fans and punters alike are eager to see if the hosts can continue their unbeaten home run or if Arda can finally rewrite history. Let’s break down the form, tactics, and betting odds to help you make the smartest bet—served with a sprinkle of good humor and expert analysis.
If you’re looking for a team that knows how to win at home, Ludogorets is your pick. The Razgrad side currently sits 4th in the First League with 24 points, boasting a near-perfect home record: 4 wins and 2 draws, no losses, and 22 total goals scored. It’s no wonder they’re the defending champions, having lifted the Bulgarian Cup and Supercup last season for a domestic treble.
Arda, on the other hand, is hovering around 11th to 13th place with 13 points. Their “average” away form—2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses—paints a picture of a team that can surprise but struggles for consistency. With only 12 goals this season, they’ll need to dig deep to trouble Ludogorets on their own patch.
It’s clear the head to head record is heavily in Ludogorets’ favor. But Arda has shown grit recently, holding Ludogorets to back-to-back draws. Could it finally be time for an upset, or will history repeat itself?
With Ludogorets’ squad valued at a hefty €48.85m compared to Arda’s €11.98m, the hosts have the depth and firepower to dictate the game. But Arda’s recent away draw against HJK Helsinki, where they defied odds of 5.75, shows they’re not to be underestimated.
Our NerdyTips AI is as confident as a cat near a bowl of cream—recommending a home win (1) with a trust level of 10.0/10 and odds of 1.4. The AI also suggests under 3.5 total goals (trust 3.3, odds 1.35), predicting a calculated but not overly explosive affair.
The numbers back it up: Ludogorets’ home dominance, Arda’s struggles on the road, and their head to head record all point to a home victory. Still, Arda has shown they can punch above their weight—just ask HJK Helsinki.
In summary, while Arda’s underdog spirit and recent draws add some intrigue, the smart money—and the AI—are firmly behind Ludogorets. So for your Ludogorets vs Arda prediction, trust in the champions to deliver, but keep an eye out for a spirited fight from the visitors. After all, football loves a surprise!
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1 -250
Ludogorets is expected to win with odds of -2501 -250
Ludogorets is expected to win with odds of -250Under 3.5 -286
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 110
Both teams are expected to score1X&U3.5 -175
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:1
|
|
9
-
6
-
0
|
|
 Ludogorets |
26-May-25
2:2
| Arda  |
| Arda |
09-May-25
1:1
| Ludogorets |
| Arda |
04-Dec-24
0:4
| Ludogorets |
| Ludogorets |
03-Aug-24
5:1
| Arda |
| Ludogorets |
15-Apr-24
2:0
| Arda |
| Arda |
22-Oct-23
0:0
| Ludogorets |
| Arda |
14-Apr-23
1:2
| Ludogorets |
| Ludogorets |
18-Sep-22
1:1
| Arda |
| Arda |
13-Feb-22
0:4
| Ludogorets |
Recent Matches of Ludogorets| 29 Jan |
Ludogorets.
|
-
| Nice.
| |
| 22 Jan | L |
Rangers.
|
1:0
| Ludogorets.
|
Recent Matches of Arda
| 26 Jan | W | Arda. |
2:1 |
Ufa. |
Bulgaria - First League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia | 19 | 43-12 | 44 |
| 2 |
CSKA 1948 | 19 | 31-20 | 37 |
| 3 |
Ludogorets | 18 | 31-13 | 34 |
| 4 |
Cherno More | 19 | 25-14 | 33 |
| 5 |
CSKA Sofia | 19 | 27-16 | 31 |
| 6 |
Lokomotiv | 19 | 20-22 | 29 |
| 7 |
Slavia Sofia | 19 | 23-21 | 28 |
| 8 |
Lokomotiv | 19 | 21-18 | 26 |
| 9 |
Botev Vratsa | 19 | 15-16 | 25 |
| 10 |
Arda Kardzhali | 19 | 20-19 | 24 |
| 11 |
Botev Plovdiv | 19 | 25-29 | 21 |
| 12 |
Spartak Varna | 19 | 18-30 | 17 |
| 13 |
Beroe | 18 | 16-28 | 16 |
| 14 |
Montana | 19 | 14-33 | 15 |
| 15 |
Septemvri | 19 | 19-41 | 15 |
| 16 |
Dobrudzha | 19 | 13-29 | 12 |
