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Match Prediction

Macara vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Finished
Ecuador flag Ecuador
Liga Pro

Macara

€7.88m

26 Apr20:00
0 : 1

Barcelona SC

€22.38m

Preview

Macara vs Barcelona SC Prediction Liga Pro

Macara vs Barcelona SC Prediction: Can the Underdogs Bite Back?

When Macara vs Barcelona SC takes center stage at Estadio Bellavista de Ambato, the Liga Pro fixture promises more than just a battle between third and tenth. On paper, the visitors are heavy favorites—boasting a squad value nearly three times that of their hosts and sitting comfortably in the top three. But as recent surprises have shown, betting odds don’t always tell the full story. This Macara vs Barcelona SC prediction dives into why this match might defy expectations.

The Context: A Tale of Two Campaigns

Barcelona SC arrives with momentum, perched in third place with 18 points, while Macara languishes mid-table with just 10. The gulf in quality seems evident, but football rarely follows the script. Consider these recent twists:

  • Macara held Independiente del Valle to a 1-1 draw as 8.5 underdogs.
  • Barcelona SC stumbled to a 0-0 draw against River Plate, despite being priced at 7.4 to share the spoils.

Their last head-to-head meeting in March 2024 ended 1-1, with Macara narrowly favored by the bookmakers. History hints at unpredictability, and this time, the stakes are just as intriguing.

Betting Odds: Where Value Lies

The market leans toward Barcelona SC, pricing their away win at 2.45. Macara’s home victory sits at 2.93, with a draw at 3.13. Our AI projects a tight 0-1 win for the visitors, but here’s why the numbers deserve a second look:

  1. Home advantage? Liga Pro home teams win just 39.5% of matches, but Macara’s recent resilience against top sides suggests they won’t roll over.
  2. Squad value gap: Barcelona’s €22.38m roster dwarfs Macara’s €7.88m, but as their draw against River Plate proved, price tags don’t guarantee points.

The Under 2.5 Goals Case

With odds of 1.67 (6.0/10 confidence), the total goals market leans toward a cagey affair. The stats back it up:

  • Expected possession split: 49%-51% in Barcelona’s favor.
  • Just 12 vs. 10 total shots projected, with only 2 on target for each side.
  • Low corner count (7 total) and equal yellow cards (2 each) point to a tactical grind.

While the league sees 41.9% of matches go over 2.5 goals, this one feels different. Defensive discipline and slim margins could define it.

Tactical Nuance: Styles Make Fights

Barcelona SC will likely control possession, but Macara’s grit under pressure has frustrated better-equipped opponents. The hosts’ compact shape and counter-attacking threat could neutralize their rivals’ technical edge. For bettors, this raises questions:

  • Is Barcelona’s away form (mixed lately) trustworthy?
  • Can Macara’s defense replicate their heroics against Independiente?

Final Macara vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Our AI leans toward a 0-1 Barcelona SC win, but the margins are razor-thin. Given Macara’s recent upsets and the head-to-head history, a draw or even a smash-and-grab home win wouldn’t shock. For those eyeing value, the under 2.5 goals market feels like the smart play in what could be a tense, tactical duel.

One thing’s certain: in Liga Pro, surprises lurk around every corner. Will this be another?

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Macara vs Barcelona SC

U2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -149
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 145

Barcelona SC is expected to win with odds of 145
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -111

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -175

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Stats Predictions

49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
4
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.1
Total Goals
2
0.5
Goals Scored
0.9
0.6
Goals Against
1.1
44%
Possession
47%
12.2
Total Shots
7.9
3.1
Shots on Goal
2
5.7
Shots off Goal
3.4
10.7
Fouls
11.6
3.6
Corners
3
2.3
Offsides
2.4
2.11
Yellow Cards
2.43
0.11
Red Cards
0.22
285
Total Passes
346

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
3
Over 1.5 Goals
5
1
Over 2.5 Goals
3
0
Over 3.5 Goals
3
3
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Macara
3 - 6 - 10
Barcelona SC
Macara Macara 27-Apr-25
0:1
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 15-Sep-24
2:1
Macara Macara
Macara Macara 30-Mar-24
1:1
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 11-Sep-22
5:3
Macara Macara
Macara Macara 25-Apr-22
0:1
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Macara Macara 29-Nov-21
1:1
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 18-Jul-21
3:0
Macara Macara
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 29-Nov-20
3:0
Macara Macara
Macara Macara 10-Sep-20
1:1
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 14-Jul-19
1:2
Macara Macara

Profile time Recent Matches of Macara

13 DecL Macara Macara.
0:1
Dep. Cuenca. Dep. Cuenca
09 DecW Emelec Emelec.
0:2
Macara. Macara

Profile time Recent Matches Of Barcelona SC

14 DecWBarcelona SC Barcelona SC.
2:1
Orense.Orense

Ecuador - Liga Pro Ecuador - Liga Pro

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente del ValleIndependiente 30
55-23
64
2 Barcelona SCBarcelona SC 30
46-33
54
3 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito 30
48-31
51
4 Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Ca 30
58-39
49
5 Orense SCOrense SC 30
34-32
47
6 LibertadLibertad 30
42-36
46
7 Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuen 30
35-29
46
8 EmelecEmelec 30
30-34
42
9 AucasAucas 30
38-41
41
10 MacaraMacara 30
32-30
38
11 El NacionalEl Nacional 30
32-46
34
12 Delfin SCDelfin SC 30
26-42
31
13 Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Univer 30
26-46
28
14 CuniburoCuniburo 30
34-43
27
15 Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC 30
38-50
27
16 Manta FCManta FC 30
34-53
26
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