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Match Prediction

Malaga vs Burgos CF Prediction

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Malaga

€17.60m

23 Jan14:30
3 : 0

Burgos CF

€19.20m

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Malaga vs Burgos CF Prediction Segunda División

Malaga vs Burgos CF Prediction: Odds, Form, and Expert Betting Tips

Welcome to our Malaga vs Burgos CF prediction for the upcoming Segunda División fixture at La Rosaleda on January 23, 2.076. This highly anticipated match kicks off at 19:30 GMT and has fans and punters alike eager to see which of these evenly matched sides will edge ahead in the league standings. If you're looking for the latest betting odds, team news, and expert tips, you've come to the right place!

Team Form, Standings, and Head to Head

Both Malaga and Burgos CF find themselves in the thick of the LaLiga 2 playoff race, with each side sitting on 32 points after 21 matches. Malaga currently holds 8th place, just a hair above Burgos in 9th, thanks to a slightly better goal difference. Malaga has netted 31 goals and conceded 26, while Burgos has scored 25 and let in just 20.

  • Malaga recent form: 9 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses. Undefeated in their last 7 home league matches.
  • Burgos recent form: 9 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses. Solid defense, conceding under a goal per game on average.

When it comes to head to head meetings, history has favored Burgos. They remain unbeaten in their last seven encounters with Malaga, boasting four wins and three draws. In their most recent match-up on September 28, 2.075, Burgos edged Malaga 2.07. However, Malaga's home form this season suggests they won't be easy to break down at La Rosaleda.

Players to Watch and Injury News

Malaga's attack is led by Chupete, who has already bagged 9 goals this season, supported by Nino A. and Rodriguez R., each with 5 goals. Burgos CF spreads the goals around, with Ballesteros D. (5 goals) and Nino F. (4 goals) leading the way.

  • Malaga injuries: Álex Pastor, Luismi Sánchez, Ramón Enríquez, Moussa Diarra, Dani Sánchez, Víctor García, and Darko Brasanac are all sidelined.
  • Burgos injuries: Kevin Appin is out of action.

Both teams have key players walking a suspension tightrope, with Malaga's Diego Murillo, Izan Merino, and Carlos Dotor each one yellow card away from a ban.

Interesting Stats and Tactical Insights

  • Malaga has scored 24% more goals than Burgos this season, but Burgos is 25% better defensively.
  • Burgos has scored first in 6 of 20 matches, while Malaga has done so in 12 of 20.
  • Malaga has not kept a clean sheet in 14 matches, so expect both teams to have chances.
  • Burgos has been awarded the most penalties in the league (7).

While specific tactical plans haven't been revealed, expect Malaga to control possession (projected at 58%) and push forward, with Burgos likely to sit deep and look for counter-attacks. Malaga's home advantage—and their habit of starting strong—could be decisive.

Malaga vs Burgos CF Prediction: Odds, AI Tips, and Betting Markets

Now, let's dive into our Malaga vs Burgos CF prediction using the latest betting odds and AI-driven insights:

  • Home win odds: 2.07
  • Draw odds: 3.2
  • Away win odds: 4.3

Our top AI tip is 1X (Malaga win or draw) at odds of 1.25, with a high confidence level of 8.9/10. The AI-generated 1x2 prediction leans toward a Malaga win, with a trust rating of 7.6 and odds of 2.07. The under/over market suggests a tight affair, with under 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.52 and a trust level of 2.0.

  • Final score prediction: Malaga 2-0 Burgos CF
  • Half-time score: Malaga 1-0 Burgos CF
  • Projected ball possession: Malaga 58%, Burgos 42%
  • Shots: Malaga 15 (7 on target), Burgos 9 (2 on target)
  • Corners: Malaga 5, Burgos 3
  • Yellow cards: 2 for each team

Despite Burgos' impressive defensive record and historical edge in head to head meetings, the AI expects Malaga's home form and attacking firepower to make the difference. The predicted 2-0 scoreline reflects Malaga's ability to create chances and take control at La Rosaleda, even with a few key players missing.

Expert Betting Tips for Malaga vs Burgos CF

  1. Best bet: 1X (Malaga win or draw) at 1.25 odds — high confidence and covers both a Malaga win and a draw.
  2. Value bet: Malaga to win at 2.07 — solid odds for a home side with strong recent form.
  3. Under 2.5 goals: At 1.52, this is a safe play given Burgos' defensive approach and the history of low-scoring matches between these sides.
  4. Correct score: 2-0 to Malaga — if you're feeling bold, this is the AI's most likely outcome.

In summary, our Malaga vs Burgos CF prediction is shaped by Malaga's home advantage, slightly superior attack, and the AI's trust in their ability to get a result. Burgos' defensive solidity and knack for earning penalties make them dangerous, but the odds and stats point to Malaga as favorites. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the match—after all, football is full of surprises, and that's what keeps us coming back!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Malaga didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Malaga vs Burgos CF

1X -400

Malaga to win or draw with odds of -400
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 107

Malaga is expected to win with odds of 107
7/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -149

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -270

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

1.6
xG
0.99
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.28
Expected Goals
0.93
2.8
Total Goals
1.8
1.7
Goals Scored
0.9
1.1
Goals Against
0.9
52%
Possession
45%
13.6
Total Shots
10
6.3
Shots on Goal
3.2
3.9
Shots off Goal
4.2
11.7
Fouls
13.5
5
Corners
4
1.3
Offsides
2.3
2.38
Yellow Cards
2.43
419
Total Passes
379

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
6
Over 2.5 Goals
2
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
8
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Malaga
0 - 3 - 4
Burgos CF
Burgos CF Burgos CF 28-Sep-25
2:1
Malaga Malaga
Malaga Malaga 31-May-25
2:2
Burgos CF Burgos CF
Burgos CF Burgos CF 15-Dec-24
0:0
Malaga Malaga
Malaga Malaga 21-Jan-23
1:1
Burgos CF Burgos CF
Burgos CF Burgos CF 14-Aug-22
1:0
Malaga Malaga
Malaga Malaga 21-May-22
0:1
Burgos CF Burgos CF
Burgos CF Burgos CF 27-Nov-21
3:0
Malaga Malaga

Profile time Recent Matches of Malaga

23 JanW Malaga Malaga.
3:0
Burgos CF. Burgos CF
18 JanW Cordoba Cordoba.
0:1
Malaga. Malaga
11 JanW Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
05 JanD Malaga Malaga.
0:0
Telstar. Telstar
04 JanW Gijon Gijon.
1:3
Malaga. Malaga
21 DecW Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Almeria. Almeria
14 DecW Albacete Albacete.
1:3
Malaga. Malaga
08 DecD Malaga Malaga.
1:1
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
03 DecL CF Talavera CF Talaver.
2:1
Malaga. Malaga
29 NovD Valladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Malaga. Malaga

Profile time Recent Matches of Burgos CF

31 JanBurgos CF Burgos CF.
-
Leganes.Leganes
23 JanLMalaga Malaga.
3:0
Burgos CF.Burgos CF
18 JanWBurgos CF Burgos CF.
1:0
Huesca.Huesca
15 JanLBurgos CF Burgos CF.
0:2
Valencia.Valencia
10 JanWBurgos CF Burgos CF.
1:0
Eibar.Eibar
03 JanLCordoba Cordoba.
2:0
Burgos CF.Burgos CF
21 DecDBurgos CF Burgos CF.
1:1
Zaragoza.Zaragoza
18 DecWBurgos CF Burgos CF.
3:1
Getafe.Getafe
14 DecWAlmeria Almeria.
1:2
Burgos CF.Burgos CF
08 DecLBurgos CF Burgos CF.
0:1
Albacete.Albacete

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing23
50-32
44
2 Castellón Castellón23
36-25
39
3 Malaga Malaga23
35-26
38
4 Las Palmas Las Palmas23
28-19
38
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La23
37-26
37
6 Almeria Almeria23
41-33
36
7 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon23
33-31
36
8 Cordoba Cordoba23
29-26
35
9 Burgos Burgos23
26-23
35
10 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC23
28-30
35
11 Cadiz Cadiz23
26-26
34
12 Albacete Albacete23
28-34
30
13 Leganes Leganes23
25-23
29
14 FC Andorra FC Andorra23
26-31
29
15 Valladolid Valladolid23
24-24
28
16 Eibar Eibar23
24-26
28
17 Granada CF Granada CF23
25-28
26
18 Cultural Leonesa Cultural23
25-37
25
19 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad23
29-33
24
20 Huesca Huesca23
21-32
24
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza23
21-35
22
22 Mirandes Mirandes23
23-40
17
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