icon back

Match Prediction

Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Malaga

€16.23m

11 Jan10:15
2 : 1

Ceuta

€10.85m

Preview

Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction Segunda División

Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Expert Insights

Welcome to our Malaga vs Ceuta prediction, where we break down the numbers, the tactics, and the all-important betting odds for this highly anticipated Segunda División match on January 11, 2.186. Whether you’re a stats buff, a passionate fan, or just someone looking for a solid bet, this preview covers everything you need to know about Malaga vs Ceuta—plus a little expert banter to keep things lively.

Form, Tactics, and Team News: What to Expect at La Rosaleda

Sunday’s fixture at Estadio La Rosaleda kicks off Malaga’s home campaign in 2.186, and it’s set to be a tactical battle between two sides with plenty to prove. Malaga currently sit around mid-table (10th to 12th), while Ceuta are slightly higher, floating between 6th and 10th. Both teams have shown resilience and a knack for grinding out results, so don’t expect anyone to roll over easily.

  • Malaga are tough to beat at home, having won 50% of their matches at La Rosaleda this season. They’re riding a streak of three wins from their last ten games, and they’ve been involved in high-scoring affairs—80% of their recent home matches have seen over 0.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of those.
  • Ceuta are unbeaten in their last six league matches and have lost just three of their last ten away games. They tend to keep things tighter on the road, with both teams scoring in only 40% of their recent away fixtures.

Tactically, Malaga love to control possession and patiently build from the back. Expect them to dominate the ball (our forecast: 56% possession) and use their wide players to stretch Ceuta’s defense. Ceuta, meanwhile, are all about quick transitions and catching opponents off guard with fast breaks. They’re also handy at winning corners, often racking up decent numbers on their travels.

Injuries could play a part, with Malaga missing Álex Pastor (torn knee ligaments) and Luismi Sánchez (facial fracture). Ceuta, on the other hand, come into this one with a clean bill of health—at least for now.

Key Men and Historical Head to Head

  • Chupete leads the line for Malaga with 7 goals and 1 assist, ably supported by Rafa R., Niño, Jauregi, and Dani Lorenzo.
  • Jose Matos is Ceuta’s main man at the back, but he also chips in with goals—4 so far. Marcos, Rubén Díez, and Youness are other names to watch.

Their last head to head in April 2.184 ended 1-1, and history suggests these encounters are usually tight, tactical, and rarely short on drama.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Our Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction

Let’s get to the numbers that matter for those looking for value. The betting odds are telling:

  • Home win: 2.18
  • Draw: 3.4
  • Away win: 3.75

Our AI (always less biased than your mate at the pub) gives Malaga a big edge at home. The top tip is 1X (home win or draw) with a confidence of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.32—pretty safe for the risk-averse. If you’re feeling braver, NerdyTips’ AI suggests a straight Malaga win (odds: 2.18, trust score: 7.9). Over 1.5 total goals is another strong pick (confidence: 4.4, odds: 1.327), especially with Malaga’s habit of high-scoring home games.

Stats That Matter: Total Goals, Shots, and Cards

  • Final score prediction: 2.18 for Malaga (half-time: 1-0)
  • Total goals: Over 1.5 looks likely
  • Total shots: Malaga 14, Ceuta 10
  • Shots on target: Malaga 6, Ceuta 3
  • Total corners: 8 (Malaga 5, Ceuta 3)
  • Yellow cards: 2 each

With Malaga undefeated in 23 of their last 27 home league games and Ceuta tough to break down, expect a competitive match with a few twists. Malaga’s higher squad value (€16.23m vs Ceuta’s €10.85m) and home advantage tip the scales their way—but don’t count Ceuta out, especially given their recent unbeaten run.

Final Word: Malaga vs Ceuta Prediction and Best Bets

To wrap up, our Malaga vs Ceuta prediction is a narrow home win—2.18 to Malaga. If you want to play it safe, 1X covers both the win and draw at attractive odds. Over 1.5 total goals is another smart play, given both teams’ recent trends. For those looking to impress in the group chat, predicting Malaga to win by a single goal could be the sweet spot.

Whatever your pick, this one promises entertainment, tactical chess, and (hopefully) a few goals to warm up a January afternoon in Malaga. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as your football banter!

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Malaga vs Ceuta

1X -313

Malaga to win or draw with odds of -313
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 118

Malaga is expected to win with odds of 118
7/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -286

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -120

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -137

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.44
xG
1.06
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.21
Expected Goals
1.17
3.1
Total Goals
2.3
1.7
Goals Scored
1.1
1.4
Goals Against
1.2
52%
Possession
50%
12.9
Total Shots
11.1
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.6
4
Shots off Goal
4.5
13.3
Fouls
13.3
4.6
Corners
4.5
1.5
Offsides
1.7
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.44
417
Total Passes
342

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
9
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Malaga
0 - 1 - 1
Ceuta
Malaga Malaga 07-Apr-24
1:1
Ceuta Ceuta
Ceuta Ceuta 14-Jan-24
3:2
Malaga Malaga

Profile time Recent Matches of Malaga

18 Jan Cordoba Cordoba.
-
Malaga. Malaga
11 JanW Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Ceuta. Ceuta
05 JanD Malaga Malaga.
0:0
Telstar. Telstar
04 JanW Gijon Gijon.
1:3
Malaga. Malaga
21 DecW Malaga Malaga.
2:1
Almeria. Almeria
14 DecW Albacete Albacete.
1:3
Malaga. Malaga
08 DecD Malaga Malaga.
1:1
Zaragoza. Zaragoza
03 DecL CF Talavera CF Talavera.
2:1
Malaga. Malaga
29 NovD Valladolid Valladolid.
1:1
Malaga. Malaga
23 NovW Malaga Malaga.
3:2
Mirandes. Mirandes

Profile time Recent Matches of Ceuta

17 JanCeuta Ceuta.
-
Valladolid.Valladolid
11 JanLMalaga Malaga.
2:1
Ceuta.Ceuta
04 JanWCeuta Ceuta.
2:1
Andorra.Andorra
21 DecWReal II Real II.
1:3
Ceuta.Ceuta
14 DecDCeuta Ceuta.
1:1
Las Palmas.Las Palmas
07 DecDGranada CF Granada CF.
1:1
Ceuta.Ceuta
02 DecLGuadalajara Guadalajara.
1:0
Ceuta.Ceuta
29 NovWCeuta Ceuta.
1:0
Burgos CF.Burgos CF
23 NovLDeportivo Deportivo.
2:1
Ceuta.Ceuta
16 NovLCeuta Ceuta.
1:2
Leganes.Leganes

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing Santand21
45-31
38
2 Las Palmas Las Palmas21
26-13
38
3 Almeria Almeria21
40-30
36
4 Castellón Castellón21
34-25
35
5 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C21
35-24
34
6 Cadiz Cadiz21
25-23
34
7 Malaga Malaga21
31-26
32
8 Burgos Burgos21
25-20
32
9 Cordoba Cordoba21
27-24
32
10 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC21
25-26
32
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon21
26-29
30
12 Leganes Leganes21
23-21
26
13 Valladolid Valladolid21
21-23
25
14 FC Andorra FC Andorra21
23-29
25
15 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leone21
22-30
25
16 Eibar Eibar21
23-26
24
17 Albacete Albacete21
26-34
24
18 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad 21
28-30
23
19 Huesca Huesca21
20-30
23
20 Granada CF Granada CF21
23-27
22
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza21
20-34
20
22 Mirandes Mirandes21
22-35
17
Video preview
You might also like:
Predictions - Chelsea vs Brentford Predictions - Leeds vs Fulham Predictions - Napoli vs Sassuolo Predictions - RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Predictions - Elche vs Sevilla
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches