Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Sweden
Malmo FF
€37.95m
IF Elfsborg
€17.05m
Preview
As the sun begins to shine a little longer over Sweden, Allsvenskan football returns with a tasty fixture at Eleda Stadion on April 7, 2025, at 18:10 GMT. Malmo FF welcome IF Elfsborg in what’s shaping up to be a battle of ambition, form, and a bit of footballing pride. Based on current form, squad strength, and a pinch of AI wizardry, the Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction leans heavily in favor of the home side. But let's break it down like you're chatting football over a cold drink.
Malmo FF have long been the big fish in the Allsvenskan pond. With a squad value of €37.95 million, they boast significantly more depth and talent than Elfsborg’s €17.05 million roster. That kind of financial muscle usually translates to on-pitch dominance — and the odds agree. A home win is priced at 1.68, while a draw sits at 3.8, and an Elfsborg upset is a longer shot at 4.9.
Recent form also favors the Sky Blues. They pulled off a gutsy 2-2 draw away at Slavia Praha back in January, despite being given little hope with pre-match odds of 5.7. That kind of resilience shows a team that knows how to grind, even when the chips are down. On the other hand, Elfsborg did have their own European fairytale moment when they beat AS Roma 1-0 last October — a result that sent shockwaves through betting circles with odds of 5.64. But since then, their performances have been up and down, and their last meeting with Malmo on March 10 ended in a 1-0 defeat.
So, what does the data say? The AI has been crunching numbers like a caffeinated accountant, and here’s what it found: Our top AI insight for Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg is that a Malmo home win is the most valuable bet, with a trust score of 7.9 out of 10 and odds of 1.68. That’s a pretty confident nod from the algorithm, and honestly, it’s hard to argue with it.
Looking at the broader league trends, home teams in the Allsvenskan win 39.2% of the time, while away teams only manage 29.1%. That gives Malmo a statistical edge before a ball is even kicked. Add in their superior squad depth and recent H2H dominance, and the picture becomes clearer.
While both teams have had their moments of flair, this match might not be the goal-fest some would hope for. The AI is leaning toward a low-scoring affair, predicting under 3.5 goals with a confidence level of 4.9 and odds of 1.36. That fits with the recent head-to-head trend — only one goal was scored in their last meeting.
The predicted final score? A tidy 2-0 win for Malmo, with the first goal expected in the opening 45 minutes. That’s in line with the home side’s tendency to start strong, especially at Eleda Stadion, where the crowd’s energy often fuels early pressure.
If you’re looking to place a bet, the money’s smartly on Malmo to win, and possibly to do so without conceding. A 2-0 correct score bet could offer decent value for punters seeking a bit more risk. The over/under markets suggest keeping your expectations conservative — under 3.5 goals looks like the steady play here.
All in all, this feels like a match where Malmo will assert their dominance, but not necessarily run riot. Elfsborg will likely sit deep and look to counter, but unless they can channel their inner Roma-slayer again, it’s hard to see them taking points home from Eleda.
So, if you're filling out your weekend slip, circle Malmo. They're in form, at home, and have the stats — and our AI — firmly on their side.
Read More
Avoid first matches from a league!
1 -147
Malmo FF is expected to win with odds of -1471 -147
Malmo FF is expected to win with odds of -147Under 3.5 -294
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -110
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -256
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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15
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2
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4
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|
 Malmo FF |
07-Apr-25
2:1
| IF Elfsborg  |
| Malmo FF |
10-Mar-25
1:0
| IF Elfsborg |
| Malmo FF |
28-May-24
2:1
| IF Elfsborg |
| IF Elfsborg |
05-May-24
3:1
| Malmo FF |
| Malmo FF |
12-Nov-23
1:0
| IF Elfsborg |
| IF Elfsborg |
28-May-23
3:0
| Malmo FF |
| IF Elfsborg |
04-Sep-22
3:2
| Malmo FF |
| Malmo FF |
11-Apr-22
1:1
| IF Elfsborg |
| IF Elfsborg |
22-Sep-21
0:1
| Malmo FF |
| Malmo FF |
19-Jun-21
2:0
| IF Elfsborg |
Recent Matches of Malmo FF| 11 Dec | L |
FC Porto.
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2:1
| Malmo FF.
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Recent Matches of IF Elfsborg
Sweden - Allsvenskan| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjallby AIF | 30 | 57-18 | 75 |
| 2 |
Hammarby FF | 30 | 60-29 | 62 |
| 3 |
Gais | 30 | 45-30 | 52 |
| 4 |
IFK Goteborg | 30 | 41-33 | 51 |
| 5 |
Djurgardens IF | 30 | 52-32 | 49 |
| 6 |
Malmo FF | 30 | 46-33 | 49 |
| 7 |
AIK Stockholm | 30 | 40-33 | 48 |
| 8 |
IF Elfsborg | 30 | 45-51 | 40 |
| 9 |
Sirius | 30 | 53-51 | 39 |
| 10 |
BK Hacken | 30 | 42-50 | 35 |
| 11 |
Halmstad | 30 | 24-50 | 35 |
| 12 |
IF Brommapojka | 30 | 40-47 | 31 |
| 13 |
Degerfors IF | 30 | 33-52 | 30 |
| 14 |
IFK Norrkoping | 30 | 40-57 | 29 |
| 15 |
Osters IF | 30 | 29-48 | 26 |
| 16 |
IFK Varnamo | 30 | 36-69 | 16 |
