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Match Prediction

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

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UEFA Champions League

Man. City

€1.21bn

5 Nov15:00
4 : 1

Dortmund

€500.50m

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Man. City vs Dortmund Prediction UEFA Champions League

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: Betting Tips and Odds

Welcome to our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage opener on November 5, 2025. With both sides eager to make a statement at the Etihad Stadium, this fixture promises both tactical intrigue and betting value. Let’s break down the key stats, team news, and betting odds to help you make an informed bet.

Team News and Tactical Insights

Manchester City, the reigning English champions, come into this match with a squad brimming with talent and depth. Pep Guardiola’s side is expected to welcome back both Erling Haaland and Rodri, who have recovered from recent injury concerns. Haaland, the former Dortmund star, is always a threat in front of goal, while Rodri’s return adds stability to City’s midfield. However, some uncertainties remain around Mateo Kovacic’s fitness, and several squad players like Kalvin Phillips and John Stones have been nursing knocks. Despite these issues, City’s recent form—four wins from their last five matches—suggests they are in strong shape.

On the other side, Borussia Dortmund arrive as underdogs but with a reputation for upsetting the odds. Their squad, valued at just over €500 million, may not match City’s €1.21 billion roster, but the German side is known for their energetic pressing and quick transitions. Dortmund’s recent 2-2 draw away at Bayern Munich showed their resilience and ability to compete with top European teams, even when the odds are stacked against them.

Key Tactical Points

  • Possession: Manchester City are predicted to dominate the ball, with a projected 67% possession, leaving Dortmund with just 33%.
  • Attacking Threat: City are expected to take 16 shots (5 on target), compared to Dortmund’s 6 shots (1 on target).
  • Set Pieces: Expect City to win more corners (5) than Dortmund (2), reflecting their attacking intent.
  • Discipline: The home side should keep their cool with just 1 yellow card, while Dortmund may pick up 2.

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction: AI Betting Tips and Odds

Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is shaped by a blend of statistical analysis and recent form. The betting odds clearly favor the home team:

  • Home Win: 1.44
  • Draw: 5.21
  • Away Win: 6.5

NerdyTips’ AI recommends a home win (1) as the best bet, with a trust level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.44. The 1x2 prediction also supports this, giving City a 5.6 trust rating. While not the highest confidence, the numbers suggest City’s quality and home advantage should be enough—especially with Haaland leading the line against his old club.

If you’re looking for value beyond the result, our statistical model highlights over 2.5 total goals as a strong option (trust 5.4, odds 1.42). Both teams have attacking firepower, and their last head to head in September 2022 ended 2-1 in City’s favor. Our AI predicts a similar outcome this time: a 2-1 win for Manchester City, with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime.

Head to Head and Historical Context

  • Last meeting: Manchester City 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (2022-09-14)
  • City’s squad value: €1.21bn vs Dortmund’s €500.5m
  • Dortmund’s recent resilience: 2-2 away draw with Bayern Munich (April 2025)

Final Thoughts and Best Bets

To sum up our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: City’s superior squad depth, home advantage, and tactical control make them the clear favorites. Dortmund’s fighting spirit and counter-attacking threat mean they can’t be written off, but the numbers and betting odds point to a home victory. For punters, the best bets are:

  1. Manchester City to win (odds 1.44)
  2. Over 2.5 total goals (odds 1.42)

Expect an entertaining match with goals at both ends, but ultimately, City should edge it. Our final Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: 2-1 to the home side.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Man. City vs Dortmund

1 -227

Man. City is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -227

Man. City is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -238

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -175

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O2.5 -161

Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

67%
Ball Possession
33%
16
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.4
Expected Goals
1.23
2.8
Total Goals
3.1
2.1
Goals Scored
2
0.7
Goals Against
1.1
63%
Possession
54%
15.3
Total Shots
12
5.7
Shots on Goal
4.1
4.7
Shots off Goal
4.7
9.6
Fouls
11.4
5.6
Corners
5.9
1
Offsides
1.3
1.89
Yellow Cards
1.5
0
Red Cards
0
631
Total Passes
511

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
6
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
4
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Manchester City
3 - 3 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund 25-Oct-22
0:0
Man. City Manchester City
Manchester City Man. City 14-Sep-22
2:1
Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund 14-Apr-21
1:2
Man. City Manchester City
Manchester City Man. City 06-Apr-21
2:1
Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City Man. City 21-Jul-18
0:1
Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund 28-Jul-16
1:1
Man. City Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund 04-Dec-12
1:0
Man. City Manchester City
Manchester City Man. City 03-Oct-12
1:1
Dortmund Borussia Dortmund

Profile time Recent Matches of Man. City

27 DecW Nottingham Nottingham.
1:2
Man. City. Man. City
20 DecW Man. City Man. City.
3:0
West Ham. West Ham
17 DecW Man. City Man. City.
2:0
Brentford. Brentford
14 DecW Crystal P. Crystal P..
0:3
Man. City. Man. City
10 DecW Real Madrid Real Madrid.
1:2
Man. City. Man. City
06 DecW Man. City Man. City.
3:0
Sunderland. Sunderland
02 DecW Fulham Fulham.
4:5
Man. City. Man. City
29 NovW Man. City Man. City.
3:2
Leeds. Leeds
25 NovL Man. City Man. City.
0:2
Leverkusen. Leverkusen
22 NovL Newcastle Newcastle.
2:1
Man. City. Man. City

Profile time Recent Matches of Dortmund

19 DecWDortmund Dortmund.
2:0
Borussia M.Borussia M
14 DecDFreiburg Freiburg.
1:1
Dortmund.Dortmund
10 DecDDortmund Dortmund.
2:2
Bodo/Glimt.Bodo/Glimt
07 DecWDortmund Dortmund.
2:0
Hoffenheim.Hoffenheim
02 DecLDortmund Dortmund.
0:1
Leverkusen.Leverkusen
29 NovWLeverkusen Leverkusen.
1:2
Dortmund.Dortmund
25 NovWDortmund Dortmund.
4:0
Villarreal.Villarreal
22 NovDDortmund Dortmund.
3:3
Stuttgart.Stuttgart
08 NovDHamburger SV Hamburger SV.
1:1
Dortmund.Dortmund
05 NovLMan. City Man. City.
4:1
Dortmund.Dortmund

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal5
14-1
15
2 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Ge5
19-8
12
3 Bayern München Bayern Münche5
15-6
12
4 Inter Inter5
12-3
12
5 Real Madrid Real Madrid5
12-5
12
6 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortm5
17-11
10
7 Chelsea Chelsea5
12-6
10
8 Sporting CP Sporting CP5
11-5
10
9 Manchester City Manchester Cit5
10-5
10
10 Atalanta Atalanta5
6-5
10
11 Newcastle Newcastle5
11-4
9
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madri5
12-10
9
13 Liverpool Liverpool5
10-8
9
14 Galatasaray Galatasaray5
8-7
9
15 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven5
13-8
8
16 Tottenham Tottenham5
10-7
8
17 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkus5
8-10
8
18 Barcelona Barcelona5
12-10
7
19 Qarabag Qarabag5
8-9
7
20 Napoli Napoli5
6-9
7
21 Marseille Marseille5
8-6
6
22 Juventus Juventus5
10-10
6
23 Monaco Monaco5
6-8
6
24 Pafos Pafos5
4-7
6
25 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill5
5-12
6
26 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV5
8-13
4
27 Athletic Club Athletic Club5
4-9
4
28 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Fran5
7-14
4
29 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen5
7-14
4
30 Benfica Benfica5
4-8
3
31 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha5
2-8
3
32 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt5
7-11
2
33 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Pir5
5-13
2
34 Villarreal Villarreal5
2-10
1
35 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty5
4-14
1
36 Ajax Ajax5
1-16
0
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