Man. City
€1.21bn
Dortmund
€500.50m
Preview
Welcome to our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage opener on November 5, 2025. With both sides eager to make a statement at the Etihad Stadium, this fixture promises both tactical intrigue and betting value. Let’s break down the key stats, team news, and betting odds to help you make an informed bet.
Manchester City, the reigning English champions, come into this match with a squad brimming with talent and depth. Pep Guardiola’s side is expected to welcome back both Erling Haaland and Rodri, who have recovered from recent injury concerns. Haaland, the former Dortmund star, is always a threat in front of goal, while Rodri’s return adds stability to City’s midfield. However, some uncertainties remain around Mateo Kovacic’s fitness, and several squad players like Kalvin Phillips and John Stones have been nursing knocks. Despite these issues, City’s recent form—four wins from their last five matches—suggests they are in strong shape.
On the other side, Borussia Dortmund arrive as underdogs but with a reputation for upsetting the odds. Their squad, valued at just over €500 million, may not match City’s €1.21 billion roster, but the German side is known for their energetic pressing and quick transitions. Dortmund’s recent 2-2 draw away at Bayern Munich showed their resilience and ability to compete with top European teams, even when the odds are stacked against them.
Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is shaped by a blend of statistical analysis and recent form. The betting odds clearly favor the home team:
NerdyTips’ AI recommends a home win (1) as the best bet, with a trust level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.44. The 1x2 prediction also supports this, giving City a 5.6 trust rating. While not the highest confidence, the numbers suggest City’s quality and home advantage should be enough—especially with Haaland leading the line against his old club.
If you’re looking for value beyond the result, our statistical model highlights over 2.5 total goals as a strong option (trust 5.4, odds 1.42). Both teams have attacking firepower, and their last head to head in September 2022 ended 2-1 in City’s favor. Our AI predicts a similar outcome this time: a 2-1 win for Manchester City, with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime.
To sum up our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: City’s superior squad depth, home advantage, and tactical control make them the clear favorites. Dortmund’s fighting spirit and counter-attacking threat mean they can’t be written off, but the numbers and betting odds point to a home victory. For punters, the best bets are:
Expect an entertaining match with goals at both ends, but ultimately, City should edge it. Our final Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: 2-1 to the home side.
Welcome to our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction for the UEFA Champions League group stage opener on November 5, 2025. With both sides eager to make a statement at the Etihad Stadium, this fixture promises both tactical intrigue and betting value. Let’s break down the key stats, team news, and betting odds to help you make an informed bet.
Manchester City, the reigning English champions, come into this match with a squad brimming with talent and depth. Pep Guardiola’s side is expected to welcome back both Erling Haaland and Rodri, who have recovered from recent injury concerns. Haaland, the former Dortmund star, is always a threat in front of goal, while Rodri’s return adds stability to City’s midfield. However, some uncertainties remain around Mateo Kovacic’s fitness, and several squad players like Kalvin Phillips and John Stones have been nursing knocks. Despite these issues, City’s recent form—four wins from their last five matches—suggests they are in strong shape.
On the other side, Borussia Dortmund arrive as underdogs but with a reputation for upsetting the odds. Their squad, valued at just over €500 million, may not match City’s €1.21 billion roster, but the German side is known for their energetic pressing and quick transitions. Dortmund’s recent 2-2 draw away at Bayern Munich showed their resilience and ability to compete with top European teams, even when the odds are stacked against them.
Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is shaped by a blend of statistical analysis and recent form. The betting odds clearly favor the home team:
NerdyTips’ AI recommends a home win (1) as the best bet, with a trust level of 5.5/10 and odds of 1.44. The 1x2 prediction also supports this, giving City a 5.6 trust rating. While not the highest confidence, the numbers suggest City’s quality and home advantage should be enough—especially with Haaland leading the line against his old club.
If you’re looking for value beyond the result, our statistical model highlights over 2.5 total goals as a strong option (trust 5.4, odds 1.42). Both teams have attacking firepower, and their last head to head in September 2022 ended 2-1 in City’s favor. Our AI predicts a similar outcome this time: a 2-1 win for Manchester City, with the home side leading 1-0 at halftime.
To sum up our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: City’s superior squad depth, home advantage, and tactical control make them the clear favorites. Dortmund’s fighting spirit and counter-attacking threat mean they can’t be written off, but the numbers and betting odds point to a home victory. For punters, the best bets are:
Expect an entertaining match with goals at both ends, but ultimately, City should edge it. Our final Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: 2-1 to the home side.
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1 -227
Man. City is expected to win with odds of -2271 -227
Man. City is expected to win with odds of -227Over 2.5 -238
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -175
Both teams are expected to score1X&O2.5 -161
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2:1
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3
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3
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2
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Dortmund |
25-Oct-22
0:0
| Man. City ![]() |
Man. City |
14-Sep-22
2:1
| Dortmund ![]() |
Dortmund |
14-Apr-21
1:2
| Man. City ![]() |
Man. City |
06-Apr-21
2:1
| Dortmund ![]() |
Man. City |
21-Jul-18
0:1
| Dortmund ![]() |
Dortmund |
28-Jul-16
1:1
| Man. City ![]() |
Dortmund |
04-Dec-12
1:0
| Man. City ![]() |
Man. City |
03-Oct-12
1:1
| Dortmund ![]() |
| 27 Dec | W |
Nottingham.
|
1:2
| Man. City.
|
| 20 Dec | W |
Man. City.
|
3:0
| West Ham.
|
| 17 Dec | W |
Man. City.
|
2:0
| Brentford.
|
| 14 Dec | W |
Crystal P..
|
0:3
| Man. City.
|
| 10 Dec | W |
Real Madrid.
|
1:2
| Man. City.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
Man. City.
|
3:0
| Sunderland.
|
| 02 Dec | W |
Fulham.
|
4:5
| Man. City.
|
| 29 Nov | W |
Man. City.
|
3:2
| Leeds.
|
| 25 Nov | L |
Man. City.
|
0:2
| Leverkusen.
|
| 22 Nov | L |
Newcastle.
|
2:1
| Man. City.
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| 19 Dec | W | Dortmund. |
2:0 |
Borussia M.![]() |
| 14 Dec | D | Freiburg. |
1:1 |
Dortmund.![]() |
| 10 Dec | D | Dortmund. |
2:2 |
Bodo/Glimt.![]() |
| 07 Dec | W | Dortmund. |
2:0 |
Hoffenheim.![]() |
| 02 Dec | L | Dortmund. |
0:1 |
Leverkusen.![]() |
| 29 Nov | W | Leverkusen. |
1:2 |
Dortmund.![]() |
| 25 Nov | W | Dortmund. |
4:0 |
Villarreal.![]() |
| 22 Nov | D | Dortmund. |
3:3 |
Stuttgart.![]() |
| 08 Nov | D | Hamburger SV. |
1:1 |
Dortmund.![]() |
| 05 Nov | L | Man. City. |
4:1 |
Dortmund.![]() |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 5 | 14-1 | 15 |
| 2 |
Paris Saint Ge | 5 | 19-8 | 12 |
| 3 |
Bayern Münche | 5 | 15-6 | 12 |
| 4 |
Inter | 5 | 12-3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Real Madrid | 5 | 12-5 | 12 |
| 6 |
Borussia Dortm | 5 | 17-11 | 10 |
| 7 |
Chelsea | 5 | 12-6 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sporting CP | 5 | 11-5 | 10 |
| 9 |
Manchester Cit | 5 | 10-5 | 10 |
| 10 |
Atalanta | 5 | 6-5 | 10 |
| 11 |
Newcastle | 5 | 11-4 | 9 |
| 12 |
Atletico Madri | 5 | 12-10 | 9 |
| 13 |
Liverpool | 5 | 10-8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Galatasaray | 5 | 8-7 | 9 |
| 15 |
PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 13-8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Tottenham | 5 | 10-7 | 8 |
| 17 |
Bayer Leverkus | 5 | 8-10 | 8 |
| 18 |
Barcelona | 5 | 12-10 | 7 |
| 19 |
Qarabag | 5 | 8-9 | 7 |
| 20 |
Napoli | 5 | 6-9 | 7 |
| 21 |
Marseille | 5 | 8-6 | 6 |
| 22 |
Juventus | 5 | 10-10 | 6 |
| 23 |
Monaco | 5 | 6-8 | 6 |
| 24 |
Pafos | 5 | 4-7 | 6 |
| 25 |
Union St. Gill | 5 | 5-12 | 6 |
| 26 |
Club Brugge KV | 5 | 8-13 | 4 |
| 27 |
Athletic Club | 5 | 4-9 | 4 |
| 28 |
Eintracht Fran | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 29 |
FC Copenhagen | 5 | 7-14 | 4 |
| 30 |
Benfica | 5 | 4-8 | 3 |
| 31 |
Slavia Praha | 5 | 2-8 | 3 |
| 32 |
Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 7-11 | 2 |
| 33 |
Olympiakos Pir | 5 | 5-13 | 2 |
| 34 |
Villarreal | 5 | 2-10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Kairat Almaty | 5 | 4-14 | 1 |
| 36 |
Ajax | 5 | 1-16 | 0 |