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Match Prediction

Mantova vs Palermo Prediction

Finished
Italy flag Italy
Serie B

Mantova

€16.65m

11 Jan09:00
1 : 1

Palermo

€35.45m

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Mantova vs Palermo Prediction Serie B

Mantova vs Palermo Prediction: Odds, Stats & AI Betting Tips

If you’re looking for a straightforward Mantova vs Palermo prediction, you’re in the right place. On January 11, 2026, at 14:00 GMT, the Stadio Danilo Martelli will host a Serie B match that’s more than just a regular fixture—it’s a meeting of two teams with very different ambitions and recent fortunes. Whether you’re a fan, a stats nerd, or just here for the sports betting tips, we’ve got you covered with all the latest head to head info, betting odds, and expert analysis.

Team Form, Tactics & Key Players: A Tale of Two Cities

Let’s set the scene. Mantova, sitting 19th in Serie B with just 15 points, have been having a rough ride. Their last five matches? No wins, four losses, one draw. They’re scoring just 0.4 goals per match and conceding four times as many. Their last five results include a hard-fought 0-0 draw with Carrarese, but also a tough 0-3 loss to Venezia. In short, Mantova are desperate for a spark.

Meanwhile, Palermo are enjoying life near the top, currently 4th with 33 points. Their recent form is the stuff of envy: four wins and a draw in their last five, with a free-scoring attack averaging 2.4 goals per game and a defense that’s only let in 0.6 per match. Filippo Inzaghi’s side is all about possession and patient build-up, and it’s working. Their 5-0 demolition of Carrarese was a statement.

Let’s break down the teams:

  • Mantova: Francesco Ruocco leads with 5 goals, while Federico Artioli and Marco Festa are among their top-rated players. Coach Davide Possanzini, appointed in 2023, is still searching for consistency, averaging 1.25 points per match. But with Nicolo Radaelli suspended and Valerio Mantovani injured, Mantova’s options are thin.
  • Palermo: Joel Pohjanpalo is the league’s top scorer with 12 goals, and Antonio Palumbo leads in assists (5) and big chances created (13). Jesse Joronen, Mattia Bani, and Tommaso Augello are defensive rocks. Inzaghi’s coaching success rate (1.59 points per match) shows Palermo mean business. Only Michele Avella is missing through injury.

Historically, these teams have kept it tight. Their last two head to head meetings both ended in draws (0-0 and 2-2). Mantova even surprised everyone with a 2-2 away draw last season, despite being heavy underdogs.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Expert Betting Tips

Now, let’s talk numbers and predictions. The current betting odds for this game are:

  • Home win (Mantova): 4.1
  • Draw: 4.1
  • Away win (Palermo): 2.02

Palermo are clear favorites, but the odds for a draw are tempting—especially given the recent head to head history. Our AI-generated Mantova vs Palermo prediction leans towards X2 (draw or Palermo win), with a calculated trust of 2.0 and odds at 1.33. Not the highest trust level, but the stats back it up.

For those who love a good under/over bet, our AI’s best tip is under 4.1 goals (odds 1.37, trust rating 4.1/10). Why? Both teams are expected to be cautious, with Mantova likely to sit deep and Palermo controlling possession. The predicted final score is 1:2, with a 1:1 half-time score. Expect a tight first half before Palermo’s quality shines through.

  • Possession: Mantova 54%, Palermo 46%
  • Total shots: Mantova 12, Palermo 14
  • On-target shots: Both sides 3 each
  • Corners: 4 each, so don’t expect a set-piece bonanza
  • Yellow cards: 2 each—so it could get a little spicy, but not too much

From a sports betting perspective, under 4.1 goals is the safest play, while X2 on the 1x2 market offers a solid combination of value and probability. If you’re feeling brave, a correct score punt on 1:2 at longer odds could be worth a small flutter.

Final Thoughts & Fan Experience

With Palermo’s squad valued at €35.45m compared to Mantova’s €16.65m, the gulf in resources is clear. But as history shows, Mantova can dig deep and frustrate the big boys—especially at home. For traveling fans, remember: tickets for the guest sector (Curva Cisa, 936 seats) are on sale until January 10, but only with the SIAMOAQUILE CARD if you’re a Palermo resident.

In summary, our Mantova vs Palermo prediction is a narrow away win in a game unlikely to see more than three goals. Expect Palermo’s class to edge it, but don’t rule out Mantova making life difficult. As always, bet responsibly—and enjoy the beautiful game!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Mantova vs Palermo

U3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -270
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -345

Palermo to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -270

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -139

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -263

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.99
xG
1.65
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.08
Expected Goals
1.65
2.4
Total Goals
2.7
1
Goals Scored
1.8
1.4
Goals Against
0.9
57%
Possession
50%
13.3
Total Shots
15.1
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.3
4.9
Shots off Goal
6.5
12.3
Fouls
15.3
5.9
Corners
5.1
1.7
Offsides
0.9
1.89
Yellow Cards
2.78
486
Total Passes
384

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
5
5
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Mantova
0 - 2 - 0
Palermo
Palermo Palermo 16-Feb-25
2:2
Mantova Mantova
Mantova Mantova 30-Oct-24
0:0
Palermo Palermo

Profile time Recent Matches of Mantova

17 Jan Padova Padova.
-
Mantova. Mantova
11 JanD Mantova Mantova.
1:1
Palermo. Palermo
27 DecD Carrarese Carrarese.
0:0
Mantova. Mantova
21 DecL Mantova Mantova.
0:1
Empoli. Empoli
13 DecL Cesena Cesena.
3:2
Mantova. Mantova
08 DecL Mantova Mantova.
0:1
Reggiana. Reggiana
29 NovL Venezia Venezia.
3:0
Mantova. Mantova
23 NovW Mantova Mantova.
4:1
Spezia. Spezia
14 NovL Parma Parma.
2:1
Mantova. Mantova
08 NovW Mantova Mantova.
1:0
Padova. Padova

Profile time Recent Matches of Palermo

18 JanPalermo Palermo.
-
Spezia.Spezia
11 JanDMantova Mantova.
1:1
Palermo.Palermo
27 DecWPalermo Palermo.
1:0
Padova.Padova
20 DecDAvellino Avellino.
2:2
Palermo.Palermo
12 DecWPalermo Palermo.
1:0
Sampdoria.Sampdoria
07 DecWEmpoli Empoli.
1:3
Palermo.Palermo
29 NovWPalermo Palermo.
5:0
Carrarese.Carrarese
22 NovDEntella Entella.
1:1
Palermo.Palermo
08 NovLJuve Stabia Juve Stabia.
1:0
Palermo.Palermo
01 NovWPalermo Palermo.
5:0
Pescara.Pescara

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Frosinone Frosinone19
36-16
41
2 Venezia Venezia19
34-15
38
3 Monza Monza19
27-15
37
4 Palermo Palermo19
29-14
34
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro19
26-21
31
6 Cesena Cesena19
25-21
31
7 Modena Modena19
26-17
29
8 Empoli Empoli19
26-24
27
9 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia19
21-22
27
10 Padova Padova19
19-20
25
11 Avellino Avellino19
23-31
25
12 Carrarese Carrarese19
25-29
23
13 Reggiana Reggiana19
23-28
20
14 Sudtirol Sudtirol19
18-22
19
15 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella19
17-26
19
16 Sampdoria Sampdoria19
19-27
17
17 Spezia Spezia19
18-27
17
18 Bari Bari19
16-29
17
19 Mantova Mantova19
16-28
16
20 Pescara Pescara19
25-37
14
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