Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Marilia
-
Uniao Sao Joao
-
Preview
As the Paulista A3 season heats up, Marilia and Uniao Sao Joao prepare to lock horns at the Estádio Municipal Bento de Abreu Sampaio Vidal on March 26, 2025. With both teams fighting for crucial points, this encounter promises to be a tense affair, especially given their recent history. Marilia may be the favorites on paper, but if past meetings are anything to go by, Uniao Sao Joao won’t go down without a fight.
Marilia have enjoyed a solid campaign so far, but they haven’t exactly been blowing teams away. Their last meeting with Uniao Sao Joao, back in February, saw them edge a narrow 2-1 victory. However, their previous clash in early 2024 ended in a goalless draw, proving that Uniao Sao Joao knows how to frustrate their more fancied opponents.
Historically, home teams in Paulista A3 have won 39.8% of matches, which gives Marilia an advantage. But with draws occurring in 39% of games, Uniao Sao Joao will fancy their chances of grinding out another result. Given that away teams have only won 21.1% of matches, an outright victory for the visitors seems unlikely—though stranger things have happened in Brazilian football.
One trend stands out when analyzing these two sides: low-scoring games. Only 31.5% of matches in this league see more than 2.5 goals, and this fixture appears to fit the mold of a tight, tactical battle. The AI agrees, predicting under 2.5 goals with a confidence rating of 4.6/10 and odds of 1.53.
Marilia’s home record suggests they’ll try to control possession and create chances, but Uniao Sao Joao’s defensive approach away from home could neutralize their attack. A first-half stalemate wouldn’t be surprising, and the AI even predicts a 0-0 scoreline at halftime. Fans hoping for a goal fest might want to temper their expectations.
Given the history between these two sides and the overall league trends, we could be in for another close contest. The AI leans towards a double chance bet on Uniao Sao Joao or a draw (X2), though with a lower confidence rating of 2.0/10 and odds of 1.91. That suggests this match is far from a foregone conclusion.
Here's what we predict for Marilia vs Uniao Sao Joao: The AI’s best bet is for under 2.5 goals, with a confidence level of 4.6/10 and odds of 1.53. A 1-1 draw is the most likely outcome, with neither side expected to dominate proceedings.
Marilia might be the favorites, but Uniao Sao Joao have already shown they can cause problems in this fixture. If you’re placing a bet, consider the trends—this one could be a cagey affair with little separating the two sides at the final whistle.
Read More
U2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189X2 -110
Uniao Sao Joao to win or drawUnder 2.5 -189
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 110
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U3.5 148
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:1
|
|
2
-
1
-
1
|
|
 Marilia |
26-Mar-25
3:0
| Uniao S  |
| Uniao S |
22-Mar-25
1:0
| Marilia |
| Marilia |
08-Feb-25
2:1
| Uniao S |
Brazil - Paulista - A3| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monte Azul | 15 | 27-14 | 30 |
| 2 |
Marília | 15 | 24-17 | 28 |
| 3 |
Desportivo Bra | 15 | 19-16 | 25 |
| 4 |
Sertãozinho | 15 | 14-8 | 25 |
| 5 |
Catanduva | 15 | 17-17 | 24 |
| 6 |
Rio Branco SP | 15 | 25-15 | 23 |
| 7 |
União São Jo | 15 | 18-13 | 22 |
| 8 |
Itapirense | 15 | 14-13 | 20 |
| 9 |
Rio Preto | 15 | 12-14 | 20 |
| 10 |
USAC | 15 | 15-22 | 17 |
| 11 |
XV de Jau | 15 | 9-12 | 17 |
| 12 |
Francana | 15 | 17-19 | 17 |
| 13 |
EC São Bernar | 15 | 11-15 | 16 |
| 14 |
Bandeirante SP | 15 | 12-20 | 15 |
| 15 |
EC Lemense | 15 | 12-21 | 13 |
| 16 |
Comercial | 15 | 8-18 | 11 |
