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Match Prediction

Maritimo vs Aragua FC Prediction

Finished

Maritimo

€400.00Th.

14 May17:00
0 : 1

Aragua FC

€175.00Th.

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Maritimo vs Aragua FC Prediction Segunda División

Maritimo vs Aragua FC Prediction: A Tight Battle in Venezuela’s Segunda Division?

If you're looking for a Maritimo vs Aragua FC prediction, you’ve come to the right place. This midweek fixture in Venezuela’s Segunda Division might not be a headline-grabber, but for bettors, it’s a fascinating puzzle. The odds suggest a close contest, but our NerdyTips AI has sniffed out some intriguing possibilities—including a potential upset. Let’s break it down.

Betting Odds and Initial Thoughts

The bookmakers have Maritimo as slight favorites, with a home win priced at 1.83. A draw sits at 3.3, while an Aragua FC victory offers juicy odds of 3.9. On paper, Maritimo’s higher squad value (€400k vs. Aragua’s €175k) might justify their favoritism, but football isn’t played on paper—or spreadsheets, no matter how much we nerds love them.

Here’s the twist: our AI thinks the best bet here is backing Aragua FC to win outright (3.9 odds), despite the modest 2.3/10 trust score. Why? Because sometimes, the underdog bites back—just like Aragua did on May 4th, 2024, when they fought to a 2-2 draw against Yaracuyanos FC as massive underdogs (5.23 odds). If they can scrap like that on the road, why not here?

Total Goals: Expect a Low-Scoring Affair

If you prefer safer bets, the under 2.5 goals market looks solid. Our AI gives it a 5.0/10 trust level with odds of 1.59, and the predicted scoreline is a 0-1 win for Aragua FC, with a goalless first half. This aligns with the Segunda Division’s trends:

  • 41% of matches end in home wins, 26% in away wins, and 33.1% in draws.
  • Both teams score in just 45.8% of games.
  • Only 44.2% of matches see over 2.5 goals.

In other words, this league loves a grind. If you’re the type who cheers for a 90-minute stalemate (we won’t judge), this game might be your jam.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Vibes

There’s no recent head-to-head data between these two, but let’s read the tea leaves. Maritimo’s higher squad value suggests better individual quality, but Aragua’s recent resilience as underdogs hints at a well-drilled, stubborn side. If they park the bus and snatch a goal on the counter—boom, that 3.9 odds payday looks tasty.

Plus, the predicted 0-1 scoreline fits Aragua’s underdog mentality: defend deep, stay organized, and pounce on a mistake. Maritimo, despite being favorites, might struggle to break them down.

Final Betting Recommendations

Here’s the NerdyTips cheat sheet:

  1. Best high-risk bet: Aragua FC to win (3.9 odds) – for the thrill-seekers.
  2. Best safe bet: Under 2.5 goals (1.59 odds) – for the pragmatists.
  3. Wildcard: A correct score prediction of 0-1 – if you’re feeling psychic.

Final Thought

This Maritimo vs Aragua FC prediction isn’t about fireworks; it’s about patience and pragmatism. The stats, the odds, and our AI all point to a tight, low-scoring game—with a sneaky chance of an Aragua smash-and-grab. Whether you’re backing the underdog or riding the under, may the betting gods smile upon you!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Maritimo vs Aragua FC

U2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -169
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 290

Aragua FC is expected to win with odds of 290
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 139

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
1.6
1.6
Goals Scored
0.8
1.1
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
5
4
Over 2.5 Goals
1
4
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Maritimo
0 - 1 - 1
Aragua FC
Maritimo Maritimo 14-May-25
0:1
Aragua FC Aragua FC

Venezuela - Segunda División Venezuela - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Petare FC Petare FC28
43-23
54
2 Marítimo Marítimo28
54-25
48
3 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz Dinamo de Puerto La28
33-21
47
4 Aragua FC Aragua FC28
23-19
35
5 Bolívar Bolívar28
23-36
34
6 Mineros de Guyana Mineros de28
25-32
32
7 Monagas II Monagas II28
33-53
28
8 Angostura FC Angostura FC28
25-50
22
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