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Match Prediction

Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction

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UEFA Champions League

Marseille

€397.55m

25 Nov15:00
2 : 1

Newcastle

€751.83m

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Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction UEFA Champions League

Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction: Odds, Team News, and AI Tips

The Marseille vs Newcastle prediction is generating plenty of buzz as both sides prepare for a crucial UEFA Champions League group stage encounter at the Stade Vélodrome on November 25, 2025, kicking off at 20:00 GMT. With both teams facing injury headaches and chasing much-needed points, this fixture promises drama, tactical intrigue, and sports betting opportunities that fans and punters alike won’t want to miss.

Team News, Form, and Tactical Insights

Let’s dive into the heart of the action. Marseille, led by Roberto De Zerbi, are juggling a significant injury list. Key players like Amir Murillo, Facundo Medina, Nayef Aguerd, Hamed Traoré, Amine Gouiri, and captain Leonardo Balerdi are all doubts or ruled out. There’s a glimmer of hope with Ruben Blanco and Bilal Nadir possibly returning, and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg expected to be available after a short rest post-international duty.

Newcastle United, under Eddie Howe, have their own fitness concerns. Dan Burn is suspended, while Yoane Wissa, Will Osula, and Anthony Gordon (hip) are all touch-and-go. The Magpies could welcome back Tino Livramento and Nick Pope, while Joelinton and Sven Botman seem set for action. Lewis Hall is likely to fill in for Burn, and Sandro Tonali is back from international duty, though still finding full fitness.

  • Marseille’s recent form: Struggling in Europe with three losses from four, but domestically impressive, including a 5-1 win at Nice where Aubameyang and Greenwood shone.
  • Newcastle’s recent form: Three straight Champions League wins without conceding, including a 2-0 triumph over Athletic Club. However, their Premier League campaign has been inconsistent, with five losses in 11 games.

Tactically, De Zerbi’s Marseille will look to control possession and exploit the wings, while Newcastle’s disciplined approach under Howe is built on defensive solidity and quick transitions. Expect a tight midfield battle, with both sides eager to capitalize on set-pieces and moments of individual brilliance.

Head to Head, Historical Context, and Betting Odds

The head to head history between these teams is brief but memorable. Their only previous meetings came in the 2003/04 UEFA Cup semi-finals, with Marseille progressing after a 2-0 home win. Since then, Marseille have struggled against English opposition, failing to win in their last 12 matches against Premier League sides. Newcastle, meanwhile, have a decent record against French teams, losing just two of their last nine encounters.

  • Sports betting odds for this match:
    • Home win (Marseille): 2.9
    • Draw: 3.45
    • Away win (Newcastle): 2.5

With Newcastle’s squad valued at €751.83m compared to Marseille’s €397.55m, the Magpies are slight favorites, but the Vélodrome is never an easy place to visit.

AI-Generated Marseille vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips

Here at NerdyTips, our AI has crunched the numbers for the Marseille vs Newcastle prediction, and here’s what the data suggests:

  1. Best tip: Over 1.5 goals in the match (odds: 1.27, trust level: 4.4/10). Both teams are expected to create chances, and with predicted shots on target (Marseille 4, Newcastle 3), at least two goals seems likely.
  2. 1x2 prediction: X2 (Draw or Newcastle win) with odds of 1.45 and trust level of 2.0. Newcastle’s recent European form and higher squad value tip the scales slightly in their favor, especially given Marseille’s injury woes.
  3. Predicted final score: 1-2 to Newcastle, with a 1-1 draw at half-time. Expect a closely-fought first half, but Newcastle’s depth may prove decisive after the break.
  • Possession: Marseille 51%, Newcastle 49% – expect a balanced midfield tussle.
  • Shots: Marseille 11, Newcastle 10 – both teams will have their moments.
  • Corners: Marseille 3, Newcastle 4 – set-pieces could be key.
  • Yellow cards: Marseille 2, Newcastle 1 – a competitive but not overly aggressive affair.

For those interested in sports betting, the over 1.5 goals market offers a relatively safe option, while backing Newcastle in the double chance (X2) could be a smart play given their recent Champions League momentum.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

In summary, our Marseille vs Newcastle prediction leans towards a narrow away win or a draw, with goals likely at both ends. Injuries may hamper Marseille’s ambitions, but their home crowd and recent domestic form give them hope. Newcastle’s European run, squad depth, and tactical discipline make them slight favorites in the betting odds, but this is a fixture where anything can happen.

Whether you’re a football fan, a betting enthusiast, or just love a good European night, this match promises excitement and plenty of talking points. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the beautiful game!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Marseille vs Newcastle

O1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -370
4/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -222

Newcastle to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -370

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -149

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -133

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

1.24
xG
1.47
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.77
Expected Goals
1.76
3.6
Total Goals
3
2.6
Goals Scored
2
1
Goals Against
1
58%
Possession
52%
13.5
Total Shots
12.6
5.9
Shots on Goal
4.9
4.9
Shots off Goal
4.4
12.7
Fouls
11.7
3.7
Corners
5.5
1.3
Offsides
0.9
2.33
Yellow Cards
1.22
567
Total Passes
440

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
10
8
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Marseille
0 - 0 - 0
Newcastle

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Profile time Recent Matches of Newcastle

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World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal5
14-1
15
2 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Ge5
19-8
12
3 Bayern München Bayern Münche5
15-6
12
4 Inter Inter5
12-3
12
5 Real Madrid Real Madrid5
12-5
12
6 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortm5
17-11
10
7 Chelsea Chelsea5
12-6
10
8 Sporting CP Sporting CP5
11-5
10
9 Manchester City Manchester Cit5
10-5
10
10 Atalanta Atalanta5
6-5
10
11 Newcastle Newcastle5
11-4
9
12 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madri5
12-10
9
13 Liverpool Liverpool5
10-8
9
14 Galatasaray Galatasaray5
8-7
9
15 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven5
13-8
8
16 Tottenham Tottenham5
10-7
8
17 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkus5
8-10
8
18 Barcelona Barcelona5
12-10
7
19 Qarabag Qarabag5
8-9
7
20 Napoli Napoli5
6-9
7
21 Marseille Marseille5
8-6
6
22 Juventus Juventus5
10-10
6
23 Monaco Monaco5
6-8
6
24 Pafos Pafos5
4-7
6
25 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gill5
5-12
6
26 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV5
8-13
4
27 Athletic Club Athletic Club5
4-9
4
28 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Fran5
7-14
4
29 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen5
7-14
4
30 Benfica Benfica5
4-8
3
31 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha5
2-8
3
32 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt5
7-11
2
33 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Pir5
5-13
2
34 Villarreal Villarreal5
2-10
1
35 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty5
4-14
1
36 Ajax Ajax5
1-16
0
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