Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Football fans in Iran are in for an intriguing battle this weekend as Mes Rafsanjan host Nassaji Mazandaran at the Shohada Mes Rafsanjan Stadium. Kickoff is set for 14:30 GMT on April 5, 2025, and if recent form is anything to go by, this could be a cagey contest with plenty at stake. The bookmakers seem unsure, pricing a home win at 2.1, a draw at 2.75, and an away victory at a tempting 3.9. But what do the stats—and a little bit of gut feeling—say about this one?
If there’s one thing we’ve learned from these two teams lately, it’s that they love defying the odds. Mes Rafsanjan pulled off a stunner back in December, beating giants Persepolis FC 1-3 away despite being priced at a whopping 7.09 to win. Not to be outdone, Nassaji Mazandaran did the exact same thing just two weeks earlier, toppling Persepolis 0-1 as 7.5 underdogs. Clearly, neither side is afraid of a challenge.
Their last head-to-head meeting in February saw Nassaji edge a 1-0 victory, but with both teams capable of springing surprises, this rematch promises to be anything but straightforward. Interestingly, NerdyTips’ AI leans toward X2 (Nassaji win or draw) as the smart pick here, giving it a modest 2.5/10 confidence rating at odds of 1.57. It’s not a ringing endorsement, but it suggests the visitors might have the slight edge.
If you’re expecting a goal-fest, you might want to temper those expectations. The stats point toward a low-scoring affair, with the under 2.5 goals market sitting at 1.31 odds and a 2.3/10 trust level. The predicted scoreline? A 1-1 draw, with Mes Rafsanjan possibly leading 1-0 at halftime. Given that both teams have shown they can grind out results, a tight, tactical battle seems likely.
On paper, Nassaji Mazandaran hold the financial upper hand, with a squad valued at €8.18 million compared to Mes Rafsanjan’s €5.10 million. But as we’ve seen time and again, money doesn’t always buy goals—or wins. Both teams have punched above their weight this season, and while Nassaji’s deeper squad might give them an edge in stamina, Rafsanjan’s home advantage could level the playing field.
This isn’t the kind of match where you’d want to stake your life savings, but if you’re looking for a sensible bet, X2 (Nassaji or draw) feels like the safer play. A 1-1 draw wouldn’t be a shock, and if either side nicks it, Nassaji’s slightly better recent H2H record gives them a psychological edge. Either way, don’t expect fireworks—just a hard-fought, possibly nervy 90 minutes in Rafsanjan.
So grab your snacks, settle in, and enjoy what should be a fascinating—if not exactly high-octane—encounter. And if the game ends 0-0, well… at least you didn’t bet the house on it.
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X2 -175
Nassaji M to win or draw with odds of -175X2 -175
Nassaji M to win or drawUnder 2.5 -323
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 150
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U3.5 -114
Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:1
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4
-
5
-
6
|
|
 Mes R |
05-Apr-25
0:0
| Nassaji M  |
| Mes R |
13-Feb-25
0:1
| Nassaji M |
| Nassaji M |
01-Nov-24
0:1
| Mes R |
| Nassaji M |
21-Feb-24
0:3
| Mes R |
| Mes R |
16-Aug-23
1:1
| Nassaji M |
| Mes R |
19-Jan-23
1:1
| Nassaji M |
| Nassaji M |
12-Aug-22
1:1
| Mes R |
| Nassaji M |
09-May-22
0:2
| Mes R |
| Mes R |
24-Dec-21
1:2
| Nassaji M |
| Mes R |
08-May-21
0:1
| Nassaji M |
Recent Matches of Mes R| 28 Jan | D |
Mes Rafsan.
|
0:0
| Zob Ahan.
|
| 22 Jan | L |
Tractor (I.
|
4:1
| Mes Rafsan.
|
Recent Matches of Nassaji M
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tractor Sazi | 30 | 57-19 | 68 |
| 2 |
Sepahan FC | 30 | 48-21 | 60 |
| 3 |
Persepolis FC | 30 | 42-20 | 60 |
| 4 |
Foolad FC | 30 | 36-30 | 53 |
| 5 |
Gol Gohar | 30 | 23-16 | 47 |
| 6 |
ZOB Ahan | 30 | 32-28 | 42 |
| 7 |
Malavan | 30 | 33-33 | 39 |
| 8 |
Aluminium Arak | 30 | 30-31 | 35 |
| 9 |
Esteghlal FC | 30 | 30-33 | 34 |
| 10 |
Chadormalu SC | 30 | 22-28 | 34 |
| 11 |
Kheybar | 30 | 24-31 | 33 |
| 12 |
Esteghlal | 30 | 19-30 | 31 |
| 13 |
Shams Azar | 30 | 23-41 | 29 |
| 14 |
Mes Rafsanjan | 30 | 24-38 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nassaji | 30 | 15-28 | 23 |
| 16 |
Havadar | 30 | 17-48 | 22 |
