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Match Prediction

Mirandes vs Las Palmas Prediction

Finished

Mirandes

€18.50m

15 Feb08:00
1 : 1

Las Palmas

€44.30m

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Mirandes vs Las Palmas Prediction Segunda División

Mirandes vs Las Palmas prediction: tight game at Anduva

The Mirandes vs Las Palmas prediction for Sunday, February 15, 2026 (13:00 GMT) starts with a simple truth: Anduva can make big teams feel very small. This Round 26 Segunda División match is set at the Estadio Municipal de Anduva in Miranda de Ebro, a compact ground (around 5,759 seats) where the noise arrives early and the space disappears fast.

Context, stakes, and why Anduva changes the script

The table tells one story and the stadium tells another. Mirandés arrive in 22nd, trying to climb out of trouble, while Las Palmas sit around 5th/6th in the promotion play-off zone, aiming to return to the top flight. It is relegation pressure versus promotion pressure—different flavors, same stress.

What we know about form and mood

  • Mirandés have looked fragile at the back, going seven straight matches without a clean sheet, but that recent 2-1 win over Málaga offered a real pulse in the survival fight.
  • Las Palmas have been a little uneven lately (including draws like 0-0 and 1-1), yet their away output has stayed solid at about 1.5 points per road game.

Team news and tactical ideas

Mirandés continue a season of change on the bench. After Fran Justo and a short stop with Jesús Galván, Antxon Muneta took charge in January 2026 with one task: turn panic into points. His Mirandés try to build through midfield and keep the ball, but they can be exposed when opponents break quickly after a turnover.

Injuries matter too. Mirandés are expected to miss Iker Varela and Pablo Lopez. Up front, Carlos Fernández remains the main threat and the player most likely to force saves, while Juan Gutiérrez and Iker Córdoba should be central to keeping the defensive shape from cracking.

Las Palmas, led by Luis García Fernández (appointed June 2025), look more settled. His deal runs to June 2026 with an extension tied to promotion—motivation is built into the paperwork. The visitors have their own absences (Jeremia Recoba, Sandro Ramírez, and Viti), but Jonathan Viera still provides the calm hand and clever pass that can turn one moment into three points. Manu Fuster has offered support in key zones, and Dinko Horkas has been an important presence in goal.

Head to head notes worth remembering

  • Anduva has been kind to Mirandés historically: in the last 15 meetings, they have 7 wins to Las Palmas’ 5.
  • The most recent notable head to head at Anduva ended 3-3 (2022-10-01), a reminder that these two can surprise.
  • On 2025-12-08, Mirandés grabbed a 0-0 draw away at Las Palmas despite huge pre-match prices—proof they can “ruin the plan” when least expected.

NerdyTips picks, betting odds, and projected match stats

Now to the numbers behind our Mirandes vs Las Palmas prediction. The 1X2 betting odds currently read: Home 3.4, Draw 3.2, Away 2.35. That pricing leans toward Las Palmas, which makes sense given squad value (€18.50m vs €44.30m) and league position.

Still, our AI leans to safety rather than swagger. The AI-generated 1X2 call is 1X (Mirandés or draw) with trust 2.0 and odds around 1.61. In plain words: Las Palmas are strong, but Anduva plus urgency can drag this into the “not today” category.

Total goals markets: why under 2.35 stands out

  • Best wager: Under 2.35 total goals at 1.6 odds (confidence 2.35/10).
  • Projected score: 1-1 full-time, with a 0-1 half-time lean.
  • Match shape forecast: Possession 48% vs 52%, shots 13 vs 12, on-target 3 vs 4.
  • Set pieces and discipline: corners 5 vs 3 (8 total), yellows 2 vs 1.

Those stat lines suggest a balanced game with limited clean chances—more “measured Segunda” than goal parade. If Las Palmas lead at the break (0-1), Mirandés’ second-half push could equalize without turning the match into chaos, keeping the under 2.35 total goals alive.

Final verdict

Las Palmas have the deeper squad and the clearer objective, but Mirandés have the stadium, the desperation, and a history of making this head to head awkward. Our Mirandes vs Las Palmas prediction therefore lands on: under 2.35 goals as the most logical angle, with 1X as the cautious 1X2 cover—because at Anduva, even promotion chasers sometimes leave with nothing but a tight jaw and a single point.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Las Palmas didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Mirandes vs Las Palmas

U2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -167
2/10

1x2 Tip

1X -161

Mirandes to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -167

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 100

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -127

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

1.15
xG
0.77
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

2.6
Total Goals
2.2
0.8
Goals Scored
1.1
1.8
Goals Against
1.1
44%
Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11.9
3
Shots on Goal
4.2
5.6
Shots off Goal
4.4
14.9
Fouls
12.4
4.4
Corners
3.4
2.2
Offsides
2.8
2.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
308
Total Passes
494

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Mirandes
4 - 2 - 3
Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 08-Dec-25
0:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Las Palmas Las Palmas 20-Jan-23
2:1
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 01-Oct-22
3:3
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 06-May-22
1:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 05-Sep-21
4:2
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Mirandes Mirandes 31-Jan-21
2:0
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Las Palmas Las Palmas 25-Nov-20
0:2
Mirandes Mirandes
Las Palmas Las Palmas 11-Jul-20
1:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 17-Nov-19
2:1
Las Palmas Las Palmas

Profile time Recent Matches of Mirandes

01 MarL Mirandes Mirandes 0 Ceuta Ceuta 1
21 FebW Huesca Huesca 1 Mirandes Mirandes 2
15 FebD Mirandes Mirandes 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
09 FebL Racing S Racing S 1 Mirandes Mirandes 0
02 FebW Mirandes Mirandes 2 Malaga Malaga 1
24 JanL Gijon Gijon 3 Mirandes Mirandes 0
18 JanL Mirandes Mirandes 1 Andorra Andorra 2
10 JanD Mirandes Mirandes 2 Almeria Almeria 2
02 JanL Eibar Eibar 2 Mirandes Mirandes 1
21 DecL Mirandes Mirandes 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Las Palmas

01 MarWCultural Cultural 0 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3
21 FebDLas Palmas Las Palmas 1 Castellon Castellon 1
15 FebDMirandes Mirandes 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
07 FebDLas Palmas Las Palmas 0 Burgos CF Burgos CF 0
30 JanDReal II Real II 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
24 JanLLas Palmas Las Palmas 1 Cordoba Cordoba 2
18 JanLRacing S Racing S 4 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1
10 JanDLas Palmas Las Palmas 1 Deportivo Deportivo 1
04 JanWZaragoza Zaragoza 1 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2
20 DecWLas Palmas Las Palmas 4 Cultural Cultural 0

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Racing Santander Racing28
56-36
53
2 Castellón Castellón28
46-29
49
3 Almeria Almeria28
53-40
49
4 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La28
44-31
49
5 Malaga Malaga28
41-31
47
6 Las Palmas Las Palmas28
34-22
45
7 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC28
36-39
44
8 Burgos Burgos28
30-26
43
9 Cordoba Cordoba27
37-33
41
10 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon27
38-36
41
11 Eibar Eibar28
31-30
38
12 Albacete Albacete28
33-39
35
13 Cadiz Cadiz28
29-35
35
14 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad28
38-39
34
15 Leganes Leganes27
29-28
33
16 Granada CF Granada CF28
32-33
32
17 FC Andorra FC Andorra27
31-39
32
18 Valladolid Valladolid28
29-38
32
19 Huesca Huesca28
26-37
30
20 Cultural Leonesa Cultural28
27-44
27
21 Mirandes Mirandes28
28-45
24
22 Zaragoza Zaragoza28
23-41
24
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