Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Mirassol vs Vasco prediction time is here, and the calendar says it’s Round 1 of the 2026 Brasileirão Série A on 2026-01.28 (23:00 GMT). The setting is the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, the “Maião”, where Mirassol have been treating visitors like unwanted guests for a long time. Vasco arrive with the bigger price tag and louder headlines, but Mirassol bring the calmer routine and that home-fortress feeling.
Mirassol’s “Little Lion” story continues with a stable core from their memorable 2025 campaign. Walter is expected in goal, with Daniel Borges in the back line, and a midfield spine that often features Neto Moura and José Aldo. Up front, Alesson and Reinaldo look like the main threats. The message from Rafael Guanaes has been very grounded: enjoy the progress, but the 2026 goal is still to stay safe in Série A and avoid getting carried away.
Vasco, coached by Fernando Diniz (back since May 2025, contract through 2026), should lean into “Dinizismo”: possession, short passes, building from deep. Philippe Coutinho remains the creative hub, while new defenders Robert Renan and Carlos Cuesta are expected to feature. There’s also a fresh hole to fill: young star Rayan has been sold to Bournemouth for around £24.7m, and that kind of exit changes the feel of an attack.
Both teams come in with similar recent runs (2W, 1D, 2L), but the mood is different. Mirassol just hit São Bernardo 4-0 (Jan 24) and keep extending an impressive unbeaten stretch at the Maião (reported as 20 straight home matches without defeat). Vasco steadied themselves with a 3-0 win over Boavista (Jan 25) after losing 1-0 to Flamengo earlier in the month.
The head to head storyline is fun, too: Mirassol have become a bit of a problem for Vasco lately. In their most recent meeting (2025-08-02), Mirassol won 3-2. Even better for the hosts, they reportedly took both 2025 league meetings, including a 2.0 away win at São Januário. If you’re Vasco, you can call it “bad luck”; if you’re Mirassol, you call it “a plan that works.”
Now to the numbers NerdyTips readers came for. The main betting odds price Mirassol as slight favorites: Home win 2.0, Draw 3.45, Away win 4.3. That lines up with the idea that Mirassol’s home structure and fast wide play can bother a Vasco team still integrating pieces.
The under 3.5 looks logical even with that earlier 3-2 head to head, because opening-round matches often start with a little caution, and Vasco are missing options while being asked to play a complex passing style away from home. Mirassol also tend to start quickly at the Maião, which matches the 1:0 half-time call. So our Mirassol vs Vasco prediction is: home win plus a controlled match on total goals, with Mirassol edging it 2.0 if they turn early pressure into a goal.
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Mirassol didn't play better in the last H2H match!
U3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3571 100
Mirassol is expected to win with odds of 100Under 3.5 -357
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U5.5 -323
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
2:0
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|
2
-
0
-
0
|
|
 Vasco |
02-Dec-25
0:2
| Mirassol  |
| Mirassol |
02-Aug-25
3:2
| Vasco |
Recent Matches of Mirassol| 15 Mar |
Palmeiras
| - |
Mirassol
| - | |
| 11 Mar | D |
Mirassol
| 2 |
Santos
| 2 |
| 15 Feb | L |
Mirassol
| 1 |
Portuguesa
| 2 |
| 11 Feb | D |
Mirassol
| 2 |
Cruzeiro
| 2 |
| 08 Feb | L |
Capivariano
| 1 |
Mirassol
| 0 |
| 04 Feb | D |
Remo
| 2 |
Mirassol
| 2 |
| 01 Feb | L |
Mirassol
| 0 |
Novorizontino
| 1 |
| 29 Jan | W |
Mirassol
| 2 |
Vasco
| 1 |
| 24 Jan | W |
Sao Bernardo
| 0 |
Mirassol
| 4 |
| 21 Jan | D |
Mirassol
| 0 |
Bragantino
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Vasco
| 15 Mar |  Cruzeiro |
- | Vasco |
- | |
| 12 Mar | W | Vasco |
2 |  Palmeiras |
1 |
| 01 Mar | D |  Fluminense |
1 | Vasco |
1 |
| 26 Feb | L |  Santos |
2 | Vasco |
1 |
| 22 Feb | L | Vasco |
0 | Fluminense |
1 |
| 15 Feb | D | Vasco |
1 |  Volta Redonda |
1 |
| 12 Feb | L | Vasco |
0 |  Bahia |
1 |
| 08 Feb | W | Vasco |
2 |  Botafogo RJ |
0 |
| 05 Feb | D | Vasco |
1 |  Chapecoen |
1 |
| 02 Feb | D |  Madureira |
0 | Vasco |
0 |
Brazil - Serie A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sao Paulo | 5 | 8-2 | 13 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras | 5 | 13-7 | 10 |
| 3 |
Flamengo | 5 | 9-4 | 10 |
| 4 |
Fluminense | 5 | 7-4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Bahia | 4 | 5-3 | 8 |
| 6 |
RB Bragantino | 5 | 4-4 | 8 |
| 7 |
Coritiba | 5 | 7-6 | 7 |
| 8 |
Atletico | 4 | 4-3 | 7 |
| 9 |
Gremio | 5 | 9-9 | 7 |
| 10 |
Corinthians | 5 | 5-5 | 7 |
| 11 |
Vitoria | 5 | 7-8 | 7 |
| 12 |
Mirassol | 4 | 8-7 | 6 |
| 13 |
Chapecoense-sc | 4 | 8-8 | 5 |
| 14 |
Santos | 5 | 8-10 | 5 |
| 15 |
Atletico-MG | 6 | 7-10 | 5 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama | 5 | 5-7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Botafogo | 4 | 7-9 | 3 |
| 18 |
remo | 5 | 6-10 | 3 |
| 19 |
Internacional | 5 | 3-7 | 2 |
| 20 |
Cruzeiro | 5 | 4-11 | 2 |
