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Match Prediction

Montana vs Lok. Sofia Prediction

Finished
Bulgaria flag Bulgaria
First League

Montana

€4.85m

2 Dec08:30
1 : 2

Lok. Sofia

€9.10m

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Montana vs Lok. Sofia Prediction First League

Montana vs Lok. Sofia Prediction: AI Insights, Odds & Tactical Analysis

Welcome to our Montana vs Lok. Sofia prediction, where we dive into the numbers, tactics, and recent form to help you make sense of this crucial First League fixture. With both sides having plenty at stake and the odds offering intriguing possibilities, our analysis brings together expert insight and data-driven tips for one of the most anticipated matches on December 2, 2025.

Team Form, Head to Head, and What’s at Stake

The battle lines are drawn at Stadion Ogosta, with Montana desperately seeking points to escape the relegation zone. Sitting 14th with 14 points, Montana’s season has been a rollercoaster—one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, conceding 11 goals in that stretch. Their defensive frailties are clear, with only one clean sheet in recent weeks. In contrast, Lokomotiv Sofia (Lok. Sofia) arrive in much better spirits, 9th in the table with 20 points and three wins from their last five matches. Their defense has been notably tighter, conceding just four times in that period.

  • Head to head: 15 meetings – Montana 4 wins, Lok. Sofia 7 wins, 4 draws
  • Last meeting: Lok. Sofia 3-0 Montana (August 3, 2025)
  • Montana’s home: Stadion Ogosta (capacity 7,000, pitch in excellent condition)

Tactics, Players, and Team News

Lok. Sofia’s coach Stanislav Genchev is expected to stick with a 3-5-2 system, blending defensive solidity with quick transitions. The likely back three—Dembele, Biatoumoussoka, and Bidounga—will anchor the defense, while Ali, Stanoev, and Daskalov look to control the midfield. Set-pieces and wing play, especially through Dost and Lyaskov, are likely to be key weapons. Up front, Ante Aralica’s fitness remains a question (recent reports of an Achilles injury), but if available, he’s a focal point. Otherwise, look for Caue Caruso’s pace and Spas Delev’s creativity to trouble Montana.

  • Key player for Montana: Philip Ejike (5 goals this season)
  • Lok. Sofia’s strengths: Defensive organization, pace on the break, and set-piece threat
  • Montana’s concern: Defensive lapses, especially late in games
  • Injuries: Lok. Sofia mostly healthy, but Aralica’s status uncertain

Montana, under manager Anatoli Nankov, are expected to play with urgency, hoping home support can tip the balance. However, their lower squad value (€4.85m vs. Lok. Sofia’s €9.10m) underlines the challenge ahead.

Betting Odds and Market Value

  • Home win: 3.55
  • Draw: 3.20
  • Away win: 2.18
  • Montana squad value: €4.85m
  • Lok. Sofia squad value: €9.10m

AI Predictions, Total Goals, and Betting Tips

Our Montana vs Lok. Sofia prediction leans on both statistical trends and AI-powered insights. The AI expects a tightly contested affair, with Lok. Sofia’s solid defense likely to frustrate Montana’s attack. Here’s what the data suggests:

  • Final score prediction: Montana 1-2 Lok. Sofia
  • Half-time prediction: 0-0 (expect a cagey start)
  • Total goals: Under 3.5 (odds 1.25, trust level 6.5/10)
  • Best 1x2 bet: Lok. Sofia win (odds 2.18, trust score 2.6/10)

The odds favor Lok. Sofia, and with a predicted 52% ball possession, they’re expected to dictate play. Montana’s recent goalless draw against Lok. Plovdiv showed resilience, but Lok. Sofia’s away win at Cherno More highlights their ability to get results on the road—especially when they’re underestimated.

  • Expected shots: Montana 12 (3 on target), Lok. Sofia 10 (4 on target)
  • Expected corners: 10 total (Montana 4, Lok. Sofia 6)
  • Expected yellow cards: Montana 2, Lok. Sofia 1

Montana vs Lok. Sofia Prediction: Final Thoughts

With Montana struggling for defensive consistency and Lok. Sofia boasting a more balanced squad and recent head to head advantage, the away side looks a smart pick in the 1x2 market. However, with both teams averaging just over a goal per game recently, the under 3.5 goals bet stands out as the safest play. Expect a tactical battle, with Lok. Sofia’s organization and set-piece prowess likely making the difference.

Our Montana vs Lok. Sofia prediction: a narrow 2-1 away win, with under 3.5 total goals. Keep an eye on late team news, especially regarding Lok. Sofia’s Aralica, but our AI tips and the stats point to value in backing the visitors and a low-scoring contest.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Montana vs Lok. Sofia

U3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 118

Lok. Sofia is expected to win with odds of 118
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -400

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -104

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -213

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.1
Total Goals
2.4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.2
2
Goals Against
1.2

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
3
9
Over 1.5 Goals
6
7
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
8
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Montana
4 - 0 - 3
Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 03-Aug-25
3:0
Montana Montana
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 13-Jul-24
1:0
Montana Montana
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 31-Aug-19
0:1
Montana Montana
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 08-Dec-18
0:1
Montana Montana
Montana Montana 06-Aug-18
3:0
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia
Montana Montana 05-Mar-18
4:0
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia
Lok. Sofia Lok. Sofia 12-Aug-17
1:0
Montana Montana

Profile time Recent Matches of Montana

14 DecL Lok. Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv.
4:0
Montana. Montana
09 DecD Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa.
0:0
Montana. Montana
02 DecL Montana Montana.
1:2
Lok. Sofia. Lok. Sofia
28 NovD Lok. Plovdiv Lok. Plovdiv.
0:0
Montana. Montana
23 NovL Montana Montana.
1:5
Levski Sofia. Levski Sofia
09 NovL Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia.
2:1
Montana. Montana
02 NovL CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia.
2:1
Montana. Montana
29 OctW Marek Marek.
1:4
Montana. Montana
24 OctD Montana Montana.
1:1
Arda. Arda
20 OctD Beroe Beroe.
1:1
Montana. Montana

Profile time Recent Matches of Lok. Sofia

13 DecLCSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia.
2:1
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia
06 DecWLok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
3:2
Botev Plovdi.Botev Plovdiv
02 DecWMontana Montana.
1:2
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia
28 NovDLok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
0:0
Arda.Arda
22 NovWCherno More Cherno More.
0:1
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia
08 NovLLok. Sofia Lok. Sofia.
0:1
Botev Vratsa.Botev Vratsa
03 NovWBeroe Beroe.
1:3
Lok. Sofia.Lok. Sofia
28 OctWRilski S Rilski S.
2:3
Lokomotiv.Lokomotiv
24 OctDLokomotiv Lokomotiv.
2:2
Lokomotiv.Lokomotiv
19 OctLLokomotiv Lokomotiv.
0:1
CSKA 1948.CSKA 1948

Bulgaria - First League Bulgaria - First League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia19
43-12
44
2 CSKA 1948 CSKA 194819
31-20
37
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets18
31-13
34
4 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Va19
25-14
33
5 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia19
27-16
31
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plov19
20-22
29
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia19
23-21
28
8 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofi19
21-18
26
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa19
15-16
25
10 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali19
20-19
24
11 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv19
25-29
21
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna19
18-30
17
13 Beroe Beroe18
16-28
16
14 Montana Montana19
14-33
15
15 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofi19
19-41
15
16 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha19
13-29
12
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