Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Portugal
Moreirense
€24.95m
Estoril
€33.25m
Preview
Welcome to your essential Moreirense vs Estoril prediction for the May 11th Primeira Liga fixture at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. With just two games left in the season, Moreirense sits 10th on 36 points from 32 matches, while Estoril is just ahead in 9th with 42 points. The gap is narrow, the stakes are real, and the bookmakers have set the odds to reflect how evenly matched these sides are: 2.37 for a Moreirense home win, 3.23 for a draw, and 3.05 for an Estoril away win. It’s the kind of contest where every detail matters, and every stat tells a story.
As the season nears its end, both teams find themselves in that classic mid-table limbo—safe from relegation, but with pride and prize money still on the line. Moreirense and Estoril have both pulled off memorable upsets this season—Moreirense’s 2-1 victory over Sporting CP at astonishing 8.7 odds, and Estoril’s thrilling 3.23 away win at Santa Clara as 5.4 outsiders. Yet, consistency has eluded both, and that’s reflected in their current standings.
The team values hint at Estoril’s slightly deeper squad, which could be a subtle but crucial edge as legs tire late in the season.
The odds paint a picture of uncertainty. Moreirense is a slight favorite at home (2.37), but Estoril’s away win is not far behind at 3.05, with the draw at 3.23. These numbers suggest a match that could swing either way—a perfect recipe for drama.
NerdyTips’ AI leans toward an away win for Estoril (odds 3.05, trust level 2.0), but the best tip is under 3.5 goals (odds 1.25, confidence 4.1/10). The predicted final score? 0:2, with Estoril leading 0:1 at half-time. It’s a bold call, but the stats back it up.
These numbers reinforce the sense of balance—neither side is likely to dominate, but Estoril’s slight edge in possession and shots on target could prove decisive.
The last head to head meeting (2024-05-18) saw Moreirense edge Estoril 2-1, with odds then favoring the hosts at 2.25. But history doesn’t always repeat itself, especially with both teams evolving over the season.
With only 26.8% of matches surpassing the 3.5-goal mark, the under 3.5 goals tip looks well supported. Both teams are capable of scoring, but the stats suggest a more measured affair.
So, what’s the smartest approach to this Moreirense vs Estoril prediction? The data points to a closely fought contest, with Estoril’s slightly superior squad value and marginally better away record giving them a slender advantage. The expected possession and shot stats are nearly identical, but Estoril’s edge in quality and recent form is hard to ignore.
In summary, expect a tactical, low-scoring encounter where Estoril’s quality and motivation to finish higher in the table could prove decisive. For those seeking betting tips, under 3.5 goals and an Estoril away win stand out as the most logical angles for this Moreirense vs Estoril prediction.
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Meaningless match!
U3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4002 205
Estoril is expected to win with odds of 205Under 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -110
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -133
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:2
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4
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6
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6
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 Moreirense |
11-May-25
2:2
| Estoril  |
| Estoril |
28-Dec-24
2:2
| Moreirense |
| Moreirense |
18-May-24
2:1
| Estoril |
| Estoril |
13-Jan-24
1:3
| Moreirense |
| Estoril |
07-May-22
1:0
| Moreirense |
| Moreirense |
28-Dec-21
1:0
| Estoril |
| Moreirense |
12-Feb-18
1:2
| Estoril |
| Estoril |
10-Sep-17
0:2
| Moreirense |
| Moreirense |
18-Feb-17
1:1
| Estoril |
| Estoril |
17-Sep-16
2:0
| Moreirense |
Recent Matches of Moreirense| 07 Dec |
Estoril.
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| Moreirense.
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Recent Matches of Estoril
| 07 Dec | Estoril. |
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Moreirense. |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sporting CP | 34 | 88-27 | 82 |
| 2 |
Benfica | 34 | 84-28 | 80 |
| 3 |
FC Porto | 34 | 65-30 | 71 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 34 | 55-30 | 66 |
| 5 |
Santa Clara | 34 | 36-32 | 57 |
| 6 |
Guimaraes | 34 | 47-37 | 54 |
| 7 |
Famalicao | 34 | 44-39 | 47 |
| 8 |
Estoril | 34 | 48-53 | 46 |
| 9 |
Casa Pia | 34 | 39-44 | 45 |
| 10 |
Moreirense | 34 | 42-50 | 40 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave | 34 | 39-55 | 38 |
| 12 |
Arouca | 34 | 35-49 | 38 |
| 13 |
GIL Vicente | 34 | 34-47 | 34 |
| 14 |
Nacional | 34 | 32-50 | 34 |
| 15 |
Estrela | 34 | 24-50 | 29 |
| 16 |
AVS | 34 | 25-60 | 27 |
| 17 |
Farense | 34 | 25-46 | 27 |
| 18 |
Boavista | 34 | 24-59 | 24 |
