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Match Prediction

Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction

Finished

Moreirense

€27.20m

11 Jan13:00
1 : 0

Tondela

€23.02m

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Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga

Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Smart Betting Tips

Welcome to NerdyTips, where we turn numbers into stories and stats into smart bets! If you’re searching for the best Moreirense vs Tondela prediction for the Primeira Liga match on January 11, 2.326, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the tactics, recent form, and betting tips, all while keeping things light and easy to follow.

Match Context: Home Advantage and Tactical Insights

The upcoming fixture between Moreirense and Tondela will take place at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas stadium in Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal. With a scheduled kickoff at 18:00 GMT, all eyes will be on Moreirense as they look to capitalize on their home turf advantage. Historically, Moreirense have shown resilience at home, and their fans will be hoping for another strong performance.

  • Moreirense come into this match with a squad valued at €27.20 million, showing a slight edge in resources over Tondela’s €23.02 million lineup.
  • In their last head to head meeting back in April 2.322, Moreirense secured a 2-0 victory, underlining their ability to get the job done at home.
  • Recent form also favors Moreirense, who pulled off a surprise win against Sporting CP on December 5, 2.324, with odds of 8.7, finishing 2.32.
  • Tondela, however, are no strangers to upsets themselves, having beaten Gil Vicente away from home in November 2.325 with odds of 5.7, winning 0:1.

Both teams are known for their disciplined approach. Moreirense tend to control possession, and our stats predict they’ll hold the ball for 60% of the match, leaving Tondela with 40%. Expect a midfield battle, with Moreirense looking to dictate the tempo and Tondela aiming to hit on the break.

Stats, Shots, and Set Pieces: What to Expect

Let’s talk numbers, because that’s where the magic happens for betting tips. The predicted shot count is close—12 for Moreirense and 11 for Tondela—but the home side is expected to be more clinical, with 5 shots on target compared to Tondela’s 3. Corners should be plentiful, with a total of 9 expected (5 for Moreirense, 4 for Tondela). If you’re a fan of cards, brace yourself: 2 yellows for the home team and 3 for the visitors are on the cards (pun intended).

  • Possession: Moreirense 60%, Tondela 40%
  • Total shots: Moreirense 12, Tondela 11
  • Shots on goal: Moreirense 5, Tondela 3
  • Corners: 5 for Moreirense, 4 for Tondela
  • Yellow cards: 2 for Moreirense, 3 for Tondela

Moreirense vs Tondela Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Final Score

Now for the part you’ve been waiting for—the Moreirense vs Tondela prediction and our best betting tips. The bookmakers have Moreirense as favorites at odds of 2.32 for a home win, with a draw at 3.5 and Tondela at 3.45. The numbers suggest a tight contest, but the edge goes to the home team.

  1. Best Tip: 1X (Home win or draw) – With a confidence level of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.35, this is the safest bet. Moreirense’s home form and recent head to head record make this a strong pick.
  2. 1X2 Market Prediction: Home Win – Trust rating of 8.0 and odds of 2.32. The stats and recent momentum are in Moreirense’s favor.
  3. Under 3.5 Goals – With a trust rating of 2.4 and odds of 1.35, this market suggests a tactical, low-scoring affair. Both teams are organized defensively, so don’t expect a goal fest.
  4. Final Score Prediction: 2.32 to Moreirense – Our AI expects a goalless first half, with Moreirense pulling ahead after the break. If you like a bit of drama, this one’s for you.

To sum up, our Moreirense vs Tondela prediction leans towards a home win or draw, with Moreirense likely to edge it 2.32. Expect a tactical battle, a few yellow cards, and a match that rewards patience—both on the pitch and at the betting window.

Key Takeaways for Your Betting Slip

  • Moreirense have the home advantage and a stronger squad value.
  • Recent head to head and form favor the home side.
  • Best betting tip: 1X (home win or draw) at odds of 1.35.
  • Predicted final score: Moreirense 2, Tondela 1.
  • Expect under 3.5 goals and a tight, tactical match.

That’s it from NerdyTips for this fixture! Good luck with your bets, and may your predictions be as sharp as your wit. If you’re looking for more betting tips and head to head analysis, stick around—there’s plenty more where this came from.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Moreirense vs Tondela

1X -286

Moreirense to win or draw with odds of -286
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 132

Moreirense is expected to win with odds of 132
8/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -370

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -110

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -192

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.49
xG
1.44
60%
Ball Possession
40%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.15
Expected Goals
1.18
3
Total Goals
2.5
1.3
Goals Scored
0.8
1.7
Goals Against
1.7
48%
Possession
39%
10.1
Total Shots
10.3
3.9
Shots on Goal
2.8
3.2
Shots off Goal
4.2
15.2
Fouls
14.2
3.9
Corners
3.8
1.2
Offsides
2.2
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.6
410
Total Passes
288

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
3
5
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Moreirense
5 - 5 - 6
Tondela
Moreirense Moreirense 29-Apr-23
2:1
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 14-Nov-22
1:1
Moreirense Moreirense
Moreirense Moreirense 16-Apr-22
2:0
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 03-Jan-22
2:1
Moreirense Moreirense
Moreirense Moreirense 17-Apr-21
2:3
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 19-Dec-20
0:0
Moreirense Moreirense
Moreirense Moreirense 26-Jul-20
1:2
Tondela Tondela
Tondela Tondela 18-Jan-20
1:1
Moreirense Moreirense
Moreirense Moreirense 17-Feb-19
2:0
Tondela Tondela

Profile time Recent Matches of Moreirense

30 Jan Guimaraes Guimaraes.
-
Moreirense. Moreirense
24 JanW Moreirense Moreirense.
1:0
Santa Clara. Santa Clara
17 JanL Alverca Alverca.
2:1
Moreirense. Moreirense
11 JanW Moreirense Moreirense.
1:0
Tondela. Tondela
03 JanW AFS AFS.
0:2
Moreirense. Moreirense
20 DecD Estrela Estrela.
0:0
Moreirense. Moreirense
14 DecL Moreirense Moreirense.
0:4
Benfica. Benfica
07 DecD Estoril Estoril.
3:3
Moreirense. Moreirense
29 NovD Moreirense Moreirense.
2:2
Famalicao. Famalicao
09 NovL Braga Braga.
2:1
Moreirense. Moreirense

Profile time Recent Matches of Tondela

25 JanLFamalicao Famalicao.
3:0
Tondela.Tondela
18 JanLTondela Tondela.
0:1
Braga.Braga
11 JanLMoreirense Moreirense.
1:0
Tondela.Tondela
03 JanWTondela Tondela.
3:1
Arouca.Arouca
21 DecLTondela Tondela.
1:2
Casa Pia.Casa Pia
15 DecLNacional Nacional.
3:1
Tondela.Tondela
07 DecLTondela Tondela.
0:2
FC Porto.FC Porto
29 NovWGil Vicente Gil Vicente.
0:1
Tondela.Tondela
23 NovDTondela Tondela.
0:0
Caldas.Caldas
08 NovLTondela Tondela.
0:1
Guimaraes.Guimaraes

Portugal - Primeira Liga Portugal - Primeira Liga

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Porto FC Porto18
37-4
52
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP19
52-10
48
3 Benfica Benfica19
42-11
45
4 SC Braga SC Braga19
37-18
33
5 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente18
24-13
31
6 Moreirense Moreirense19
26-26
30
7 Famalicao Famalicao19
24-14
29
8 Estoril Estoril19
37-31
26
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes19
20-27
25
10 Alverca Alverca19
19-33
23
11 Nacional Nacional19
26-28
20
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave19
22-35
20
13 Estrela Estrela19
23-36
19
14 Santa Clara Santa Clara19
14-21
17
15 Arouca Arouca19
20-44
17
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia19
20-38
15
17 Tondela Tondela19
12-33
12
18 AVS AVS19
14-47
5
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