Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Paraguay
Nacional
€8.12m
Olimpia
€19.77m
Preview
The much-anticipated Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia prediction is on every sports betting enthusiast’s radar as these two Paraguayan giants prepare to meet at Estadio Villa Alegre on May 25, 2025, at 20:30 GMT. With both teams boasting proud histories and a passionate following, this fixture promises a blend of tactical chess and raw emotion. But what do the numbers, betting odds, and recent head to head results tell us about how this match might unfold? Let’s dive deep into the stats and trends that matter most for your betting strategy.
When it comes to head to head encounters, Nacional Asuncion and Olimpia have delivered their fair share of surprises. Their last meeting on September 13, 2024, saw Nacional Asuncion secure a convincing 2-0 victory, defying the odds of 3.25 for a home win against Olimpia’s 2.29. That result not only boosted Nacional’s confidence but also reminded punters that in Paraguayan football, the underdog often bites back.
Adding to the intrigue, Nacional Asuncion pulled off a stunning 0:3 away win at Atletico Nacional on February 29, 2024, at massive odds of 6.25. Clearly, they’re no strangers to upsetting the apple cart when least expected.
The Division Profesional - Apertura has been a breeding ground for tight, competitive matches. Home teams win 35.5% of the time, while away sides take the spoils in 30.0% of games. Draws are a common outcome, occurring in 34.4% of fixtures. This balance is reflected in the betting odds for this match: 2.85 for a home win, 2.85 for a draw, and 2.5 for an away win.
With such a high percentage of draws and relatively even home/away win rates, bettors should be cautious about backing a clear favorite. The odds suggest a slight edge for Olimpia, but history and recent form hint at a much closer contest.
On paper, Olimpia’s squad value of €19.77m dwarfs Nacional Asuncion’s €8.12m. This financial muscle often translates to depth and quality, but as we’ve seen in their recent head to head, football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Nacional’s ability to punch above their weight, especially at home, adds another layer of intrigue to this Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia prediction.
While the away side boasts more resources, the home team’s resilience and recent results suggest that value alone won’t decide the outcome.
Goal markets are always a favorite for sports betting fans. In the Division Profesional - Apertura, 66.1% of matches see over 1.5 goals, but only 43.6% go over 2.5 goals, and just 25.0% surpass the 3.5 mark. Both teams score in 47.7% of games, indicating that while goals are not scarce, high-scoring thrillers are less common.
The AI’s best tip for this match is under 2.5 goals (max two goals in the match) with a confidence of 5.4/10 and odds of 1.5. This aligns perfectly with the historical averages and the predicted final score of 1:0 (also 1:0 at half-time). For the 1x2 market, the AI leans toward a home win (1) at odds of 2.85, albeit with a modest trust level of 2.1.
Given the balanced win rates, high draw percentage, and recent head to head results, a cautious approach is warranted. The under 2.5 goals market looks particularly attractive, supported by both statistical trends and the AI prediction. For those seeking value, a small stake on a Nacional Asuncion home win could pay dividends, especially given their recent ability to upset the odds.
All signs point to a tight, tactical affair at Estadio Villa Alegre. The combination of balanced win rates, a history of upsets, and modest goal averages suggest this will be a match of fine margins. Our expert Nacional Asuncion vs Olimpia prediction: a narrow 1:0 home win, with under 2.5 goals the standout betting tip. As always, bet responsibly—and enjoy the beautiful unpredictability of Paraguayan football.
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Meaningless match!
U2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2001 185
Nacional is expected to win with odds of 185Under 2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -141
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -111
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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11
-
14
-
14
|
|
 Olimpia |
06-Jul-25
1:1
| Nacional  |
| Nacional |
25-May-25
1:1
| Olimpia |
| Olimpia |
22-Mar-25
0:1
| Nacional |
| Olimpia |
24-Nov-24
1:1
| Nacional |
| Olimpia |
30-Oct-24
0:2
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
13-Sep-24
2:0
| Olimpia |
| Nacional |
22-Apr-24
0:1
| Olimpia |
| Olimpia |
27-Jan-24
2:2
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
08-Oct-23
1:0
| Olimpia |
| Olimpia |
23-Jul-23
1:2
| Nacional |
Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Libertad Asunc | 22 | 35-15 | 44 |
| 2 |
Cerro Porteno | 22 | 33-18 | 39 |
| 3 |
Club Guarani | 22 | 27-24 | 38 |
| 4 |
Sportivo Trini | 22 | 27-22 | 34 |
| 5 |
Olimpia | 22 | 27-22 | 33 |
| 6 |
Sportivo Ameli | 22 | 23-20 | 29 |
| 7 |
Deportivo Reco | 22 | 29-31 | 27 |
| 8 |
Nacional Asunc | 22 | 23-28 | 25 |
| 9 |
General Caball | 22 | 19-26 | 22 |
| 10 |
Sportivo Luque | 22 | 13-25 | 22 |
| 11 |
2 de Mayo | 22 | 15-26 | 18 |
| 12 |
Atlético Temb | 22 | 17-31 | 18 |
