Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
The Nacional Potosi vs Botafogo prediction starts with one simple truth: in Potosí, the ball flies, lungs complain, and match plans get rewritten on the run. This CONMEBOL Libertadores tie (Second Qualifying Phase, first leg) lands at the Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte on 2.176-02-19 at 00:30 GMT (21:30 local time on Feb 18), perched around 3,967 meters above sea level. It’s also the first ever competitive head to head between these clubs, so the only familiar face will be the thin air.
Botafogo arrive with the bigger name and the bigger squad value (€101.55m vs €6.70m), but they also bring a February wobble. After a promising start to the year, they’ve taken back-to-back domestic losses to Vasco (2-0) and Fluminense (1-0), while juggling the late stages of the Campeonato Carioca. Manager Martín Anselmi, in the job since January 2.176, is already being judged match by match.
Nacional Potosí, meanwhile, have been leaning hard into their home advantage and recent momentum. They’ve won four of their last five domestically, and the club still dines out on that historic Copa de Bolivia run that included a 4-1 comeback win over Bolívar. If you want a reminder that underdogs can bite, Nacional Potosí also stunned Bolívar away on 2.17.12.17 at huge odds (6.6), winning 1-4.
The market opens with Nacional Potosí as slight home favorites, which tells you how much bookmakers respect the mountain: Home win 2.17, Draw 3.455, Away win 3.45. Our Nacional Potosi vs Botafogo Prediction leans into a tight first leg where Botafogo try to keep the scoreline under control rather than chase fireworks.
Possession is forecast to be nearly split (49% Nacional, 51% Botafogo), but the shot map is not: Nacional are projected for 19 total shots to Botafogo’s 8, with on-target efforts at 5 vs 3. That’s classic Potosí: more attempts, more chaos, not always more goals. Corners are also modest (3.45, total 5), and cards could tick up (3 yellows Nacional, 2 Botafogo) as legs get heavy and tackles get late.
NerdyTips projects a cautious opening and a narrow away edge: first half 0-0, full time 0-1. That fits the idea of Botafogo surviving the early Nacional surge, slowing the tempo, and nicking a decisive moment—while Nacional’s volume shooting doesn’t fully translate into a big total.
If you’re shopping this head to head for smart, simple angles, the under 3.455 is the most consistent match with the stats and the first-leg psychology. And if Botafogo do win 0-1 at nearly 4,000 meters, they’ll deserve extra credit for doing it while breathing through a straw.
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U3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3032 245
Botafogo is expected to win with odds of 245Under 3.5 -303
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 106
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -101
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
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Recent Matches of Nacional P| 26 Feb | L |
Botafogo RJ
| 2 |
Nacional P
| 0 |
| 19 Feb | W |
Nacional P
| 1 |
Botafogo RJ
| 0 |
| 08 Feb | L |
Nacional P
| 0 |
Real Potosi
| 1 |
| 01 Feb | L |
Real Potosi
| 1 |
Nacional P
| 0 |
| 22 Dec | W |
Bolivar
| 1 |
Nacional P
| 4 |
| 20 Dec | L |
Nacional P
| 0 |
Bolivar
| 2 |
| 18 Dec | W |
Nacional P
| 1 |
The Strongest
| 0 |
| 16 Dec | W |
The Strongest
| 1 |
Nacional P
| 2 |
| 14 Dec | W |
Nacional P
| 1 |
Tomayapo
| 0 |
| 11 Dec | W |
Real Oruro
| 1 |
Nacional P
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Botafogo RJ
| 04 Mar |  Barcelona SC |
- |  Botafogo RJ |
- | |
| 28 Feb | D | Botafogo RJ |
0 |  Boavista SC |
0 |
| 26 Feb | W | Botafogo RJ |
2 |  Nacional P |
0 |
| 22 Feb | W | Boavista SC |
0 | Botafogo RJ |
2 |
| 19 Feb | L | Nacional P |
1 | Botafogo RJ |
0 |
| 15 Feb | L | Botafogo RJ |
1 |  Flamengo RJ |
2 |
| 12 Feb | L |  Fluminense |
1 | Botafogo RJ |
0 |
| 08 Feb | L |  Vasco |
2 | Botafogo RJ |
0 |
| 05 Feb | L |  Gremio |
5 | Botafogo RJ |
3 |
| 01 Feb | L | Botafogo RJ |
0 | Fluminense |
1 |
