Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Portugal
Preview
The Primeira Liga is back in action, and on January 11, 2026, all eyes will be on Estádio da Madeira for a match that’s got football fans and sports betting enthusiasts buzzing: Nacional vs Santa Clara. If you’re looking for a friendly, down-to-earth Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down the stats, the betting odds, and what our AI tips are saying—without any robotic jargon.
Nacional and Santa Clara might not be the biggest names in Portuguese football, but they sure know how to keep things interesting. Heading into this fixture, both teams are hovering around the middle-to-lower end of the Primeira Liga table. Depending on which source you trust, Nacional sits anywhere from 11th to 14th, while Santa Clara is just a spot above or below them. In other words, these two are neck and neck—so expect a tight contest.
Let’s talk recent form. Nacional, playing at home, have had a rough patch: one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. They’ve managed to score eight goals in that stretch, but their defense has been leakier than a broken tap, with no clean sheets in ten games. Santa Clara, on the other hand, are in what you might call “mixed form”—one win, two draws, and two losses. They’ve only scored four goals in their last five, so don’t expect fireworks.
Injuries could play a role, too. Nacional will be without Filipe Soares, Ivanildo Fernandes, and Ulisses Rocha, while Santa Clara are missing defender Pedro Pacheco. Both sides have a few reliable players to keep an eye on: Jesus Ramirez is Nacional’s main man up front with nine goals, while Vinicius Lopes leads Santa Clara’s attack with four goals. If you’re into head to head stats, Santa Clara have the edge, winning six of their last ten meetings. But, as we all know, football loves a surprise.
Now, let’s get into the numbers that matter for sports betting fans. The betting odds are as tight as the league table: a home win for Nacional is priced at 2.92, a draw at 2.925, and an away win for Santa Clara at 2.925. Even the market values are telling—Nacional’s squad is worth €18.58m, while Santa Clara’s is almost double at €37.97m. Still, as we saw when Nacional beat Braga away at odds of 8.1, anything can happen.
Here’s where our AI tips come into play for your Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction. The best tip from our system is under 2.5 goals, with a confidence of 5.8 out of 10 and odds of 1.5. That means the algorithm expects a tight, low-scoring affair—think more chess match than goal fest. For the 1x2 market, the AI leans slightly toward Nacional, recommending a home win with a trust level of 2.7 and odds of 2.92. Not exactly a ringing endorsement, but in a game this close, every edge counts.
If you’re looking for more stats to back up your sports betting choices, here’s what’s expected:
The predicted final score? A narrow 1-0 win for Nacional, with a goalless first half. So, if you’re betting on this one, under 2.5 goals looks like a solid shout. The head to head history might favor Santa Clara, but the AI tips and betting odds suggest Nacional could just edge it at home.
In summary, this Nacional vs Santa Clara prediction points to a close, tactical battle—one for the purists rather than the highlight reels. Whether you’re a fan, a punter, or just love a good underdog story, this match has all the ingredients for a classic Primeira Liga scrap. Enjoy the game, and may your bets be lucky!
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U2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2001 185
Nacional is expected to win with odds of 185Under 2.5 -200
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -149
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -172
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
1:0
|
|
2
-
4
-
7
|
|
 Santa Clara |
30-Mar-25
1:0
| Nacional  |
| Nacional |
04-Nov-24
2:0
| Santa Clara |
| Santa Clara |
17-Mar-24
0:1
| Nacional |
| Santa Clara |
11-Jan-24
1:1
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
04-Nov-23
1:1
| Santa Clara |
| Nacional |
31-Jul-22
1:2
| Santa Clara |
| Santa Clara |
11-Apr-21
5:1
| Nacional |
| Nacional |
06-Dec-20
1:3
| Santa Clara |
| Santa Clara |
30-Aug-20
2:1
| Nacional |
Recent Matches of Nacional| 01 Feb |
Sporting C.
|
-
| Nacional.
| |
| 25 Jan | W |
Nacional.
|
4:0
| Rio Ave.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Gil Vicent.
|
2:1
| Nacional.
|
| 11 Jan | D |
Nacional.
|
3:3
| Santa Clar.
|
| 02 Jan | L |
Guimaraes.
|
2:1
| Nacional.
|
| 21 Dec | D |
AFS.
|
2:2
| Nacional.
|
| 15 Dec | W |
Nacional.
|
3:1
| Tondela.
|
| 07 Dec | L |
Alverca.
|
1:0
| Nacional.
|
| 29 Nov | L |
Nacional.
|
1:2
| Benfica.
|
| 23 Nov | L |
Braga.
|
4:2
| Nacional.
|
Recent Matches of Santa Clara
| 31 Jan | Santa Clar. |
- |
Estoril. | |
| 24 Jan | L |  Moreirense. |
1:0 |
Santa Clar. |
| 18 Jan | L | Santa Clar. |
0:1 |
Famalicao. |
| 11 Jan | D | Nacional. |
3:3 |
Santa Clar. |
| 04 Jan | L | Santa Clar. |
0:1 |
FC Porto. |
| 21 Dec | D | Santa Clar. |
0:0 |
Arouca. |
| 18 Dec | L | Santa Clar. |
2:3 |
Sporting C. |
| 15 Dec | L |  Braga. |
1:0 |
Santa Clar. |
| 06 Dec | W | Santa Clar. |
1:0 |
Casa Pia. |
| 30 Nov | D |  Rio Ave. |
1:1 |
Santa Clar. |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 19 | 40-4 | 55 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 19 | 52-10 | 48 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 19 | 42-11 | 45 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 19 | 37-18 | 33 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente | 19 | 24-16 | 31 |
| 6 |
Moreirense | 19 | 26-26 | 30 |
| 7 |
Famalicao | 19 | 24-14 | 29 |
| 8 |
Estoril | 19 | 37-31 | 26 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes | 19 | 20-27 | 25 |
| 10 |
Alverca | 19 | 19-33 | 23 |
| 11 |
Nacional | 19 | 26-28 | 20 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave | 19 | 22-35 | 20 |
| 13 |
Estrela | 19 | 23-36 | 19 |
| 14 |
Santa Clara | 19 | 14-21 | 17 |
| 15 |
Arouca | 19 | 20-44 | 17 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia | 19 | 20-38 | 15 |
| 17 |
Tondela | 19 | 12-33 | 12 |
| 18 |
AVS | 19 | 14-47 | 5 |
