Match Prediction
Match Prediction
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Preview
Welcome to our Napoli vs Chelsea prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this intriguing UEFA Champions League encounter. With both teams carrying heavy injury lists and recent drama in their domestic leagues, there’s plenty for fans and bettors to chew on ahead of the big night at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium on January 28, 2.126.
Napoli, led by the ever-passionate Antonio Conte, are limping into this fixture with a squad that looks more like a hospital waiting room than a Champions League contender. With key men like Matteo Politano, David Neres, and Kevin De Bruyne all sidelined, and Romelu Lukaku still working his way back, Conte’s options are thin. Even their goalkeeping situation has been a revolving door, with Alex Meret only just returning from injury. On the bright side, their new €20m signing Giovane from Verona could add some much-needed spark.
Despite these setbacks, Napoli did manage to grind out a 1-0 win over Sassuolo in Serie A, ending a run of draws. Their Champions League campaign, however, has been rocky, with just enough points to stay above the elimination line after a frustrating 1-1 draw with 10-man Copenhagen. Conte’s men will need to dig deep, especially with only 44% expected possession against a technically gifted Chelsea side.
Chelsea, meanwhile, aren’t exactly coming in at full strength either. The Blues are missing Roméo Lavia, Tosin Adarabioyo, and Levi Colwill, while Mykhailo Mudryk sits out due to suspension. However, there is optimism with Cole Palmer expected to return, and Estevão looking lively up front. Under new boss Liam Rosenior, Chelsea have found a bit of rhythm, picking up three wins in their last four matches, including a 3.7 victory over Crystal Palace. Still, their away form in Europe leaves something to be desired, with only one draw and two losses so far.
Let’s not forget the history between these two clubs. Chelsea fans still fondly remember their epic comeback against Napoli in 2.122, a turnaround that sparked their first-ever Champions League triumph. While both squads have changed dramatically since then, the memory adds a bit of extra spice to this head to head.
Now, let’s get into what everyone really wants to know: the Napoli vs Chelsea prediction from the numbers experts. Our AI at NerdyTips has crunched the stats, and the verdict is clear—Chelsea are slight favorites, with odds of 2.12 for an away win compared to Napoli’s 3.7 for a home victory. A draw sits at 3.65, but the most likely outcome in the 1.21 market is an away win, with a confidence rating of 3.65 and odds of 2.12.
If you’re looking for betting tips, here’s what stands out:
The predicted final score? 1-0 to Chelsea, with a goalless first half. Expect a cagey opening, with the Blues growing into the game as Napoli tire. The possession stats—56% for Chelsea, 44% for Napoli—back up the idea that Rosenior’s side will control the tempo, while Conte’s men look to hit on the break.
Looking at the numbers, both sides are expected to take 11 shots, but Chelsea edge it slightly with 4 on target to Napoli’s 3. Corners should be plentiful (5 for Napoli, 6 for Chelsea), and if you like a flutter on cards, Chelsea’s aggressive pressing could see them rack up four yellows to Napoli’s one.
With Chelsea’s squad valued at a whopping €1.18bn compared to Napoli’s €428.80m, and given their recent uptick in form, the smart money is on the Blues to edge this one. Our Napoli vs Chelsea prediction: a tight 1-0 win for Chelsea, with the away side’s quality and depth just enough to get them over the line in Naples.
Whatever happens, expect drama, tactical chess, and maybe a few Conte touchline theatrics. Good luck with your bets—and as always, enjoy the football!
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AS -476
Chelsea is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -4762 112
Chelsea is expected to win with odds of 112Under 3.5 -263
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 117
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -169
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
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1
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0
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1
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 Chelsea |
14-Mar-12
4:1
| Napoli  |
| Napoli |
21-Feb-12
3:1
| Chelsea |
Recent Matches of Napoli| 14 Mar | W |
Napoli
| 2 |
Lecce
| 1 |
| 06 Mar | W |
Napoli
| 2 |
Torino
| 1 |
| 28 Feb | W |
Verona
| 1 |
Napoli
| 2 |
| 22 Feb | L |
Atalanta
| 2 |
Napoli
| 1 |
| 15 Feb | D |
Napoli
| 2 |
AS Roma
| 2 |
| 10 Feb | D |
Napoli
| 1 |
Como
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Genoa
| 2 |
Napoli
| 3 |
| 31 Jan | W |
Napoli
| 2 |
Fiorentina
| 1 |
| 28 Jan | L |
Napoli
| 2 |
Chelsea
| 3 |
| 25 Jan | L |
Juventus
| 3 |
Napoli
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Chelsea
| 17 Mar | Chelsea |
- |  PSG |
- | |
| 14 Mar | L | Chelsea |
0 |  Newcastle |
1 |
| 11 Mar | L | PSG |
5 | Chelsea |
2 |
| 07 Mar | W |  Wrexham |
2 | Chelsea |
4 |
| 04 Mar | W |  Aston Villa |
1 | Chelsea |
4 |
| 01 Mar | L |  Arsenal |
2 | Chelsea |
1 |
| 21 Feb | D | Chelsea |
1 |  Burnley |
1 |
| 13 Feb | W |  Hull |
0 | Chelsea |
4 |
| 10 Feb | D | Chelsea |
2 |  Leeds |
2 |
| 07 Feb | W |  Wolves |
1 | Chelsea |
3 |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 8 | 23-4 | 24 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 8 | 22-8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Liverpool | 8 | 20-8 | 18 |
| 4 |
Tottenham | 8 | 17-7 | 17 |
| 5 |
Barcelona | 8 | 22-14 | 16 |
| 6 |
Chelsea | 8 | 17-10 | 16 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP | 8 | 17-11 | 16 |
| 8 |
Manchester | 8 | 15-9 | 16 |
| 9 |
Real Madrid | 8 | 21-12 | 15 |
| 10 |
Inter | 8 | 15-7 | 15 |
| 11 |
Paris Saint | 8 | 21-11 | 14 |
| 12 |
Newcastle | 8 | 17-7 | 14 |
| 13 |
Juventus | 8 | 14-10 | 13 |
| 14 |
Atletico | 8 | 17-15 | 13 |
| 15 |
Atalanta | 8 | 10-10 | 13 |
| 16 |
Bayer | 8 | 13-14 | 12 |
| 17 |
Borussia | 8 | 19-17 | 11 |
| 18 |
Olympiakos | 8 | 10-14 | 11 |
| 19 |
Club Brugge KV | 8 | 15-17 | 10 |
| 20 |
Galatasaray | 8 | 9-11 | 10 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 8 | 8-14 | 10 |
| 22 |
Qarabag | 8 | 13-21 | 10 |
| 23 |
Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 14-15 | 9 |
| 24 |
Benfica | 8 | 10-12 | 9 |
| 25 |
Marseille | 8 | 11-14 | 9 |
| 26 |
Pafos | 8 | 8-11 | 9 |
| 27 |
Union St. | 8 | 8-17 | 9 |
| 28 |
PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 16-16 | 8 |
| 29 |
Athletic Club | 8 | 9-14 | 8 |
| 30 |
Napoli | 8 | 9-15 | 8 |
| 31 |
FC Copenhagen | 8 | 12-21 | 8 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 8 | 8-21 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 8 | 10-21 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 8 | 5-19 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 8 | 5-18 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 8 | 7-22 | 1 |
