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Match Prediction

Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Neom SC

€84.90m

24 Jan12:30
0 : 3

Al Ahli SC

€171.05m

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Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC Prediction Pro League

Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC Prediction: Odds, Stats & Smart Bets

Welcome to our Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC prediction for the much-anticipated Saudi Pro League fixture on January 24, 2026. As football fans gear up for this Matchday 18 encounter at King Khalid Sport City Stadium in Tabuk, we’re here to break down everything you need to know—from tactics and team news to betting odds and our expert tips. Let’s see if Neom can turn their fortunes around or if Al Ahli will keep their impressive run going.

Form Guide and Team News: Neom SC Struggling, Al Ahli SC Flying High

Let’s start with a quick look at the current landscape. Al Ahli SC, currently fourth in the league with 34 points from 15 matches, are enjoying a purple patch. With 10 wins, 4 draws, and just a single defeat, they’ve put together five straight wins—making their fans wonder if they’ll ever drop points again. On the road, Al Ahli’s record is just as impressive: 5 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss.

Neom SC, on the other hand, are sitting mid-table in 10th place with 20 points from 15 games. Their recent form is, well, the kind you’d rather forget: just one win and four losses in their last five. At home, they’ve managed only two wins in eight attempts, which doesn’t exactly scream fortress.

Head to Head and Key Absences

  • Head to head history is limited, with Al Ahli SC edging the only previous meeting 1-0.
  • Neom SC are missing key players: goalkeeper Marcin Bulka and midfielder Abbas Al-Hassan, both out with serious injuries until mid-2026.
  • Al Ahli SC are without Merih Demiral and Brazilian Alexander Gomez, but their squad depth has softened the blow.

When it comes to attacking firepower, Neom SC will rely on Alexandre Lacazette (5 goals, 4 assists), while Al Ahli’s Ivan Toney is in red-hot form with 14 goals and 2 assists. The difference in team value is stark: Neom’s squad is valued at €84.90m, while Al Ahli’s is a whopping €171.05m.

Tactics, Style, and What to Expect

Neom SC’s manager Christophe Galtier has tried to inject more attacking intent, but defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Al Ahli SC, under Matthias Jaissle, are the model of balance: solid at the back and clinical up front—a big reason they’re near the top of the table. Expect Al Ahli to control a bit more of the ball (52% expected possession) and create more chances (13 shots to Neom’s 10), with a slight edge in corners and shots on target as well.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Best Bets

  • Home win: 5.1
  • Draw: 3.95
  • Away win: 1.72

Our AI-driven Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC prediction sees the away team as clear favorites, and the numbers back that up. The best tip from our experts is X2 (Al Ahli win or draw), with a trust level of 8.9/10 and odds of 1.22—perfect for those who like a bit of safety in their bets. If you’re feeling bolder, backing Al Ahli to win outright (market ‘2’) comes with a confidence of 7.1 and odds of 1.82.

  • Over 2.5 total goals is another angle, but with a trust level of just 2.7, our model suggests it’s not the most reliable bet at odds of 1.72.
  • Predicted final score: 0:3 to Al Ahli SC, with a 0:1 lead expected at half-time.
  • Other stats: 8 corners (3 for Neom, 5 for Al Ahli), 1 yellow card for Neom, 2 for Al Ahli.

Summary: Where’s the Value?

  1. Al Ahli SC are in top form, and their superior squad depth and attacking quality give them a big edge.
  2. Neom SC’s home struggles and injury list make it hard to see them causing an upset.
  3. The best bet is X2 (Al Ahli win or draw), but for more adventurous punters, the away win at 1.72 looks tempting.
  4. Expect Al Ahli to control the game, create more chances, and likely take home all three points.

That’s our Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC prediction—keep an eye on Ivan Toney, and don’t be surprised if Al Ahli’s fans are the ones singing at full-time. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as our tips!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Neom SC vs Al Ahli SC

X2 -455

Al Ahli SC to win or draw with odds of -455
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 -139

Al Ahli SC is expected to win with odds of -139
7/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -137

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No 116

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -227

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

1.03
xG
2.05
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.12
Expected Goals
1.99
3
Total Goals
3.2
1.3
Goals Scored
2.2
1.7
Goals Against
1
49%
Possession
46%
10.7
Total Shots
13.6
3.8
Shots on Goal
6
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.2
12.5
Fouls
15.6
3.5
Corners
5.7
1.6
Offsides
3.4
2
Yellow Cards
3
385
Total Passes
340

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
4
8
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
2

Head to Head

Neom SC
0 - 0 - 1
Al Ahli SC
Al Ahli SC Al Ahli SC 28-Aug-25
1:0
Neom SC Neom SC

Profile time Recent Matches of Neom SC

30 Jan Neom SC Neom SC.
-
Damac. Damac
24 JanL Neom SC Neom SC.
0:3
Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
21 JanD Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq.
0:0
Neom SC. Neom SC
18 JanL Neom SC Neom SC.
1:2
Al Hilal. Al Hilal
14 JanL Al Shabab Al Shabab.
3:2
Neom SC. Neom SC
10 JanL Neom SC Neom SC.
0:1
Al Fateh. Al Fateh
04 JanW Al Hazem Al Hazem.
1:2
Neom SC. Neom SC
31 DecL Neom SC Neom SC.
1:3
Al Ittihad. Al Ittihad
25 DecW Neom SC Neom SC.
2:1
Al Najma. Al Najma
23 NovD Al Taawon Al Taawon.
1:1
Neom SC. Neom SC

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Ahli SC

28 JanAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
-
Al Ettifaq.Al Ettifaq
24 JanWNeom SC Neom SC.
0:3
Al Ahli SC.Al Ahli SC
20 JanWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
4:1
Al Khaleej.Al Khaleej
17 JanWAl Kholood Al Kholood.
0:1
Al Ahli SC.Al Ahli SC
14 JanWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
2:1
Al Taawon.Al Taawon
10 JanWAl Okhdood Al Okhdood.
0:1
Al Ahli SC.Al Ahli SC
02 JanWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
3:2
Al Nassr.Al Nassr
30 DecWAl Ahli SC Al Ahli SC.
2:0
Al Fayha.Al Fayha
26 DecLAl Fateh Al Fateh.
2:1
Al Ahli SC.Al Ahli SC
22 DecWAl Shorta Al Shorta.
0:5
Al Ahli SC.Al Ahli SC

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
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