Nevezis vs Jonava Prediction

Nevezis vs Jonava Prediction: A David vs Goliath Battle in 1 Lyga?

If you're looking for a Nevezis vs Jonava prediction with a side of drama, you’ve come to the right place. This Friday at 16:00 GMT, the Kėdainių miesto stadionas hosts what could be a classic underdog tale—or a straightforward away win, depending on who you ask. Let’s break it down like we’re dissecting a last-minute penalty call.

The Odds Say Jonava Favored, But Don’t Count Out Nevezis

The betting odds tell an interesting story:

• Nevezis win: 2.65


• Draw: 3.5


• Jonava win: 2.25

Jonava’s slightly lower odds reflect their stronger squad value (€150K vs Nevezis’ €50K) and recent form. But here’s the twist—Nevezis has a habit of punching above their weight, like their jaw-dropping 4-1 win over TransINVEST Vilnius (odds: 5.25!). Meanwhile, Jonava’s 2-0 away victory against Neptuna Klaipeda (odds: 8.5) proves they’re no pushovers either.

Head to Head: Revenge on the Menu?

The last head to head was a bloodbath—Nevezis smashed Jonava 5-0 in June 2023. Back then, Nevezis were heavy favorites (1.36), while Jonava’s odds (6.05) made them look like sacrificial lambs. Fast-forward to 2025, and the tables have turned. Jonava’s improved, but will Nevezis’ psychological edge play a role?

NerdyTips’ AI Weighs In

The nerds over at NerdyTips have crunched the numbers, and here’s their take:

• Best tip: X2 (Jonava win or draw) – Trust level: 5.0/10, Odds: 1.4


• 1X2 market: Away win (2) – Trust level: 5.0/10, Odds: 2.25


• Total goals: Over 2.5 – Trust level: 3.8/10, Odds: 1.65

Their predicted final score? 1-2 to Jonava, with a goalless first half. Given that 57% of 1 Lyga games see over 2.5 goals, this feels plausible—but Nevezis’ knack for upsets keeps things spicy.

League Stats: Home Comforts vs Away Resilience

Here’s how Lithuania’s 1 Lyga usually plays out:

• Home wins: 41.9%


• Away wins: 33.7%


• Draws: 24.4%

Jonava’s odds (2.25) align neatly with the league’s away-win trend, but Nevezis’ home advantage can’t be ignored. Plus, with both teams scoring in 48.2% of matches, don’t be surprised if this one swings like a pendulum.

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

If you’re leaning into the Nevezis vs Jonava prediction, here’s the scoop:

1. Jonava’s momentum makes them slight favorites, but Nevezis’ giant-killing history adds risk.


2. The over 2.5 goals market looks tasty—57% of league games hit this mark.


3. That 5-0 head to head looms large, but Jonava’s squad value suggests they’ve leveled up.

So, will it be a repeat of last year’s demolition, or a Jonava revenge tour? Either way, grab your popcorn—this one’s got drama written all over it.