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Match Prediction

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction

New E

€33.83m

13 Sep19:30
1 : 1

Toronto FC

€24.70m

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New E vs Toronto FC Prediction Major League Soccer

New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction: Betting Tips & Match Insights

Welcome to our comprehensive New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction, where we blend tactical insights, recent form, and betting tips into an easy-to-digest preview. With both teams eager to make their mark on September 14, 2025, at Gillette Stadium, this MLS fixture promises more than just points—it’s a test of resilience, squad depth, and strategic planning. Let’s dive into what makes this matchup one to watch, especially for those looking for smart bets and a solid head to head analysis.

Match Context: Tactics, Teams & Recent Form

The New England Revolution, celebrating their 30th consecutive season in Major League Soccer, host Toronto FC in a fixture that’s rich in history and current intrigue. Head coach Caleb Porter, now in his second year at the helm, has overseen a significant squad overhaul, welcoming 14 new faces while bidding farewell to 18. His tactical approach remains rooted in a flexible 4-4-2, with Carles Gil often stepping up to support the attack. Porter’s teams are known for controlling possession, defensive compactness, and a willingness to adapt mid-game. The Revolution’s focus on ball retention and side-to-side movement should see them dominate possession—our projections estimate around 57%.

On the other side, Toronto FC, under Robin Fraser, are in the midst of a transition year. The club has prioritized blending youthful potential with experienced heads, all while searching for that elusive, physically imposing striker. Injuries have plagued their campaign, with key defenders Zane Monlouis, Henry Wingo, and Nicksoen Gomis all sidelined for the season. This has forced Fraser to shuffle his lineup and rely on depth, often leading to inconsistency—especially at home, where Toronto have struggled to secure wins.

  • Head to head history shows a fairly balanced rivalry: out of 42 matches since 2007, New England have won 17, Toronto 12, and 13 have ended in a draw.
  • In their last six meetings, Toronto have edged it with three wins, while New England have claimed two victories and one match ended level.
  • The most recent encounter at BMO Field in May 2025 saw New England Revolution win 2-0, a result that will give them confidence heading into this home tie.

Recent form paints a mixed picture for both sides. New England bounced back from defeats to Charlotte and LAFC with impressive wins over Columbus Crew and DC United, before narrowly losing to Chicago Fire. Injuries continue to test their depth, but the return of key players like Matt Polster and the versatility of Chancalay offer hope. Toronto, meanwhile, have shown resilience on the road—drawing with Philadelphia Union despite being heavy underdogs—but their home form remains a concern, with a winless streak stretching back to September 2024.

Betting Tips, Odds & Our AI-Driven New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction

If you’re looking for value in the betting markets, the odds favor a home win (1.65), with a draw priced at 3.95 and an away win for Toronto FC at 5.0. The bookmakers clearly see New England as favorites, and our AI agrees—recommending a home win in the 1x2 market with a trust level of 1.3 and odds of 1.75.

  1. Best Tip: Under 3.5 Goals – Our AI projects a tight affair, with a maximum of three goals expected. The confidence level stands at 4.6/10, with odds of 1.48. This aligns with both teams’ recent defensive focus and Toronto’s injury-hit backline.
  2. Final Score Prediction: 2:1 – The Revolution are tipped to edge it, with a projected half-time score of 1:0. Expect the hosts to control the tempo and create more chances, with an estimated 18 shots (5 on target) versus Toronto’s 10 (2 on target).
  3. Possession & Set Pieces – New England should see more of the ball (57% possession) and slightly edge corners (5 to 4). Discipline-wise, expect a relatively clean contest: one yellow card for the hosts, two for the visitors.

Market value also tilts in favor of the Revolution (€33.83m vs €24.70m), reflecting their deeper squad and recent investment. Injuries remain a concern for both sides, but New England’s tactical flexibility and stronger home record make them the safer pick. For those eyeing the under/over market, under 3.5 goals is a strong option, backed by both statistical trends and the AI’s 4.7 confidence rating.

Key Takeaways for Bettors & Fans

  • New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction: Home win and under 3.5 goals are the standout betting tips.
  • Both teams have undergone significant changes in 2025, but New England’s tactical discipline and squad depth give them the edge.
  • Toronto’s injury woes and rebuilding phase make them unpredictable, but don’t rule out a spirited performance on the road.
  • Recent head to head results suggest a competitive game, but history and current form favor the Revolution.

Final Verdict: New England Revolution vs Toronto FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Our New England Revolution vs Toronto FC prediction leans towards a narrow home win, with a 2:1 final score the most likely outcome. Expect a match where the Revolution’s possession-based style and tactical flexibility pay dividends, while Toronto’s youthful energy and resilience keep things interesting. For bettors, under 3.5 goals and a Revolution victory offer the best value, especially given the current odds and recent head to head trends. Stay tuned for an entertaining night at Gillette Stadium—and may your bets be as sharp as your insights!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for New E vs Toronto FC

U3.5 -208

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -208
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -133

New E is expected to win with odds of -154
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -208

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -161

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -208

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

57%
Ball Possession
43%
18
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.24
Expected Goals
0.57
3.3
Total Goals
1.9
1.3
Goals Scored
0.9
2
Goals Against
1
49%
Possession
44%
13.7
Total Shots
10.4
5
Shots on Goal
3.4
5.6
Shots off Goal
4.5
11.2
Fouls
11.3
4.9
Corners
4.5
1.6
Offsides
0.8
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
0
Red Cards
0
430
Total Passes
363

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
2
9
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
2
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
7
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

New England Revolution
13 - 9 - 10
Toronto FC
New England Revolution New E 14-Sep-25
1:1
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Toronto FC Toronto FC 03-May-25
0:2
New E New England Revolution
Toronto FC Toronto FC 21-Apr-24
1:0
New E New England Revolution
New England Revolution New E 03-Mar-24
0:1
Toronto FC Toronto FC
New England Revolution New E 25-Jun-23
2:1
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Toronto FC Toronto FC 07-May-23
0:2
New E New England Revolution
Toronto FC Toronto FC 18-Aug-22
2:2
New E New England Revolution
New England Revolution New E 31-Jul-22
0:0
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Toronto FC Toronto FC 15-Aug-21
1:2
New E New England Revolution
New England Revolution New E 08-Jul-21
2:3
Toronto FC Toronto FC

Profile time Recent Matches of New E

23 JanD New E New E.
1:1
FC Cincinn. FC Cincinnati

Profile time Recent Matches of Toronto FC

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia34
57-35
66
2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
52-40
65
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
81-55
65
4 Charlotte Charlotte34
55-46
59
5 New York City FC New York City34
50-44
56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
58-45
54
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City34
63-51
53
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England34
44-51
36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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