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Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction

Newcastle

€751.55m

21 Oct15:00
3 : 0

Benfica

€358.80m

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Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction UEFA Champions League

Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction: Stats, Odds, and AI Insights

The long-awaited Newcastle vs Benfica prediction is finally here! On October 21, 2025, at 20:00 GMT, these two European contenders will meet at St. James' Park for a UEFA Champions League league phase match. If you’re a fan of betting odds, tactical football, and a good underdog story, this is one fixture you’ll want to follow closely. Let’s dive into the numbers, recent form, and what our AI sees in this intriguing head to head.

Match Context: Champions League League Phase History in the Making

This season’s Champions League features a fresh league phase format, and both Newcastle United and Benfica have been drawn together after the August 28, 2025, draw. Newcastle, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on their St. James’ Park advantage as they navigate four home and four away fixtures in this phase. Benfica, meanwhile, are no strangers to tough away nights and will be hoping to spring a surprise.

Team Form and Key Stats

  • Newcastle United: The Magpies have shown their mettle recently, boasting an average of 2.5 goals scored per Champions League match, conceding just 1. Their domestic form is solid, with a recent 2-0 Premier League win over Nottingham Forest and a competitive 1-1 draw with Manchester City. Their squad value (€751.55m) dwarfs that of Benfica, and with 48.5 balls recovered per match, their intensity is clear.
  • Benfica: The Eagles average 1 goal scored and 2 conceded per Champions League match, with a slightly higher passing accuracy (85%) than Newcastle. Their recent results have been mixed: a 2-0 Cup win over Chaves, a 0-0 draw against Porto, and a narrow 1-0 loss to Chelsea. Their squad value stands at €358.80m, making them the underdogs in this encounter.

Tactical Breakdown and Possession Play

  • Possession: Expect Newcastle to control the tempo, with a predicted 62% share of the ball. Their pressing game and home support could keep Benfica pinned back for long spells.
  • Shots and Corners: Newcastle are tipped to take 14 shots (5 on target) and win 6 corners, while Benfica may struggle to create, with just 6 shots (1 on target) and 2 corners expected.
  • Discipline: The numbers suggest a feisty affair for Benfica, who are predicted to pick up 3 yellow cards, while Newcastle are expected to keep their discipline with none.

Head to Head: Evenly Matched History

  • Historically, these two have been neck and neck: 1 win each and 1 draw in their last three meetings.
  • Their last encounter ended 3-2 in Newcastle’s favor in July 2022—expect some old scores to be settled.

AI Betting Tips and Predictions

Now, let’s get to the heart of the Newcastle vs Benfica prediction—the numbers that matter for punters and fans alike.

  • 1x2 Prediction: Our AI tips a home win (Newcastle) at odds of 1.65, with a trust level of 5.7/10. Given Newcastle’s recent form, squad value, and home advantage, this looks like a solid pick for your bet slip.
  • Total Goals: The best tip according to our data is under 3.5 goals (maximum three goals in the match) at 1.4 odds, with a trust level of 5.8/10. Both teams have shown defensive discipline, and with Benfica likely to sit deep, don’t expect a goal fest.
  • Final Score Prediction: The expected result is a 2:0 win for Newcastle, with a 1:0 lead at halftime. This fits the pattern of Newcastle’s recent home performances and Benfica’s struggle to score on the road.
  • Other Stats: Newcastle are expected to dominate possession and create more chances, while Benfica’s best hope may come from set pieces or a moment of individual brilliance.

Betting Odds and Value

  • Home Win: 1.65
  • Draw: 4.2
  • Away Win: 5.1
  • Under 3.5 Goals: 1.4

With Newcastle’s squad depth, recent results, and the St. James’ Park crowd behind them, the betting odds seem to be in their favor. But as Benfica’s famous win over Ajax (at odds of 8.1!) reminds us, anything can happen in Europe.

Conclusion: Our Newcastle vs Benfica Prediction

  • Expect Newcastle to control the match, with possession and chances falling their way.
  • Benfica will need to be compact and clinical, but the numbers suggest they may struggle to break through.
  • Our tip: Newcastle win, under 3.5 total goals, with a likely final score of 2:0.

In football, surprises are always possible, but the data points to a solid home performance. Whether you’re betting or just watching for the drama, this Newcastle vs Benfica prediction has you covered. Enjoy the game—and remember, sometimes the best drama is in the details!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Newcastle vs Benfica

U3.5 -250

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -250
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -154

Newcastle is expected to win with odds of -154
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -250

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -102

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -286

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
8/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Goal
1
5
Shots Off Goal
2
6
Corners
2

Average / Match

1.3
Expected Goals
1.34
2.6
Total Goals
2.2
1.6
Goals Scored
1.4
1
Goals Against
0.8
51%
Possession
57%
12.5
Total Shots
12.2
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.3
4.5
Shots off Goal
4.5
10.7
Fouls
11.9
5.8
Corners
4.1
1
Offsides
1.4
1.11
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.11
Red Cards
0.11
432
Total Passes
490

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Newcastle
0 - 0 - 1
Benfica
Benfica Benfica 26-Jul-22
3:2
Newcastle Newcastle

World - UEFA Champions League World - UEFA Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Arsenal Arsenal8
23-4
24
2 Bayern München Bayern8
22-8
21
3 Liverpool Liverpool8
20-8
18
4 Tottenham Tottenham8
17-7
17
5 Barcelona Barcelona8
22-14
16
6 Chelsea Chelsea8
17-10
16
7 Sporting CP Sporting CP8
17-11
16
8 Manchester City Manchester8
15-9
16
9 Real Madrid Real Madrid8
21-12
15
10 Inter Inter8
15-7
15
11 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint8
21-11
14
12 Newcastle Newcastle8
17-7
14
13 Juventus Juventus8
14-10
13
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico8
17-15
13
15 Atalanta Atalanta8
10-10
13
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer8
13-14
12
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia8
19-17
11
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos8
10-14
11
19 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV8
15-17
10
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray8
9-11
10
21 Monaco Monaco8
8-14
10
22 Qarabag Qarabag8
13-21
10
23 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt8
14-15
9
24 Benfica Benfica8
10-12
9
25 Marseille Marseille8
11-14
9
26 Pafos Pafos8
8-11
9
27 Union St. Gilloise Union St.8
8-17
9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven8
16-16
8
29 Athletic Club Athletic Club8
9-14
8
30 Napoli Napoli8
9-15
8
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen8
12-21
8
32 Ajax Ajax8
8-21
6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht8
10-21
4
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha8
5-19
3
35 Villarreal Villarreal8
5-18
1
36 Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty8
7-22
1
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