Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction

Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction: Stats, Odds, and Betting Tips

The Premier League is back with a fixture that’s sure to get fans talking: Newcastle vs Leeds prediction is the hot topic as these two sides meet at St. James’ Park on January 7, 2026, at 20:15 GMT. Both teams are looking to climb the table, and with plenty of stats, betting odds, and a bit of football drama in the air, this is a match you won’t want to miss—especially if you’re into sports betting or just love a good football story.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head-to-Head History

Let’s start with the basics: Newcastle, currently sitting 14th with 26 points from 20 matches, have been a bit unpredictable lately. Their last five games show one win, two losses, and two draws—but don’t let that fool you. At home, the Magpies have been a tough nut to crack, winning five out of nine home games and going unbeaten in their last 11 matches at St. James’ Park. They’ve also managed to score at least two goals in each of their last ten home matches. If you’re looking at the Newcastle vs Leeds prediction, that’s a stat worth remembering.

Leeds, on the other hand, are 16th with 21 points from 19 matches. They’re unbeaten in their last six across all competitions, but with only one win and four draws in their last five league games, they’re finding it hard to turn those draws into three points. Still, they’ve scored nine goals in their last five matches, so they’re not short on attacking intent.

• Head to head stats show Newcastle unbeaten in the last five meetings with Leeds (one win, four draws).
• The last time these two met, it ended 0-0. Newcastle’s last home win over Leeds in the league? You’d have to go back to 2004—yes, really.

Injuries and Key Players

Both teams are missing a small army of players. Newcastle’s injury list reads like a who’s who of their squad: Anthony Elanga, Daniel Burn, Emil Krafth, Jamaal Lascelles, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Valentino Livramento, William Osula, Nick Pope, Lewis Hall, Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak, Matt Targett, Joe Willock, and Joelinton are all out. Leeds aren’t much better off, missing Daniel James, Joe Rodon, Sean Longstaff, Lucas Perri, S. Bornauw, I. Schmidt, and P. Struijk.

• For Leeds, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the man to watch, averaging the most shots on target per match (1.3).
• Bruno Guimarães is Newcastle’s midfield engine, already matching his best season tally with 7 goals.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Tips

Now, let’s get into the numbers that matter for sports betting fans. The current betting odds are:

• Home win (Newcastle): 1.722
• Draw: 4.05
• Away win (Leeds): 5.5

Our AI-generated Newcastle vs Leeds prediction gives a clear edge to the home side. The best tip is a home win (1), with a confidence of 6.9 out of 10 and odds of 1.722. If you’re looking for something a bit safer, the AI also suggests betting on over 1.5 goals (odds 1.27, trust score 5.0). The final score prediction? 2:1 to Newcastle, with the Magpies expected to lead 1:0 at half-time.

• Possession forecast: Newcastle 61%, Leeds 39%
• Shots: Newcastle 14 (6 on target), Leeds 11 (3 on target)
• Corners: Newcastle 7, Leeds 3
• Yellow cards: 1 each

Market value also tells a story—Newcastle’s squad is valued at a hefty €712.95m, while Leeds’ is €313.08m. That’s a big gap, and it’s reflected in the betting odds and our Newcastle vs Leeds prediction.

Why Our Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction Favors the Home Side

Let’s be honest: St. James’ Park is a fortress these days. Newcastle’s home form, their attacking stats, and the fact that Leeds have struggled to turn draws into wins all point to a home victory. The AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high (6.9/10), but with the Magpies’ recent record and Leeds’ injury woes, it’s a solid bet.

1. Sports betting fans should consider the home win at 1.722, but if you want to play it safer, over 1.5 goals looks likely given both teams’ recent scoring records.
2. Head to head history suggests a close game, but Newcastle’s home advantage and squad depth tip the balance.
3. With both teams missing key players, expect a few surprises—but don’t bet on a goal fest.

In summary, our Newcastle vs Leeds prediction is a home win, with a likely scoreline of 2:1. If you’re placing a bet, keep an eye on the odds and don’t forget to check the latest team news before kick-off. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as Bruno Guimarães’ passing!