Match Prediction
Match Prediction
World
Preview
The wait is nearly over for one of the most intriguing fixtures of the UEFA Champions League league phase—Newcastle vs PSV prediction is on everyone’s mind ahead of their January 21, 2026 meeting at St. James’ Park. With both teams chasing a vital three points, this match is set to shape the group standings and could have big implications for sports betting fans. Let’s break down the head to head, recent form, team news, and the latest betting odds before diving into our AI-powered predictions.
As the Champions League returns to the North East, Newcastle United are sitting 12th in the league phase with 10 points from six games, while PSV Eindhoven are just behind in 21st with 8 points. The Magpies have shown some grit in Europe, picking up three wins, a draw, and two losses—solid, but not spectacular. Their domestic form has been strong, with four wins in their last five outings, although a recent 2-0 defeat to Manchester City in the cup was a reality check.
PSV, meanwhile, are flying high in the Eredivisie, leading the Dutch league by a whopping 13 points. Their Champions League campaign has been a rollercoaster, but recent results—including a stunning 6-2 demolition of Napoli and a 4-1 away win at Liverpool—show they can mix it with the best when it matters. Historically, these teams have met a handful of times, with results that hint at a close contest: a 2-2 draw in 2010, and a pair of tightly fought games in 2004 (1-1 and 2-1 to PSV).
Eddie Howe’s Newcastle are known for their high-intensity pressing and quick transitions, but they’ll have to cope with a lengthy injury list. Key players like Jacob Murphy, Tino Livramento, and Fabian Schär are all sidelined, with others like Jamaal Lascelles and Dan Burn racing against the clock to be fit. The depth of the squad will be tested, but with a squad value of €712.95m, the Magpies still boast plenty of quality.
On the other hand, PSV’s attacking style has been their hallmark, especially in Europe. Their ability to hit on the break and exploit space was evident in their recent thrashing of Liverpool. With a squad valued at €275.00m, they might not have the financial firepower of Newcastle, but their form, especially away from home, makes them dangerous.
For punters looking for value, the betting odds present a clear favorite. Newcastle are priced at 1.3733 for the home win, a draw sits at 6.2, and PSV are big outsiders at 8.75. Despite recent upsets in football—remember when Manchester City, heavy favorites at 1.58, could only draw 1-1 with Newcastle?—the Magpies are expected to bounce back here.
The over/under market is also worth a look, with over 2.5 goals at 1.3733. Given both teams’ attacking tendencies and Newcastle’s injury-hit defense, goals could be on the menu.
Now, for what you’ve all been waiting for—the NerdyTips AI-backed Newcastle vs PSV prediction. Our model is going all in on the home team, with a confidence rating of 10.0/10 and betting odds of 1.3733 for the win. The 1x2 prediction is a strong “1” for Newcastle, and our AI trusts this pick at the maximum level.
For those eyeing the over/under market, our AI tips over 2.5 goals with a confidence of 6.6 and odds of 1.3733. With both teams capable of scoring and Newcastle’s defensive absences, this feels like a smart play.
To sum up, this Newcastle vs PSV prediction points towards a home win—but don’t discount PSV’s ability to spring a surprise, especially if Newcastle’s patched-up defense struggles. The Magpies’ superior squad depth and home advantage should see them through, but expect goals and a lively contest.
With plenty of head to head history, strong form on both sides, and plenty of angles for sports betting, this match is a must-watch for fans and bettors alike. Keep an eye on the team news and betting odds as kick-off approaches, and may your wagers be as sharp as your football knowledge!
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1 -270
Newcastle is expected to win with odds of -2701 -270
Newcastle is expected to win with odds of -270Over 2.5 -286
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -154
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -526
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1:0
2:1
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Recent Matches of Newcastle| 31 Jan |
Liverpool.
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-
| Newcastle.
| |
| 25 Jan | L |
Newcastle.
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0:2
| Aston Vill.
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| 21 Jan | W |
Newcastle.
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3:0
| PSV.
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| 18 Jan | D |
Wolves.
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0:0
| Newcastle.
|
| 13 Jan | L |
Newcastle.
|
0:2
| Man. City.
|
| 10 Jan | D |
Newcastle.
|
3:3
| Bournemout.
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| 07 Jan | W |
Newcastle.
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4:3
| Leeds.
|
| 04 Jan | W |
Newcastle.
|
2:0
| Crystal P..
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| 30 Dec | W |
Burnley.
|
1:3
| Newcastle.
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| 26 Dec | L |
Man. Utd.
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1:0
| Newcastle.
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Recent Matches of PSV
| 24 Jan | D |  PSV. |
2:2 |
NAC Breda. |
| 21 Jan | L |  Newcastle. |
3:0 |
PSV. |
| 17 Jan | W |  Sittard. |
1:2 |
PSV. |
| 14 Jan | W |  Den Bosch. |
1:4 |
PSV. |
| 10 Jan | W | PSV. |
5:1 |
Excelsior. |
| 21 Dec | W |  Utrecht. |
1:2 |
PSV. |
| 16 Dec | W | PSV. |
3:0 |
GVVV. |
| 13 Dec | W | PSV. |
4:3 |
Heracles. |
| 09 Dec | L | PSV. |
2:3 |
Atl. Madri. |
| 06 Dec | W |  Heerenveen. |
0:2 |
PSV. |
World - UEFA Champions League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal | 7 | 20-2 | 21 |
| 2 |
Bayern | 7 | 20-7 | 18 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid | 7 | 19-8 | 15 |
| 4 |
Liverpool | 7 | 14-8 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tottenham | 7 | 15-7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint | 7 | 20-10 | 13 |
| 7 |
Newcastle | 7 | 16-6 | 13 |
| 8 |
Chelsea | 7 | 14-8 | 13 |
| 9 |
Barcelona | 7 | 18-13 | 13 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP | 7 | 14-9 | 13 |
| 11 |
Manchester | 7 | 13-9 | 13 |
| 12 |
Atletico | 7 | 16-13 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta | 7 | 10-9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Inter | 7 | 13-7 | 12 |
| 15 |
Juventus | 7 | 14-10 | 12 |
| 16 |
Borussia | 7 | 19-15 | 11 |
| 17 |
Galatasaray | 7 | 9-9 | 10 |
| 18 |
Qarabag | 7 | 13-15 | 10 |
| 19 |
Marseille | 7 | 11-11 | 9 |
| 20 |
Bayer | 7 | 10-14 | 9 |
| 21 |
Monaco | 7 | 8-14 | 9 |
| 22 |
PSV Eindhoven | 7 | 15-14 | 8 |
| 23 |
Athletic Club | 7 | 7-11 | 8 |
| 24 |
Olympiakos | 7 | 8-13 | 8 |
| 25 |
Napoli | 7 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 26 |
FC Copenhagen | 7 | 11-17 | 8 |
| 27 |
Club Brugge KV | 7 | 12-17 | 7 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt | 7 | 12-14 | 6 |
| 29 |
Benfica | 7 | 6-10 | 6 |
| 30 |
Pafos | 7 | 4-10 | 6 |
| 31 |
Union St. | 7 | 7-17 | 6 |
| 32 |
Ajax | 7 | 7-19 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht | 7 | 10-19 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha | 7 | 4-15 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal | 7 | 5-15 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty | 7 | 5-19 | 1 |
