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Match Prediction

Newells Old Boys vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction

Finished

Newells

€24.38m

7 Feb20:15
2 : 3

Defensa J

€26.75m

Preview

Newells vs Defensa J Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction: low-scoring night?

Newells Old Boys vs Defensa Y Justicia prediction is on the menu from Rosario, where the Liga Profesional Argentina stops at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (“El Coloso del Parque”) for a 01:15 GMT kick-off on 2026-02-08 (local time: Feb 7, 22:15). It’s early Apertura territory, the part of the calendar where teams still look like they’re learning their own scripts. Defensa arrive in the upper-mid pack (around 7th), while Newell’s sit closer to the lower half (around 14th), and both are still searching for rhythm rather than poetry.

Where the match could be decided

Newell’s come in with mixed recent form (L-D-L-L-W) and a fresh sting from a 2-0 loss to Boca on February 1. The story has been familiar: moments of promise, then a defensive lapse, and not quite enough bite in the final third. Defensa’s recent run (W-D-W-L-L) looks a touch steadier, and that 1-0 win over Deportivo Riestra in late January was the type of “get in, get out, clean sheet” result coaches love.

  • Newell’s defensive crisis: Bruno Cabrera and Oscar Salomón are out with muscle injuries, and Ian Glavinovich is also sidelined. That leaves Saúl Salcedo and Nicolás Goitea as the likely center-back pair, with David Sotelo even training as emergency cover.
  • Coaching pressure: Favio Orsi and Sergio Gómez have talked up “intensity” and “personality” in training, and Gómez has been blunt that excuses are over and fixes must come fast.
  • Defensa’s shape: Mariano Soso is expected to lean on his familiar 3-4-2-1 / 3-5-2, built for quick transitions and wing attacks—useful against a patched-up back line.

Player-wise, Newell’s will look to Walter Núñez for goals, while Michael Hoyos adds experience and calmer decision-making in the front line. For Defensa, Rubén Botta remains the creative pulse, and Aaron Molinas is vital for midfield tempo and distribution. There’s also context around Newell’s: a club in transition after Ignacio Boero’s election and a new sporting project—big plans, but the table still asks hard questions.

AI betting tips, odds, and how the numbers connect

Now to the part that matters to punters: our Newells Old Boys vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction leans toward a tight, tactical game. The 1x2 odds reflect that uncertainty—Home 2.23, Draw 3.0, Away 4.0—while the recent head to head offers a hint: on 2025-02-12, Defensa won 1-0. Historically, Defensa also hold a slight edge across their last 16 meetings (8 wins to Newell’s 6, with 2 draws).

Main picks based on our model

  • Top selection: NG (at least one team won’t score) at 1.63, confidence 6.3/10.
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.44, trust 4.3/10 (NerdyTips’ AI).
  • 1x2 prediction: Draw (X) at 3.0, trust 2.0/10.

Why the cautious goal angles? The game script points to it. Possession is projected at 47% for Newell’s and 53% for Defensa, with shots estimated 13-9, but only 3 on target each—volume without sharpness. Corners are tipped at 5-3 (8 total), and cards at 1-1, suggesting control rather than chaos. Put that together with Newell’s injuries at the back and Defensa’s preference for structure, and you can see a match where neither side wants to overextend.

Our AI even lands on a 0:0 final score, with 0:0 at half-time—very “Apertura in February” energy. If you like narrative-based betting tips, there’s also recent evidence both teams can frustrate expectations: Newell’s once shocked Huracán away at 5.5 odds (0-2), and Defensa earned a 1-1 at Talleres at 5.35. Still, for this one, the data says patience, not fireworks.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Avoid first matches from a league!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Newells vs Defensa J

NG -159

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -159
6/10

1x2 Tip

X 200

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -222

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -159

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 115

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

0.98
xG
0.84
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.78
Expected Goals
0.71
2.4
Total Goals
1.5
0.7
Goals Scored
0.5
1.7
Goals Against
1
39%
Possession
55%
10.2
Total Shots
9.1
3.2
Shots on Goal
3
4.6
Shots off Goal
3.9
13.3
Fouls
7.7
4
Corners
3.7
1.9
Offsides
1.4
2.57
Yellow Cards
1.5
271
Total Passes
400

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
4
3
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
2
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Newells Old Boys
6 - 2 - 8
Defensa Y Justicia
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa J 17-Aug-25
1:1
Newells Newells Old Boys
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa J 23-May-25
0:2
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 12-Feb-25
0:1
Defensa J Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys Newells 25-May-24
1:0
Defensa J Defensa Y Justicia
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa J 17-Apr-24
1:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 28-Nov-23
3:0
Defensa J Defensa Y Justicia
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa J 11-Feb-23
1:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 25-Jul-22
1:2
Defensa J Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys Newells 11-Feb-22
1:0
Defensa J Defensa Y Justicia

Profile time Recent Matches of Newells

01 MarL Newells Newells 0 Rosario C Rosario C 2
25 FebL Newells Newells 0 Estudiant Estudiant 2
21 FebL Banfield Banfield 3 Newells Newells 0
16 FebD Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 1 Newells Newells 1
08 FebL Newells Newells 2 Defensa J Defensa J 3
01 FebL Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2 Newells Newells 0
28 JanD Newells Newells 1 Independiente Independiente 1
24 JanL Talleres Talleres 2 Newells Newells 1
16 NovL Newells Newells 0 Racing Club Racing Club 1
08 NovW Huracan Huracan 0 Newells Newells 2

Profile time Recent Matches of Defensa J

02 MarDDefensa J Defensa J 1 Lanus Lanus 1
24 FebDPlatense Platense 0 Defensa J Defensa J 0
20 FebDDefensa J Defensa J 1 Belgrano Belgrano 1
14 FebDDefensa J Defensa J 1 Velez S Velez S 1
08 FebWNewells Newells 2 Defensa J Defensa J 3
02 FebDDefensa J Defensa J 0 Estudiant Estudiant 0
29 JanWDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 0 Defensa J Defensa J 1
22 JanDAldosivi Aldosivi 0 Defensa J Defensa J 0
08 JanWSanta Cruz Santa Cruz 0 Defensa J Defensa J 1
17 NovLDefensa J Defensa J 0 Rivadavia Rivadavia 2

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes7
7-2
15
2 Velez Sarsfield Velez7
8-4
15
3 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe8
11-5
14
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y8
7-4
14
5 Independiente Independiente8
11-7
13
6 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo8
7-5
12
7 Platense Platense7
5-3
12
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres8
8-9
11
9 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors7
6-5
9
10 Instituto Cordoba Instituto8
9-10
8
11 Lanus Lanus6
8-9
8
12 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de8
3-6
8
13 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.8
5-10
8
14 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo7
2-5
4
15 Newells Old Boys Newells Old8
5-16
2
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