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Match Prediction

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction

Finished

Newells

€24.38m

27 Jan20:15
1 : 1

Independiente

€45.17m

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Newells vs Independiente Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction: Tactical Battle and AI Insights

The Newells Old Boys vs Independiente prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two historic Argentine sides prepare to meet at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa on January 28, 2026, with kickoff set for 01:15 GMT. With both teams eager to climb the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, this fixture promises a blend of tactical intrigue and passionate football, making it a must-watch for fans and punters alike.

Team Form and Tactical Approaches

Heading into this encounter, Independiente have the wind in their sails. The Avellaneda outfit boasts four wins and a draw from their last five matches in all competitions, a run that has seen them play with renewed confidence and structure under manager Gustavo Quinteros. Their recent form is in stark contrast to Newells Old Boys, who have managed just one win and suffered four defeats in their previous five outings, finding the net only three times while conceding ten goals.

Historically, the head to head between these two is as close as it gets. Out of 37 meetings, Independiente have claimed 13 wins, Newells Old Boys 12, with 12 matches ending level. Recent history, however, tips slightly in favor of the hosts: Newells Old Boys have won four of the last six encounters, including a 2-1 triumph in Rosario the last time these sides met at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Still, most matches between them have been tight, often finishing under 3.5 total goals, with 1-1 being the most frequent scoreline.

Coaching Changes and Squad News

  • Newells Old Boys: The Rosario side are in a period of transition, with Sergio Gómez taking over as manager in December 2025. He is joined by Favio Orsi (assistant) and César Jaime (goalkeeping coach), while Roberto Sensini steps in as Sporting Director. Gómez’s main task is to shore up a leaky defense and rebuild team morale. The high-profile arrival of Keylor Navas, reportedly after talks with Lionel Messi, has added experience and star power to the squad.
  • Independiente: Gustavo Quinteros, appointed in September 2025, has brought discipline and tactical clarity to Independiente. His staff includes Leandro Desábato and Maximiliano Quezada as assistants, and Agustín Paz as goalkeeping coach. Despite recent financial troubles and a FIFA ban on transfers, Independiente’s squad remains the more valuable, with a market worth of €45.17m compared to Newells Old Boys’ €24.38m.

Tactics and Key Players to Watch

  • Newells Old Boys: Traditionally defensively-minded, Newells have experimented with a 4-2-3.2 formation, seeking more creativity in attack. Gonzalo Maroni is a player to watch, having scored a crucial late goal in a recent fixture. The team’s focus will likely be on compactness and quick transitions, especially with Navas now between the posts.
  • Independiente: Quinteros favors a solid, organized approach. Gabriel Avalos has been influential, notching two goals and an assist in his last four appearances. Luciano Cabral adds further attacking threat, already off the mark in the new season. Expect Independiente to control possession and probe patiently for openings.

AI Betting Tips and Statistical Predictions

At NerdyTips, our AI has run the numbers for the Newells Old Boys vs Independiente prediction, and the data points to a cautious approach for punters:

  1. Double Chance X2 (Independiente win or draw): With Independiente’s superior form and squad value, our AI recommends backing the away side to avoid defeat. The confidence rating stands at 6.8/10, with odds of 1.41. This bet covers both a draw and an Independiente win, reflecting their recent consistency and Newells’ struggles.
  2. 1x2 Prediction – Away Win: The straight win for Independiente is our 1x2 pick, with a trust level of 3.2 and odds of 2.75. While Newells Old Boys have sprung surprises before—such as their shock 2-0 away win over Huracan at odds of 5.5—the numbers favor the visitors this time.
  3. Under 2.5 Total Goals: Given both teams’ tactical setups and the history of low-scoring head to head meetings, our AI predicts under 2.5 goals (trust 4.9, odds 1.44). The most likely scoreline is 0:1 to Independiente, with a goalless first half expected.

Final Thoughts and Betting Odds Overview

  • Home Win: 3.2
  • Draw: 2.95
  • Away Win: 2.75

In summary, the Newells Old Boys vs Independiente prediction leans towards a tight, tactical affair, with Independiente’s recent solidity and attacking options giving them the edge. While the Estadio Marcelo Bielsa is never an easy place to visit, the visitors’ form and squad depth make them worthy favorites in the betting odds. Expect a chess match rather than a goal-fest, with the smart money on Independiente to take at least a point—and possibly all three.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Newells vs Independiente

X2 -244

Independiente to win or draw with odds of -244
6/10

1x2 Tip

2 175

Independiente is expected to win with odds of 175
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -222

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -128

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

0.85
Expected Goals
1.05
2.7
Total Goals
2.6
0.7
Goals Scored
1.8
2
Goals Against
0.8
39%
Possession
60%
10.4
Total Shots
12.7
3.6
Shots on Goal
4.4
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.4
12.2
Fouls
9
4.3
Corners
5.8
1.7
Offsides
2.1
2.63
Yellow Cards
3.17
280
Total Passes
379

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
3
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Newells Old Boys
4 - 1 - 5
Independiente
Newells Old Boys Newells 26-Nov-24
2:1
Independiente Independiente
Independiente Independiente 12-Jul-23
0:2
Newells Newells Old Boys
Independiente Independiente 25-Sep-22
1:0
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 31-Oct-21
1:0
Independiente Independiente
Newells Old Boys Newells 05-Mar-21
1:2
Independiente Independiente
Independiente Independiente 13-Dec-19
2:3
Newells Newells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys Newells 18-Aug-18
2:2
Independiente Independiente
Newells Old Boys Newells 28-Apr-18
0:1
Independiente Independiente

Profile time Recent Matches of Newells

24 JanL Talleres Talleres .
2:1
Newells. Newells
16 NovL Newells Newells.
0:1
Racing Club. Racing Club
08 NovW Huracan Huracan.
0:2
Newells. Newells
01 NovL Newells Newells.
0:1
Union S. Union S
18 OctL Argentino Argentino.
3:1
Newells. Newells
10 OctD Newells Newells.
1:1
Tigre. Tigre
05 OctL Boca Juniors Boca Juniors.
5:0
Newells. Newells
30 SepD Newells Newells.
1:1
Estudiant. Estudiant
23 SepL Belgrano Belgrano .
3:0
Newells. Newells
17 SepL Newells Newells.
1:3
Belgrano . Belgrano

Profile time Recent Matches of Independiente

23 JanDIndependiente Independient.
1:1
Estudiant.Estudiant
14 JanDMillonarios Millonarios.
0:0
Independient.Independiente
16 NovWIndependiente Independient.
1:0
Rosario C.Rosario C
10 NovWDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra.
0:1
Independient.Independiente
01 NovWIndependiente Independient.
3:0
Atl. Tucuman.Atl. Tucuman
24 OctWIndependiente Independient.
3:0
Platense.Platense
19 OctLSan Martin San Martin.
1:0
Independient.Independiente
13 OctLIndependi Independi.
0:2
Lanus.Lanus
05 OctDGodoy Cruz Godoy Cruz.
1:1
Independi.Independi
28 SepDRacing Club Racing Club.
0:0
Independi.Independi

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lanus Lanus1
3-2
3
2 Talleres Cordoba Talleres1
2-1
3
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez1
1-0
3
4 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors1
1-0
3
5 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.1
1-0
3
6 Independiente Independiente1
1-1
1
7 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes1
1-1
1
8 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y1
0-0
1
9 Platense Platense1
0-0
1
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe1
0-0
1
11 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo1
2-3
0
12 Newells Old Boys Newells Old1
1-2
0
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto1
0-1
0
14 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo1
0-1
0
15 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de1
0-1
0
16 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.1
2-1
3
17 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano1
2-1
3
18 Independ. Rivadavia Independ.1
2-1
3
19 River Plate River Plate1
1-0
3
20 Banfield Banfield1
1-1
1
21 Huracan Huracan1
1-1
1
22 Aldosivi Aldosivi1
0-0
1
23 Tigre Tigre0
0-0
0
24 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS0
0-0
0
25 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento0
0-0
0
26 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio0
0-0
0
27 Rosario Central Rosario1
1-2
0
28 Racing Club Racing Club1
1-2
0
29 Atletico Tucuman Atletico1
1-2
0
30 Barracas Central Barracas1
0-1
0
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