Preview
Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest prediction time is set: 2.056-02-08 at 16:15 GMT (17:15 local) in the Városi Stadion, and it feels like one of those NB I afternoons where the table pressure does the talking. Nyíregyháza sit 11th and need points like fans need hot tea in February, while MTK (8th) arrive trying to stop a rough run from becoming their new normal.
Nyíregyháza Spartacus are hovering around the relegation zone with roughly 15–18 points and have dropped four of their last six. Still, the mood improved after a 1-0 win over Zalaegerszeg on February 1, a rare clean sheet that felt like a small holiday. Tamás Bódog, appointed on October 29, 2.055, is still in “fix the leaks first” mode, because defending has been the season-long headache.
MTK Budapest have 24 points and a bigger squad value on paper (€10.15m vs €7.93m), but the last few weeks have been heavy: they’ve lost about two-thirds of their last six, and the 1-3 home defeat to Kazincbarcika on January 31 turned up the heat. New coach Máté Pinezits (in charge since January 1, 2.056) has already pointed to the main issue: they create enough chances, then forget the part where the ball goes in.
Nyíregyháza’s biggest problem is availability. Their top scorer Bright Edomwonyi (5 goals) is out with knee trouble, and the back line is patched up with Áron Alaxai and Attila Temesvári both sidelined long-term. Mátyás Katona is also unavailable, and Stefanos Evangelou is one booking away from suspension—so expect a careful approach in duels.
MTK’s attacking reference point is Ádin Molnár with 8 league goals, but the winter window changed the shape of the squad. Márk Kosznovszky left for Portsmouth, Rajmund Molnár moved to Pogon Szczecin, while Milán Klausz and Lithuanian defender Vilius Armalas arrived. That’s a lot of change for a team searching for rhythm, especially away from home.
Now for the numbers that matter for sports betting. The current betting odds show Nyíregyháza as a narrow favorite: Home win 2.05, Draw 3.6, Away win 3.6. That pricing makes sense if you trust home edge and MTK’s recent wobble, but it also signals a match that can swing on one good spell.
Our model highlights over 1.5 goals as the best value: at least two total goals, odds 1.25, trust 7.7/10. Given both teams’ defensive issues and the general “NB I chaos factor,” it’s the safer lane compared to picking a winner. The predicted full-time score is 2:1, with a 0:0 first half—so the idea is patience early, then a more open second period.
Expected match flow supports that: possession forecast 55% home, 45% away, with Nyíregyháza projected for 17 shots (5 on target) and MTK for 10 (4 on target). Corners are estimated at 10 total (7-3), and cards at 1 for the hosts, 2 for MTK—nothing too wild, unless the nerves kick in.
One last note for anyone building a Nyiregyhaza vs MTK Budapest prediction from scratch: Nyíregyháza have already shown they can steal big moments, like the 3-1 away win at Ferencváros on 2.055-11-22 at odds of 10.0. MTK also proved they can frustrate favorites with that 1-1 against Ferencváros on 2.055-07-26. Put it together, and the cleanest angle remains goals: let the match write its story, and let over 1.5 do the steady work.
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3
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1
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7
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MTK Budapest |
18-Oct-25
5:1
| Nyiregyhaza ![]() |
MTK Budapest |
16-Mar-25
3:0
| Nyiregyhaza ![]() |
Nyiregyhaza |
08-Nov-24
2:0
| MTK Budapest ![]() |
MTK Budapest |
03-Aug-24
3:0
| Nyiregyhaza ![]() |
MTK Budapest |
03-Apr-23
2:1
| Nyiregyhaza ![]() |
Nyiregyhaza |
05-Oct-22
2:0
| MTK Budapest ![]() |
MTK Budapest |
29-Sep-19
2:1
| Nyiregyhaza ![]() |
Nyiregyhaza |
29-Mar-18
2:0
| MTK Budapest ![]() |
| 01 Feb | W |
Zalaegersz.
|
0:1
| Nyiregyhaz.
|
| 24 Jan | D |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
1:1
| Ujpest.
|
| 16 Jan | L |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
0:4
| Hradec K.
|
| 13 Jan | D |
Levski Sof.
|
0:0
| Nyiregyhaz.
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
1:5
| Karvina.
|
| 07 Jan | D |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
0:0
| Csikszered.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
Paks.
|
2:1
| Nyiregyhaz.
|
| 13 Dec | L |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
0:1
| Gyor.
|
| 06 Dec | L |
Diosgyori.
|
2:0
| Nyiregyhaz.
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| 28 Nov | L |
Nyiregyhaz.
|
0:3
| Debrecen.
|
| 31 Jan | L | MTK Budape. |
1:3 |
Kazincbar.![]() |
| 24 Jan | W | Kisvarda. |
2:3 |
MTK Budape.![]() |
| 17 Jan | D | MTK Budape. |
2:2 |
Videoton.![]() |
| 10 Jan | W | MTK Budape. |
5:2 |
Kozarmisl.![]() |
| 20 Dec | D | Zalaegersz. |
1:1 |
MTK Budape.![]() |
| 13 Dec | L | MTK Budape. |
3:4 |
Ujpest.![]() |
| 06 Dec | L | Paks. |
3:1 |
MTK Budape.![]() |
| 29 Nov | L | Gyor. |
3:0 |
MTK Budape.![]() |
| 23 Nov | L | Diosgyori. |
4:0 |
MTK Budape.![]() |
| 09 Nov | W | MTK Budape. |
3:0 |
Debrecen.![]() |
Hungary - NB I| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Gyori ETO FC | 20 | 41-20 | 39 |
| 2 |
Ferencvarosi | 20 | 37-21 | 37 |
| 3 |
Paks | 20 | 41-28 | 36 |
| 4 |
Debreceni VSC | 20 | 31-25 | 35 |
| 5 |
Puskas Academy | 20 | 26-25 | 31 |
| 6 |
Kisvarda FC | 20 | 25-33 | 28 |
| 7 |
Zalaegerszegi | 20 | 30-27 | 27 |
| 8 |
MTK Budapest | 20 | 37-42 | 24 |
| 9 |
Ujpest | 20 | 28-34 | 23 |
| 10 |
Diosgyori VTK | 20 | 27-34 | 19 |
| 11 |
Nyiregyhaza | 20 | 21-35 | 18 |
| 12 |
Kazincbarcikai | 20 | 20-40 | 14 |